Lightning Group (LIGR) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · SE · Market cap 36.4M SEK
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price −20.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.0935). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 0.0510 to kr 0.0935) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 0.4840 – kr 5.96 · fair‑value band kr 0.0510 – kr 0.0935 · the kr 0.7850 price screens above the kr 0.0765 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Lightning Group (LIGR) currently trades at kr 0.7850, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.0765, implying the stock looks roughly 90.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lightning Group generated revenue of 76.3M SEK at a net margin of -5.3%. Revenue grew 59.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -13.3%. Net debt stands at 11.1M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 0.0510 (bear case) to kr 0.0935 (bull case); at kr 0.7850, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -90%, LIGR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
Notify me when LIGR reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lightning Group AB, together with its subsidiaries, develops, designs, and sells lighting control solutions for large and wireless projects in Sweden. The company also provides luminaires, such as spots, downlights, and heavy industrial luminaires. It serves retail, warehousing and logistics, industry, manufacturing, and infrastructure sectors.
Full company description
Lightning Group AB, together with its subsidiaries, develops, designs, and sells lighting control solutions for large and wireless projects in Sweden. The company also provides luminaires, such as spots, downlights, and heavy industrial luminaires. It serves retail, warehousing and logistics, industry, manufacturing, and infrastructure sectors. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Mölndal, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lightning Group reported revenue of kr 63.5M in FY2025 versus kr 46.1M in FY2022, a compound +11.3%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 4.9M in FY2025.
LIGR screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →
Peer Group
Electronic Components · 647 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 | 1,790 TWD | 602.37 TWD | -66% |
| Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 | ¥56.06 | ¥38.44 | -31% |
| Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 | 1,503,000 KRW | 172,954 KRW | -88% |
| Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 | ¥202.11 | ¥21.19 | -90% |
| Shengyi Technology Co 600183 | ¥143.23 | ¥36.30 | -75% |
| Shennan Circuits Co 002916 | ¥385.80 | ¥125.52 | -67% |
| Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 | HK$238.60 | HK$75.68 | -68% |
| Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 | HK$38.70 | HK$8.95 | -77% |
| Asia Vital Components Co 3017 | 2,910 TWD | 1,369 TWD | -53% |
| Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 | 1,215 TWD | 1,768 TWD | +46% |
Compare Lightning Group with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Technology stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Lightning Group (LIGR) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of LIGR?
What is the quality score of LIGR?
What is the revenue of Lightning Group (LIGR)?
What is the net profit margin of LIGR?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Lightning Group and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.