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Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc (LIPO) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.4K

LP Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc logo Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc LIPO · US
Price$0.0003
Fair Value$0.0003
Upside+0.0%
Quality30/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/6)
Narrow moat 3/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0003 – $0.0003 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −99.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$46.00 $0.0002 Fair Value $0.0003 Dec 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

44‑month range $0.0002 – $46.00 · the $0.0003 price screens below the $0.0003 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc (LIPO) currently trades at $0.0003, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0003, implying the stock looks roughly 0.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $390K. Revenue declined 36.4% year over year. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $2.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at 0%, LIPO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.0002 $0.0003 $0.0005 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0002 $0.0003 $0.0005 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $390K
Revenue growth (YoY) -36.4%
Return on equity -362%
Free cash flow −$4.0M FY2024
Operating margin -1,388%
EPS (TTM) $-2.26
More key figures
Net cash $2.1M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 9
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing drugs by reformulating the active agents in existing generic drugs and optimizing these reformulations for various applications.

Full company description

Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc., a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing drugs by reformulating the active agents in existing generic drugs and optimizing these reformulations for various applications. It develops LP-10, a formulation of tacrolimus for patients with radiation-induced hemorrhagic cystitis; LP-310, a formulation of tacrolimus for the treatment of oral lichen planus; LP-410, an oral liposomal formulation of tacrolimus to treat oral graft-versus-host disease; and LP-50, an intravesical formulation of immunoglobulins for the treatment of non-muscle invasive bladder cancer. Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. On March 30, 2026, Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc. filed a voluntary petition for reorganization under Chapter 11 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc reported revenue of $536K in FY2024 versus $962K in FY2020, a compound −13.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$5.0M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$536K
Latest YoY
+19.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.0%
Revenue −13.6%/yr
FY20 $962K
FY21 $259K
FY22 $184K
FY23 $450K
FY24 $536K
Net income
FY20 −$61.7K
FY21 −$1.9M
FY22 −$2.6M
FY23 −$4.6M
FY24 −$5.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LIPO

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 613 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +0% · Top 25%
Return on assets -150% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -36% · Bottom 25%

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 33 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 29

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $525.73 $278.78 -47%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $797.99 $594.40 -26%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,549,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -32%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 202,000 KRW 74,519 KRW -63%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.70 HK$30.58 -33%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$95.55 HK$19.68 -79%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 2,037 kr 250.07 -88%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$4.87 HK$3.37 -31%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥131.87 ¥23.19 -82%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 314,000 KRW 39,476 KRW -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc (LIPO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0003 versus a price of $0.0003, about +0% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of LIPO?
Our model-based fair value for Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc is $0.0003 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0003.
What is the quality score of LIPO?
Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc (LIPO)?
Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $390K (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LIPO?
The net profit margin of Lipella Pharmaceuticals Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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