Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Lohilo Foods AB SEK 0.41, price SEK 3.00, upside -86.3%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 0.8640 – kr 30.50 · fair‑value band kr 0.2900 – kr 0.6100 · the kr 3.00 price screens above the kr 0.4100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Lohilo Foods AB (publ) operates as a food company in Sweden and internationally. The company offers ice creams, functional drinks, and protein bars and powders under the Lohilo, Alvestaglass, Järnaglass, Bubbies, Superfruit, KLEEN Sports Nutrition, and Kultures Kombucha brand names. It exports its products.
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Lohilo Foods AB (publ) operates as a food company in Sweden and internationally. The company offers ice creams, functional drinks, and protein bars and powders under the Lohilo, Alvestaglass, Järnaglass, Bubbies, Superfruit, KLEEN Sports Nutrition, and Kultures Kombucha brand names. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Alvestaglass AB and changed its name to Lohilo Foods AB (publ) in November 2019. Lohilo Foods AB (publ) was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Växjö, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO) currently trades at kr 3.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.4100, implying the stock looks roughly 631.5% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 3.07 per share, and 1 of the 7 models we run sit above the kr 3.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 0.2200, and 6 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: kr 0.2900 (bear) to kr 0.6100 (bull), the price of kr 3.00 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Lohilo Foods AB reported revenue of 187M SEK in FY2025 versus 248M SEK in FY2021, a compound −6.9%/yr. Reported net income was −1.4M SEK in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 46.1M SEK (≈ $4.6M) · P/E ratio 40.8 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) kr 0.0300 · Net margin −0.7% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −19.7% · Operating margin 4.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 163% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −2% fair-value upside, at −86%, LOHILO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (kr 0.2200 to kr 3.07). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear kr 0.2900Fair Value kr 0.4100Bull kr 0.6100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.0220 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +15.5% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−8.5% (2020) → 0.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 667 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score46 · Below median
Fair Value upside−86% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth26% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)40.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B3.77× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)0.23× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA4.6× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 19
PAST (return on equity)38· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 58
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lohilo Foods AB Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOHILO
Frequently asked questions
Is Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.4100 versus a price of kr 3.00, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LOHILO?
Our model-based fair value for Lohilo Foods AB is kr 0.4100 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 3.00.
What is the quality score of LOHILO?
Lohilo Foods AB has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 0.4100 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 0.2900, optimistic scenario kr 0.6100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lohilo Foods AB stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 0.4100, about −86% upside versus a price of kr 3.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 0.2900, optimistic scenario kr 0.6100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
Lohilo Foods AB reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 198M SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lohilo Foods AB it is kr 0.4100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of kr 3.00. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lohilo Foods AB stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LOHILO trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 3.00, fair value kr 0.4100, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LOHILO?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 3.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 0.4100). For Lohilo Foods AB the two are kr 2.59 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lohilo Foods AB worth?
The market values Lohilo Foods AB at about 46.1M SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is kr 3.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 0.4100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LOHILO?
Our models span a range for Lohilo Foods AB: cautious scenario kr 0.2900, base kr 0.4100, optimistic kr 0.6100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price kr 3.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LOHILO?
Lohilo Foods AB trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 40.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 0.4100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.8, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 4.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lohilo Foods AB (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LOHILO from its 52-week high?
Lohilo Foods AB trades at kr 3.00, about 10% below its 52-week high of kr 3.35 and 163% above the low of kr 1.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 0.4100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lohilo Foods AB?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lohilo Foods AB stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price kr 3.00, calculated fair value kr 0.4100 (−86%), Quality Score 46/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LOHILO calculated?
We run Lohilo Foods AB through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 0.4100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Lohilo Foods AB itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was kr 3.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 0.4100, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lohilo Foods AB right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.6100). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (kr 0.2900 to kr 0.6100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Lohilo Foods AB
How large is the market capitalisation of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
The market capitalisation of Lohilo Foods AB is 46.1M SEK (≈ $4.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lohilo Foods AB is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
Earnings per share at Lohilo Foods AB are kr 0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 40.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
The net margin of Lohilo Foods AB is −0.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lohilo Foods AB is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lohilo Foods AB is −19.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
The operating margin of Lohilo Foods AB is 4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO)?
Revenue at Lohilo Foods AB is growing +26.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO) generate?
The free cash flow of Lohilo Foods AB is −4.2M SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lohilo Foods AB (LOHILO) carry?
The net debt of Lohilo Foods AB is 14.0M SEK (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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