EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

Lipocine Inc (LPCN) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lipocine Inc $1.48, price $2.09, upside -29.2%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Healthcare · US · ISIN US53630X2036

LI Lipocine Inc logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Lipocine Inc

LPCN · US

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value $1.48 · Overvalued (−29%)
!Quality 25/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +58.1 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 5/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$31.45 $1.94 Fair Value $1.48 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.94 – $31.45 · fair‑value band $0.9775 – $1.85 · the $2.09 price screens above the $1.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

Follow Lipocine in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether Lipocine is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

Lipocine Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development for the delivery of drugs using its proprietary delivery technology. The company offers TLANDO, an oral testosterone replacement therapy (TRT) comprising testosterone undecanoate.

Show more

Lipocine Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development for the delivery of drugs using its proprietary delivery technology. The company offers TLANDO, an oral testosterone replacement therapy (TRT) comprising testosterone undecanoate. It also develops LPCN 1154 (BRLIZIO), an oral neuro-steroid in a Phase 3 pivotal trial for postpartum depression; LPCN 1148, a prodrug of testosterone and testosterone laurate that has completed a Phase 2 trial for the management of decompensated cirrhosis; LPCN 1107, an oral hydroxy progesterone caproate product that has completed a Phase 2 trial for the prevention of recurrent preterm birth; LPCN 1144, an oral prodrug of bioidentical testosterone that has completed a Phase 2 trial for pre-cirrhotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis; and LPCN 2401, an oral formulation comprising a proprietary anabolic androgen receptor agonist that is in a Phase 2 trial to manage incretin mimetic use in obesity management. In addition, the company is developing LPCN 2201, an oral brexanolone formulation that has completed a Phase 1 trial for major depressive disorders; LPCN 2203, an oral candidate that has completed a Phase 1 trial for management of essential tremor; and LPCN 2101, a neuroactive steroids (NAS) candidate that has completed a Phase 1 trial for drug-resistant epilepsy and women with epilepsy. The company's products focus on neurological and psychiatric central nervous system (CNS) disorders, liver disease, and hormone supplementation in the United States. It has a collaboration with Verity Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to develop and commercialize TLANDO; and TLANDO XR (LPCN 1111), a once-daily oral product candidate that has completed a Phase 2 trial for testosterone replacement therapy. Lipocine Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.

Stock analysis

Lipocine Inc (LPCN) currently trades at $2.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.48, implying the stock looks roughly 41.3% overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.9775 (bear) to $1.85 (bull), the price of $2.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Lipocine Inc reported revenue of $2.0M in FY2025 versus $16.1M in FY2021, a compound −40.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.6M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $17.2M · P/S ratio 11.3 · EPS (TTM) $−1.85 · Return on equity −60.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −34.1% · Operating margin −1,495% · Revenue (TTM) $1.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) −69.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 81% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −29%, LPCN screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.9775 Fair Value $1.48 Bull $1.85
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.8800 $1.18 $1.76 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.8800 $1.18 $1.76 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when LPCN reaches fair value

Put LPCN on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 11
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 25/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−82.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+58.1%
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−44,990,660,000.0% (2020) → −524.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

LPCN screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

Compare Lipocine Inc with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 654 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/7 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −29% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −37% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −70% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.19× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 10.94× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)92 · sector 97
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 23

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $522.38 $574.62 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $801.82 $1,252 +56%
argenx SE ARGX $963.79 $918.60 −5%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,366,000 KRW 1,502,600 KRW +10%
CSL Limited CSL A$179.12 A$197.03 +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $251.65 $218.36 −13%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.52 $24.22 −59%
BeOne Medicines AG 6160 HK$218.20 HK$169.72 −22%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
BioNTech SE BNTX $100.87 $63.62 −37%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Healthcare stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lipocine Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LPCN

Frequently asked questions

Is Lipocine Inc (LPCN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.48 versus a price of $2.09, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LPCN?
Our model-based fair value for Lipocine Inc is $1.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.09.
What is the quality score of LPCN?
Lipocine Inc has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.48 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.9775, optimistic scenario $1.85. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lipocine Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.48, about −29% upside versus a price of $2.09 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.9775, optimistic scenario $1.85. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
Lipocine Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lipocine Inc it is $1.48 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.09. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lipocine Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LPCN trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.09, fair value $1.48, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LPCN?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.48). For Lipocine Inc the two are $0.6110 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lipocine Inc worth?
The market values Lipocine Inc at about $17.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.09; our models calculate a fair value of $1.48 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LPCN?
Our models span a range for Lipocine Inc: cautious scenario $0.9775, base $1.48, optimistic $1.85 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lipocine Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −60.9%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LPCN from its 52-week high?
Lipocine Inc trades at $2.09, about 81% below its 52-week high of $11.26 and 8% above the low of $1.94 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.48 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lipocine Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, Samsung Biologics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lipocine Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.09, calculated fair value $1.48 (−29%), Quality Score 25/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LPCN calculated?
We run Lipocine Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.48, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Lipocine Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was $2.09. Our model-based fair value is $1.48, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lipocine Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.85). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (25/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range ($0.9775 to $1.85) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Lipocine Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
The market capitalisation of Lipocine Inc is $17.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lipocine Inc is 11.3 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
Earnings per share at Lipocine Inc are $−1.85. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lipocine Inc is −60.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lipocine Inc is −34.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
The operating margin of Lipocine Inc is −1,495% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lipocine Inc (LPCN)?
Revenue at Lipocine Inc is growing −69.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +58.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Lipocine Inc (LPCN) generate?
The free cash flow of Lipocine Inc is −$9.8M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Lipocine Inc (LPCN) hold?
Lipocine Inc holds more cash than debt, $5.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch Lipocine Inc in the live analysis

One click puts Lipocine Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.