Lipocine Inc (LPCN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Lipocine Inc $1.48, price $2.09, upside -29.2%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Lipocine Inc
LPCN · USWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.94 – $31.45 · fair‑value band $0.9775 – $1.85 · the $2.09 price screens above the $1.48 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Company profile
Lipocine Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development for the delivery of drugs using its proprietary delivery technology. The company offers TLANDO, an oral testosterone replacement therapy (TRT) comprising testosterone undecanoate.
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Lipocine Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development for the delivery of drugs using its proprietary delivery technology. The company offers TLANDO, an oral testosterone replacement therapy (TRT) comprising testosterone undecanoate. It also develops LPCN 1154 (BRLIZIO), an oral neuro-steroid in a Phase 3 pivotal trial for postpartum depression; LPCN 1148, a prodrug of testosterone and testosterone laurate that has completed a Phase 2 trial for the management of decompensated cirrhosis; LPCN 1107, an oral hydroxy progesterone caproate product that has completed a Phase 2 trial for the prevention of recurrent preterm birth; LPCN 1144, an oral prodrug of bioidentical testosterone that has completed a Phase 2 trial for pre-cirrhotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis; and LPCN 2401, an oral formulation comprising a proprietary anabolic androgen receptor agonist that is in a Phase 2 trial to manage incretin mimetic use in obesity management. In addition, the company is developing LPCN 2201, an oral brexanolone formulation that has completed a Phase 1 trial for major depressive disorders; LPCN 2203, an oral candidate that has completed a Phase 1 trial for management of essential tremor; and LPCN 2101, a neuroactive steroids (NAS) candidate that has completed a Phase 1 trial for drug-resistant epilepsy and women with epilepsy. The company's products focus on neurological and psychiatric central nervous system (CNS) disorders, liver disease, and hormone supplementation in the United States. It has a collaboration with Verity Pharmaceuticals, Inc. to develop and commercialize TLANDO; and TLANDO XR (LPCN 1111), a once-daily oral product candidate that has completed a Phase 2 trial for testosterone replacement therapy. Lipocine Inc. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.
Stock analysis
Lipocine Inc (LPCN) currently trades at $2.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.48, implying the stock looks roughly 41.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: $0.9775 (bear) to $1.85 (bull), the price of $2.09 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Lipocine Inc reported revenue of $2.0M in FY2025 versus $16.1M in FY2021, a compound −40.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.6M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $17.2M · P/S ratio 11.3 · EPS (TTM) $−1.85 · Return on equity −60.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −34.1% · Operating margin −1,495% · Revenue (TTM) $1.6M · Revenue growth (YoY) −69.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 81% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −29%, LPCN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
All 1 models by family
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Revenue & earnings trend
LPCN screens 41% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →
Compare Lipocine Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 654 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Health Care sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
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| argenx SE ARGX | $963.79 | $918.60 | −5% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,366,000 KRW | 1,502,600 KRW | +10% |
| CSL Limited CSL | A$179.12 | A$197.03 | +10% |
| Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY | $251.65 | $218.36 | −13% |
| Royalty Pharma plc RPRX | $58.52 | $24.22 | −59% |
| BeOne Medicines AG 6160 | HK$218.20 | HK$169.72 | −22% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 177,400 KRW | 74,519 KRW | −58% |
| BioNTech SE BNTX | $100.87 | $63.62 | −37% |
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Key figures of Lipocine Inc
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