Lemon Sistemi S.p.A (LS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · IT · Market cap €14.6M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 10 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −1.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 81% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€0.3600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range €1.23 – €3.00 · fair‑value band €0.2900 – €0.3600 · the €1.51 price screens above the €0.2900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Lemon Sistemi S.p.A (LS) currently trades at €1.51, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2900, implying the stock looks roughly 80.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at €7.8M. Revenue grew 39.6% year over year. Net debt stands at €2.9M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €0.2900 (bear case) to €0.3600 (bull case); at €1.51, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at -81%, LS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 10 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€0.5700) versus Earnings-Based (€0.0100). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lemon Sistemi S.p.A. designs, constructs, and installs photovoltaic systems and solar thermal systems. It engages in the design and implementation of B2C and B2B photovoltaic systems; and the design and construction of photovoltaic parks, as well as engages in co-development activities for utility-scale battery energy storage systems (BESS).
Full company description
Lemon Sistemi S.p.A. designs, constructs, and installs photovoltaic systems and solar thermal systems. It engages in the design and implementation of B2C and B2B photovoltaic systems; and the design and construction of photovoltaic parks, as well as engages in co-development activities for utility-scale battery energy storage systems (BESS). The company was founded in 2009 and is based in Balestrate, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lemon Sistemi S.p.A reported revenue of €7.4M in FY2025 versus €4.8M in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was €2.0K in FY2025, compounding −78.8%/yr from FY2021.
LS screens 81% overvalued. Compare with First Solar, Inc →
Peer Group
Solar · 118 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Solar stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| First Solar, Inc FSLR | $221.03 | $284.45 | +29% |
| Nextpower Inc NXT | $111.50 | $69.61 | -38% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,923 | ₹3,613 | +24% |
| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥13.08 | ¥12.13 | -7% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥4.39 | ¥4.75 | +8% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥21.64 | ¥22.76 | +5% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥10.11 | ¥7.01 | -31% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $44.83 | $22.20 | -50% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹1,086 | ₹912.32 | -16% |
| Trina Solar Co 688599 | ¥12.98 | ¥7.97 | -39% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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