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Laird Superfood Inc (LSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Laird Superfood Inc $1.01, price $3.59, upside -71.9%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · US · ISIN US50736T1025

LS Laird Superfood Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Laird Superfood Inc

LSF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.01 · Strongly overvalued (−72%)
!Quality 43/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +14.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -6.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/10)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$30.45 $0.6500 Fair Value $1.01 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.6500 – $30.45 · fair‑value band $0.6600 – $1.26 · the $3.59 price screens above the $1.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Laird Superfood, Inc. manufactures and markets plant-based natural and functional food in the United States. The company provides powdered and liquid coffee creamers; Coffee, tea, and hot chocolate products; hydration and beverage enhancing supplements; hydrate coconut water products; performance mushroom supplements; harvest snacks; and other food items.

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Laird Superfood, Inc. manufactures and markets plant-based natural and functional food in the United States. The company provides powdered and liquid coffee creamers; Coffee, tea, and hot chocolate products; hydration and beverage enhancing supplements; hydrate coconut water products; performance mushroom supplements; harvest snacks; and other food items. It provides its products through its e-commerce channels, including lairdsuperfood.com and pickybars.com; and third-party platforms and marketplaces. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Boulder, Colorado.

Stock analysis

Laird Superfood Inc (LSF) currently trades at $3.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.01, implying the stock looks roughly 255.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.6600 (bear) to $1.26 (bull), the price of $3.59 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Laird Superfood Inc reported revenue of $49.9M in FY2025 versus $36.8M in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $51.5M · P/S ratio 1.03 · EPS (TTM) $−0.1800 · Net margin −6.5% · Return on equity −26.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −51.8% · Operating margin −18.5% · Revenue (TTM) $49.9M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 78% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −3% fair-value upside, at −72%, LSF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.6600 Fair Value $1.01 Bull $1.26
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.5200 $0.7000 $1.04 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.5200 $0.7000 $1.04 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 71
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 26
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−50.1% (2020) → −6.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

LSF screens 255% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 666 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −72% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −11% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −18% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.49× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.03× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 30
FUTURE (revenue growth)75 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 58

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.09 CHF 59.49 −23%
Danone S.A BN €60.14 €50.81 −16%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $23.79 $29.20 +23%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥34.29 ¥37.72 +10%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,387 ₹724.74 −48%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.77 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.12 ¥9.98 −60%
General Mills, Inc GIS $35.82 $34.66 −3%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 74.50 TWD 68.72 TWD −8%
McCormick & Company MKC $49.09 $51.01 +4%

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Laird Superfood Inc · Fair Value
$1.01 −255%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Laird Superfood Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LSF

Frequently asked questions

Is Laird Superfood Inc (LSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.01 versus a price of $3.59, about −72% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LSF?
Our model-based fair value for Laird Superfood Inc is $1.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.59.
What is the quality score of LSF?
Laird Superfood Inc has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6600, optimistic scenario $1.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Laird Superfood Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.01, about −72% upside versus a price of $3.59 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.6600, optimistic scenario $1.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Laird Superfood Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $49.9M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Laird Superfood Inc it is $1.01 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $3.59. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Laird Superfood Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, LSF trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.59, fair value $1.01, a gap of about −72% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.59); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.01). For Laird Superfood Inc the two are $2.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Laird Superfood Inc worth?
The market values Laird Superfood Inc at about $51.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $3.59; our models calculate a fair value of $1.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LSF?
Our models span a range for Laird Superfood Inc: cautious scenario $0.6600, base $1.01, optimistic $1.26 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $3.59). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Laird Superfood Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −26.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LSF from its 52-week high?
Laird Superfood Inc trades at $3.59, about 43% below its 52-week high of $6.33 and 78% above the low of $2.02 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Laird Superfood Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, The Kraft Heinz Company, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Laird Superfood Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $3.59, calculated fair value $1.01 (−72%), Quality Score 43/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LSF calculated?
We run Laird Superfood Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.01, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Laird Superfood Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $3.59. Our model-based fair value is $1.01, about −72% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Laird Superfood Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.26). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.6600 to $1.26) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Laird Superfood Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The market capitalisation of Laird Superfood Inc is $51.5M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Laird Superfood Inc is 1.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Earnings per share at Laird Superfood Inc are $−0.1800. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The net margin of Laird Superfood Inc is −6.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Laird Superfood Inc is −26.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Laird Superfood Inc is −51.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The operating margin of Laird Superfood Inc is −18.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Revenue at Laird Superfood Inc is growing +15.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Laird Superfood Inc (LSF) generate?
The free cash flow of Laird Superfood Inc is −$2.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Laird Superfood Inc (LSF) hold?
Laird Superfood Inc holds more cash than debt, $5.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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