Laird Superfood Inc (LSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Laird Superfood Inc stock $0.99, price $2.22, that is 55.4% below the price, quality 45 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with one of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.6500 – $25.06 · fair‑value band $0.6500 – $1.24 · the $2.22 price screens above the $0.9900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Follow Laird Superfood in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Laird Superfood is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Laird Superfood, Inc. manufactures and markets plant-based natural and functional food in the United States.
Show moreShow less
The company provides powdered and liquid coffee creamers; Coffee, tea, and hot chocolate products; hydration and beverage enhancing supplements; hydrate coconut water products; performance mushroom supplements; harvest snacks; and other food items.
It provides its products through its e-commerce channels, including lairdsuperfood.com and pickybars.com; and third-party platforms and marketplaces. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Boulder, Colorado.
Stock analysis
Laird Superfood Inc (LSF) currently trades at $2.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9900, 55% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Scenario range: $0.6500 (bear) to $1.24 (bull), the price of $2.22 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Laird Superfood Inc reported revenue of $49.9M in FY2025 versus $36.8M in FY2021, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$3.3M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $25.0M Micro · P/S ratio 0.37 · EPS (TTM) $−0.3600 · Net margin −3.4% · Return on equity −4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −51.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin −4.5% · Revenue (TTM) $81.5M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at −55%, LSF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$0.6500Fair Value $0.9900Bull$1.24
Price $2.22 · Downside -55.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors bought shares worth $350,104, most recently on Jun 10, 2026. Buying cluster
BuyGregory B GravesDirector15,000 shares at $3.45$51,750Jun 10, 2026
BuyGrant J LaMontagneDirector2× since May 20, 2026: 90,736 shares, avg. $3.29$298,354Jun 5, 2026
Plus 3 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+29.2%
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−50.1% (2020) → −6.8% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 625 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score45 · Below median
Fair Value upside−55.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−16.9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months)−3.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−4.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)244.4% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.18× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)0.31× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 35
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 25
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 55
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Laird Superfood Inc (LSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9900 versus a price of $2.22, about 55% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LSF?
Our model-based fair value for Laird Superfood Inc is $0.9900 (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.22.
What is the quality score of LSF?
Laird Superfood Inc has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.9900 (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.6500, optimistic scenario $1.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Laird Superfood Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.9900, about 55% lower versus a price of $2.22 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.6500, optimistic scenario $1.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Laird Superfood Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $81.5M (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Laird Superfood Inc it is $0.9900 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of $2.22. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models in 1 family (Asset-Based).
Is Laird Superfood Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, LSF trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.22, fair value $0.9900, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.9900). For Laird Superfood Inc the two are $1.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Laird Superfood Inc worth?
The market values Laird Superfood Inc at about $25.0M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is $2.22; our models calculate a fair value of $0.9900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LSF?
Our models span a range for Laird Superfood Inc: cautious scenario $0.6500, base $0.9900, optimistic $1.24 per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price $2.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Laird Superfood Inc (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity −4.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LSF from its 52-week high?
Laird Superfood Inc trades at $2.22, about 56% below its 52-week high of $5.02 and 10% above the low of $2.02 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.9900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Laird Superfood Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Laird Superfood Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price $2.22, calculated fair value $0.9900 (−55%), Quality Score 45/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LSF calculated?
We run Laird Superfood Inc through 1 models from 1 family: Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $0.9900 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Laird Superfood Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $2.22. Our model-based fair value is $0.9900, about 55% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Laird Superfood Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (45/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($0.6500 to $1.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Laird Superfood Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The market capitalisation of Laird Superfood Inc is $25.0M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Laird Superfood Inc is 0.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Earnings per share at Laird Superfood Inc are $−0.3600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The net margin of Laird Superfood Inc is −3.4% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Laird Superfood Inc is −4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Laird Superfood Inc is −51.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
The operating margin of Laird Superfood Inc is −4.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Laird Superfood Inc (LSF)?
Revenue at Laird Superfood Inc is growing +244% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Laird Superfood Inc (LSF) generate?
The free cash flow of Laird Superfood Inc is −$2.9M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Laird Superfood Inc (LSF) hold?
Laird Superfood Inc holds more cash than debt, $5.2M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Laird Superfood Inc in the live analysis
One click puts Laird Superfood Inc on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 27,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Nov 3, 2026
