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Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $5.8B

Price$44.88
Fair Value$31.15
Upside-30.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $17.34 – $67.91

Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026

Analysis

Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) currently trades at $44.88, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.15 — implying the stock looks roughly 30.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. It offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels. The company also provides its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers' own brands. It sells its products through a network of internal sales personnel and independent brokers, agents, and distributors to quick service and full-service restaurants and chains, wholesale, grocery, mass merchants, club retailers, and specialty retailers, as well as foodservice distributors and institutions, including businesses, educational institutions, independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores. Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Eagle, I…

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) undervalued?
As of Jun 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.15 versus a price of $44.88 — about −31% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of LW?
Our 21-model fair value for Lamb Weston Holdings is $31.15 (as of Jun 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $44.88.
What is the quality score of LW?
Lamb Weston Holdings has a Quality Score of 95/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.