Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Lamb Weston Holdings Inc stock $72.61, price $55.24, upside +31.4%, quality 55 out of 100. Rating: undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
LW · USThe stock costs 24% less than our calculation considers fair.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $37.86 – $106.85 · fair‑value band $37.09 – $90.76 · the $55.24 price screens below the $72.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Company profile
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. engages in the production, distribution, and marketing of frozen potato products in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally.
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It offers frozen potatoes, commercial ingredients, and appetizers under the Lamb Weston brand, as well as under various customer labels.
The company also provides its products under its owned or licensed brands, such as Grown in Idaho and Alexia, and other licensed brands, as well as under retailers' own brands.
It sells its products through a network of internal sales personnel and independent brokers, agents, and distributors to quick service and full-service restaurants and chains, wholesale, grocery, mass merchants, club retailers, and specialty retailers, as well as foodservice distributors and institutions, including businesses, educational institutions, independent restaurants, regional chain restaurants, and convenience stores.
Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Eagle, Idaho.
Stock analysis
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (LW) currently trades at $55.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $72.61, implying the stock looks roughly 24% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $55.75 per share, and 5 of the 26 models we run sit above the $55.24 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $14.57, and 21 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $37.09 (bear) to $90.76 (bull), the price of $55.24 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Lamb Weston Holdings Inc reported revenue of $6.6B in FY2026 versus $4.1B in FY2022, a compound +12.7%/yr. Reported net income was $290M in FY2026, compounding +9.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $7.6B Mid · P/E ratio 30.2 · P/S ratio 1.15 · EPS (TTM) $1.83 · Dividend yield 2.7% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 14.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.1% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat.
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −1% fair-value upside, at 31%, LW screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
All 26 models by family
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a year distorted by one-off effects.
Quality Score breakdown
It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.
Insider trades
In the last 6 months, one officer or director bought shares worth $409,250, on May 11, 2026.
- BuyJames D GrayChief Financial Officer2× since Apr 27, 2026: 14,556 shares, avg. $41.84$609,031May 11, 2026
- BuyJANA Partners Management, LPDirector2× since Apr 7, 2026: 386,000 shares, avg. $41.64$16.1MApr 15, 2026
- BuyNorman PrestageDirector2,500 shares at $41.40$103,500Apr 7, 2026
- BuyPeter J BensenDirector5,000 shares at $39.45$197,250Apr 6, 2026
- BuyJan Eli B CrapsExecutive Chair, Director50,000 shares at $48.65$2.4MFeb 6, 2026
Plus 33 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Forecast
Watch LW, get fair value alerts →
Recent news
- Lamb Weston Announces Participation in Upcoming Investor Events
- Is Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) Fully Valued As Its Recent Rebound Meets Conflicting Fair Value Views?
- Does Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) Look Fully Valued Despite Antitrust Risk?
Compare Lamb Weston Holdings Inc with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 627 stocks
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- P/S ratio by industry
- EBIT margin by industry
- Stock screener with 62 metrics
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value | Compare |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 2.97 SGD | 4.93 SGD | +66% | vs LW |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥31.45 | ¥41.84 | +33% | vs LW |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $24.61 | $29.20 | +19% | vs LW |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.78 | ¥39.22 | +10% | vs LW |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $35.51 | $35.30 | −1% | vs LW |
| Danone S.A BN | €67.12 | €50.65 | −25% | vs LW |
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 85.85 | CHF 59.51 | −31% | vs LW |
| Kerry Group KRZ | €98.00 | €60.33 | −38% | vs LW |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,282 | ₹724.74 | −43% | vs LW |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥26.21 | ¥12.21 | −53% | vs LW |
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Key figures of Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
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