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Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · TR · Market cap 24.1B TRY

LY Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. LYDYE · IS
Price12,738 TRY
Fair Value10,502 TRY
Upside-17.6%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: Medium Range 5,537 TRY – 18,852 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated today

Share price −5.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 18% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The model range is unusually wide (5,537 TRY to 18,852 TRY). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (23 months)

20,250 TRY 8,500 TRY Fair Value 10,502 TRY Sep 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

23‑month range 8,500 TRY – 20,250 TRY · fair‑value band 5,537 TRY – 18,852 TRY · the 12,738 TRY price screens above the 10,502 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE) currently trades at 12,738 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 10,502 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 17.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 52.2M TRY. Revenue declined 11.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.9%. Net debt stands at 14.5M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 5,537 TRY (bear case) to 18,852 TRY (bull case); at 12,738 TRY, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -30% fair-value upside, at -18%, LYDYE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E 19,704 TRY 28,149 TRY 36,594 TRY 68
P/E Multiple 14,671 TRY 19,562 TRY 24,452 TRY 63
Residual Income 10,738 TRY 18,483 TRY 459,021 TRY 61
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 17,194 TRY 39,128 TRY 85,173 TRY 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 7,390 TRY 51,537 TRY 72,324 TRY 54
Lynch FV 15,397 TRY 21,996 TRY 28,595 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 15,397 TRY 21,996 TRY 28,595 TRY 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple 14,671 TRY 19,562 TRY 24,452 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 52.78 TRY 70.37 TRY 87.96 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 2,533 TRY 3,378 TRY 4,222 TRY 55
EV/EBITDA 20.73 TRY 27.63 TRY 34.53 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 938.21 TRY 1,257 TRY 1,876 TRY 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 10,738 TRY 18,483 TRY 459,021 TRY 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 19,704 TRY 28,149 TRY 36,594 TRY 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (39,128 TRY) versus Multiples (70.37 TRY). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 52.2M TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -11.3%
Net margin 1,380%
Return on equity 24.9%
Free cash flow −68.7M TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 42.0
More key figures
Operating margin -330%
EPS (TTM) 302.89 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) +28.2%
Net debt 14.5M TRY FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 16
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. engages in the production and sale of electricity and thermal energy in Turkey. It generates electricity through solar, hydrogen, wind, river, lake, sea, and underground/aboveground thermal water and steam resources.

Full company description

Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. engages in the production and sale of electricity and thermal energy in Turkey. It generates electricity through solar, hydrogen, wind, river, lake, sea, and underground/aboveground thermal water and steam resources. The company also produces and packages all types of food products, including fresh vegetables and fruits, fresh and dried products, semi-finished products, and all raw and auxiliary materials related to the products and semi-finished products. Additionally, it engages in establishment, commissioning, operation, and leasing electrical energy production facilities. The company was formerly known as Tetamat Gida Yatirimlari A.S. and changed its name to Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. in September 2024. Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. reported revenue of 53.2M TRY in FY2025 versus 8.5M TRY in FY2021, a compound +58.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B TRY in FY2025.

Growth Quality 39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
53.2M TRY
Latest YoY
−25.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.1%
Revenue +58.4%/yr
FY21 8.5M TRY
FY22 47.2M TRY
FY23 71.4M TRY
FY24 71.5M TRY
FY25 53.2M TRY
Net income
FY21 −5.8M TRY
FY22 −25.2M TRY
FY23 67.0M TRY
FY24 1.3B TRY
FY25 2.1B TRY

LYDYE screens 18% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LYDYE

Peer Group

Utilities - Renewable · 223 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −18% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -11% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.14× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.69× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 10 · sector 10
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 99 · sector 12
HEALTH 100 · sector 68
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥27.99 ¥25.13 -10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 149.70 kr 31.40 -79%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.81 ¥5.57 -43%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,537 ₹170.50 -89%
AXIA Energia SA AXIAP $10.74 $9.65 -10%
VERBUND AG OEWA €58.65 €66.19 +13%
BEP BEP $32.33 $73.35 +127%
BEPUN BEPUN C$44.56 C$10.15 -77%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €19.89 €13.90 -30%
China Longyuan Power Group 001289 ¥16.21 ¥8.23 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 10,502 TRY versus a price of 12,738 TRY, about −18% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LYDYE?
Our model-based fair value for Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. is 10,502 TRY (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 12,738 TRY.
What is the quality score of LYDYE?
Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 52.2M TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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