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Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. TRY 3,901, price TRY 5,518, upside -29.3%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Utilities · TR

LY Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S.

LYDYE · IS

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 3,901 TRY · Overvalued (−29.3%)
!Quality 41/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +4.1 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

20,250 TRY 5,518 TRY Fair Value 3,901 TRY Sep 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

24‑month range 5,518 TRY – 20,250 TRY · fair‑value band 3,253 TRY – 4,896 TRY · the 5,518 TRY price screens above the 3,901 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. engages in the production and sale of electricity and thermal energy in Turkey. It generates electricity through solar, hydrogen, wind, river, lake, sea, and underground/aboveground thermal water and steam resources.

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Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. engages in the production and sale of electricity and thermal energy in Turkey. It generates electricity through solar, hydrogen, wind, river, lake, sea, and underground/aboveground thermal water and steam resources. The company also produces and packages all types of food products, including fresh vegetables and fruits, fresh and dried products, semi-finished products, and all raw and auxiliary materials related to the products and semi-finished products. Additionally, it engages in establishment, commissioning, operation, and leasing electrical energy production facilities. The company was formerly known as Tetamat Gida Yatirimlari A.S. and changed its name to Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. in September 2024. Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE) currently trades at 5,518 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,901 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 41.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 29,106 TRY per share, and 7 of the 11 models we run sit above the 5,518 TRY price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1,257 TRY, and 4 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 3,253 TRY (bear) to 4,896 TRY (bull), the price of 5,518 TRY sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. reported revenue of 53.2M TRY in FY2025 versus 8.5M TRY in FY2021, a compound +58.4%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B TRY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 24.1B TRY (≈ $492M) · P/E ratio 42.0 · EPS (TTM) 302.89 TRY · Net margin 1,380% · Return on equity 24.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.7% · Operating margin −330% · Revenue (TTM) 52.2M TRY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 73% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −29%, LYDYE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 3,253 TRY Fair Value 3,901 TRY Bull 4,896 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (224.06 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings 14,043 TRY 29,106 TRY 57,054 TRY 69
EV/EBITDA 20.73 TRY 27.63 TRY 34.53 TRY 67
Growth-Adj P/E 19,704 TRY 28,149 TRY 36,594 TRY 65
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 14,043 TRY 29,106 TRY 57,054 TRY 69
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 7,390 TRY 51,537 TRY 72,324 TRY 60
Lynch FV 15,397 TRY 21,996 TRY 28,595 TRY 58
PEG = 1.0 15,397 TRY 21,996 TRY 28,595 TRY 55
Multiples
P/E Multiple 14,671 TRY 19,562 TRY 24,452 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 52.78 TRY 70.37 TRY 87.96 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 2,533 TRY 3,378 TRY 4,222 TRY 55
EV/EBITDA 20.73 TRY 27.63 TRY 34.53 TRY 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 938.21 TRY 1,257 TRY 1,876 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 5,882 TRY 10,269 TRY 28,182 TRY 57
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 19,704 TRY 28,149 TRY 36,594 TRY 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 11
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 39/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−25.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−67.5% (2021) → −21.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed

LYDYE screens 41% overvalued. Compare with China Yangtze Power Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Renewable · 207 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Below median
Fair Value upside −29.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 24.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets −1.5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −11.3% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.0× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.14× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 9.43× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)99 · sector 14
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 70
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Yangtze Power Co 600900 ¥28.36 ¥31.20 +10%
Ørsted A/S ORSTED kr 137.00 kr 31.40 −77%
Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 ¥9.75 ¥4.45 −54%
Fortum Oyj FORTUM €23.42 €14.06 −40%
Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN ₹1,297 ₹169.61 −87%
SDIC Power Holdings 600886 ¥14.86 ¥16.35 +10%
EDP Renewables, S.A EDPR €12.99 €3.53 −73%
China Three Gorges Renewables (Group) Co 600905 ¥3.61 ¥2.40 −34%
Public Power Corporation PPC €22.96 €7.44 −68%
GD Power Development Co 600795 ¥5.24 ¥5.99 +14%

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Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. · Fair Value
3,901 TRY −41%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LYDYE

Frequently asked questions

Is Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3,901 TRY versus a price of 5,518 TRY, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LYDYE?
Our model-based fair value for Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. is 3,901 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5,518 TRY.
What is the quality score of LYDYE?
Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 3,901 TRY (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 11 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3,253 TRY, optimistic scenario 4,896 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 3,901 TRY, about −29% upside versus a price of 5,518 TRY (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3,253 TRY, optimistic scenario 4,896 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 52.2M TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. it is 3,901 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 5,518 TRY. It is the blended result of 11 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LYDYE trades above its calculated fair value: price 5,518 TRY, fair value 3,901 TRY, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LYDYE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5,518 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (3,901 TRY). For Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. the two are 1,616 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. worth?
The market values Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. at about 24.1B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 5,518 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 3,901 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LYDYE?
Our models span a range for Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S.: cautious scenario 3,253 TRY, base 3,901 TRY, optimistic 4,896 TRY per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 5,518 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LYDYE?
Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 42.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 3,901 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.1, P/S 9.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 24.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LYDYE from its 52-week high?
Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. trades at 5,518 TRY, about 73% below its 52-week high of 20,250 TRY and at the low of 5,518 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 3,901 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value China Yangtze Power Co, Ørsted A/S, Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc, Fortum Oyj, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 5,518 TRY, calculated fair value 3,901 TRY (−29%), Quality Score 41/100, from 11 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LYDYE calculated?
We run Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. through 11 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 3,901 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 5,518 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 3,901 TRY, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (4,896 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S.

How large is the market capitalisation of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
The market capitalisation of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. is 24.1B TRY (≈ $492M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
Earnings per share at Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. are 302.89 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 42.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
The net margin of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. is 1,380% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. is 24.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. is −15.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
The operating margin of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. is −330% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
Revenue at Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. is growing −11.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE)?
Earnings per share at Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. are growing +28.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE) generate?
The free cash flow of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. is −68.7M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. (LYDYE) carry?
The net debt of Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari A.S. is 14.5M TRY (fiscal year 2022). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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