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Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Mohawk Industries, Inc. BRL 16.32, price BRL 24.98, upside -34.7%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · BR · Home US

MI Some data Sep 24, 2026

Mohawk Industries, Inc.

M1HK34 · SA

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

!Fair value R$16.32 · Overvalued (−34.7%)
✓Quality 62/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −2.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (8/10)
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 13 out of 100
!Weak on past: 20 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R$42.88 R$15.00 Fair Value R$16.32 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R$15.00 – R$42.88 · fair‑value band R$12.09 – R$24.18 · the R$24.98 price screens above the R$16.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World.

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Mohawk Industries, Inc. designs, manufactures, sources, distributes, and markets flooring products for residential and commercial remodeling, and new construction channels in the United States, Europe, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Global Ceramic, Flooring North America, and Flooring Rest of the World. The company provides ceramic, porcelain, and natural stone tiles products for floor and wall applications; natural stones, porcelain slabs, and quartz countertops, as well as installation materials; floor covering products comprising broadloom carpets, carpet tiles, rugs and mats, carpet pads, laminates, medium-density fiberboards, wood floorings, vinyl tiles, hybrid flooring, and sheet vinyl; and roofing panels, insulation boards, mezzanine flooring products, medium-density fiberboard, decorative panels, and chipboards. It also licenses its intellectual property to flooring manufacturers. The company sells its products under the American Olean, Daltile, Decortiles, Durkan, Eliane, Elizabeth, Feltex, Godfrey Hirst, IVC Home, Karastan, Kerama Marazzi, Marazzi, Moduleo, Mohawk, Pergo, Quick-Step, Unilin, Vitromex, GH Commercial, Hycraft, Lentex Flooring, Leoline, Redbook, EmilGroup, KAI, Ragno, Aladdin Commercial, Durkan, Foss, IVC Resilient Design, Mohawk Group, Mohawk Home, and Portico. It offers its products to home centers, company-owned service centers and stores, floor covering retailers, ceramic tile specialists, e-commerce retailers, residential builders, independent distributors, commercial contractors, and commercial end users. The company was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in Calhoun, Georgia.

Stock analysis

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34) currently trades at R$24.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$16.32, 34.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of R$21.97 per share, and 5 of the 22 models we run sit above the R$24.98 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at R$10.14, and 17 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: R$12.09 (bear) to R$24.18 (bull), the price of R$24.98 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Mohawk Industries, Inc. reported revenue of $10.8B in FY2025 versus $11.7B in FY2022, a compound −2.8%/yr. Reported net income was $370M in FY2025, compounding +144.7%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap R$34.3B (≈ $6.6B) · P/E ratio 18.8 · P/S ratio 0.64 · EPS (TTM) R$1.33 · Net margin 3.4% · Return on equity 5.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin 5.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at −35%, M1HK34 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R$12.09 Fair Value R$16.32 Bull R$24.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (R$1.01 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF R$16.33 R$23.37 R$36.01 76
Growth DCF R$17.15 R$23.93 R$35.17 75
Owner Earnings R$15.30 R$21.97 R$33.93 73
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF R$16.33 R$23.37 R$36.01 76
Owner Earnings R$15.30 R$21.97 R$33.93 73
5Y Revenue Exit R$12.86 R$19.31 R$28.67 69
5Y EBITDA Exit R$22.21 R$35.48 R$53.06 71
5Y P/E Exit R$15.12 R$23.21 R$32.90 68
10Y Revenue Exit R$13.76 R$18.61 R$23.72 65
10Y EBITDA Exit R$19.67 R$28.38 R$37.72 66
10Y P/E Exit R$15.47 R$20.96 R$26.15 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R$8.30 R$10.14 R$11.41 65
EPV R$8.68 R$10.51 R$12.10 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple R$20.13 R$26.84 R$33.55 63
P/S Multiple R$15.56 R$20.74 R$25.93 58
P/B Multiple R$15.56 R$20.74 R$25.93 55
EV/EBIT R$18.89 R$26.16 R$33.43 66
EV/EBITDA R$30.99 R$42.30 R$53.60 67
EV/Revenue R$11.78 R$18.08 R$24.38 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R$13.81 R$18.50 R$27.62 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF R$17.15 R$23.93 R$35.17 75
Rev-Margin DCF R$12.86 R$19.78 R$28.34 69
Economic Profit
Residual Income R$20.83 R$21.11 R$22.00 68
ROIC Compounder R$8.68 R$10.51 R$12.10 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E R$14.19 R$20.27 R$26.35 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49

Profitability 35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 30
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 54
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.1% (2022) → 4.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed

M1HK34 screens overvalued: fair value 35% below the price. Compare with Midea Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 303 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −14.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 5.1% · Above median
Return on assets 3.4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 8.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.21× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.8× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.24× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)13 · sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)40 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)20 · sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)90 · sector 98
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 62

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

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Haier Smart Home Co 600690 ¥20.14 ¥45.72 +127%
SharkNinja, Inc SN $177.74 $100.43 −43%
Somnigroup International Inc SGI $62.75 $31.80 −49%
De'Longhi S.p.A DLG €38.86 €40.11 +3%
Hisense Home Appliances Group 000921 ¥26.36 ¥41.56 +58%
COWAY Co 021240 99,800 KRW 74,673 KRW −25%
Zhejiang Supor Co 002032 ¥39.23 ¥50.78 +29%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mohawk Industries, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/M1HK34

Frequently asked questions

Is Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R$16.32 versus a price of R$24.98, about −35% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of M1HK34?
Our model-based fair value for Mohawk Industries, Inc. is R$16.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R$24.98.
What is the quality score of M1HK34?
Mohawk Industries, Inc. has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R$16.32 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario R$12.09, optimistic scenario R$24.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mohawk Industries, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R$16.32, about −35% upside versus a price of R$24.98 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R$12.09, optimistic scenario R$24.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
Mohawk Industries, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mohawk Industries, Inc. it is R$16.32 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of R$24.98. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mohawk Industries, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, M1HK34 trades above its calculated fair value: price R$24.98, fair value R$16.32, a gap of about −35% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of M1HK34?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R$24.98); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R$16.32). For Mohawk Industries, Inc. the two are R$8.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mohawk Industries, Inc. worth?
The market values Mohawk Industries, Inc. at about R$34.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is R$24.98; our models calculate a fair value of R$16.32 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about M1HK34?
Our models span a range for Mohawk Industries, Inc.: cautious scenario R$12.09, base R$16.32, optimistic R$24.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price R$24.98). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of M1HK34?
Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of R$16.32 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.2.
What is the PEG ratio of M1HK34?
The PEG ratio of Mohawk Industries, Inc. is 0.24 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mohawk Industries, Inc. (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 5.1%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is M1HK34 from its 52-week high?
Mohawk Industries, Inc. trades at R$24.98, about 11% below its 52-week high of R$28.04 and 37% above the low of R$18.24 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R$16.32 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mohawk Industries, Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, King Slide Works Co, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mohawk Industries, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price R$24.98, calculated fair value R$16.32 (−35%), Quality Score 62/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of M1HK34 calculated?
We run Mohawk Industries, Inc. through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of R$16.32, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Mohawk Industries, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was R$24.98. Our model-based fair value is R$16.32, about −35% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mohawk Industries, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (R$24.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (R$12.09 to R$24.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Mohawk Industries, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
The market capitalisation of Mohawk Industries, Inc. is R$34.3B (≈ $6.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mohawk Industries, Inc. is 0.64 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
Earnings per share at Mohawk Industries, Inc. are R$1.33 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
The net margin of Mohawk Industries, Inc. is 3.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mohawk Industries, Inc. is 5.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mohawk Industries, Inc. is 2.2% (avg 4y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
The operating margin of Mohawk Industries, Inc. is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
Revenue at Mohawk Industries, Inc. is growing +8.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34)?
Earnings per share at Mohawk Industries, Inc. are growing +65.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34) generate?
The free cash flow of Mohawk Industries, Inc. is $616M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Mohawk Industries, Inc. (M1HK34) carry?
The net debt of Mohawk Industries, Inc. is $1.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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