Nitori Holdings (NCLTF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $10.3B
Nitori Holdings
NCLTF · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 11 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $37.01 to $21.68 (−41.4%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −9.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $12.82 – $23.92 · fair‑value band $16.26 – $21.68 · the $15.49 price screens below the $21.68 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Nitori Holdings (NCLTF) currently trades at $15.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.68 — implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nitori Holdings generated revenue of $912B at a net margin of 9.8%. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.4%. Net debt stands at $15.1B. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $16.26 (bear case) to $21.68 (bull case); at $15.49, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside — at 40%, NCLTF screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Nitori Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in sales furniture and interior products in Japan. It is involved in the advertising and public relations support; logistics; and other activities. The company engages in insurance agency and clothing related, as well as information system and digital base businesses. Nitori Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Nitori Holdings reported revenue of $918B in FY2026 versus $812B in FY2022, a compound +3.1%/yr. Reported net income was $89.8B in FY2026, compounding −1.8%/yr from FY2022.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.