Mader Group (MAD) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$1.6B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price −5.1% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (A$3.58 to A$12.81). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.7951 – A$9.63 · fair‑value band A$3.58 – A$12.81 · the A$7.43 price screens above the A$4.77 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
Mader Group (MAD) currently trades at A$7.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$4.77, implying the stock looks roughly 35.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Mader Group generated revenue of A$946M at a net margin of 6.5%. Revenue grew 17.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.9%. Net debt stands at A$15.1M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$3.58 (bear case) to A$12.81 (bull case); at A$7.43, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -36%, MAD screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$9.87) versus Asset-Based (A$0.7000). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Mader Group Limited, a contracting company, provides specialist technical services in the mining, energy, and industrial sectors in Australia, North America, and internationally. The company offers fabrication and line boring; electrical services; and maintenance and support services for mobile, fixed, and coal handling processing plants.
Full company description
Mader Group Limited, a contracting company, provides specialist technical services in the mining, energy, and industrial sectors in Australia, North America, and internationally. The company offers fabrication and line boring; electrical services; and maintenance and support services for mobile, fixed, and coal handling processing plants. It also provides Infrastructure solutions for defence, utilities, and construction maintenance services. In addition, the company offers maintenance services for rail, road transport, marine and preventative equipment, and heavy haulage. Further, the company provides in-field and power generation assets technical support, major overhauls and repairs, training of maintenance teams, and ancillary services. Mader Group Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Mader Group reported revenue of A$872M in FY2025 versus A$304M in FY2021, a compound +30.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$57.1M in FY2025, compounding +31.1%/yr from FY2021.
MAD screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →
Peer Group
Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $206.25 | $95.30 | -54% |
| RELX PLC RELX | $33.70 | $32.49 | -4% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | C$133.87 | C$70.40 | -47% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.61 | $28.59 | +4% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $80.49 | $69.67 | -13% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$156.43 | C$49.14 | -69% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.79 | A$12.28 | -35% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $87.76 | $33.62 | -62% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €62.56 | €103.99 | +66% |
| Aramark ARMK | $56.74 | $13.73 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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