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Maggie Beer Holdings (MBH) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · AU · Market cap A$34.9M

MB Maggie Beer Holdings MBH · AU
PriceA$0.0640
Fair ValueA$0.0250
Upside-60.9%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -25.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/10)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range A$0.0250 – A$0.0250 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from A$0.0280 to A$0.0250 (−10.7%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −9.9% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 61% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0250). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.5786 A$0.0500 Fair Value A$0.0250 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.0500 – A$0.5786 · the A$0.0640 price screens above the A$0.0250 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Maggie Beer Holdings (MBH) currently trades at A$0.0640, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0250, implying the stock looks roughly 60.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Maggie Beer Holdings generated revenue of A$75.4M at a net margin of -25.8%. Revenue declined 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -30.4%. Net debt stands at A$2.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -61%, MBH screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0700 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.0400 A$0.0500 A$0.0700 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$75.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.7%
Net margin -25.8%
Return on equity -30.4%
Free cash flow −A$815K FY2025
Operating margin 1.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) +10.1%
Net debt A$2.5M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 52
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Maggie Beer Holdings Limited manufactures and sells food and beverage, and gifting products in Australia and internationally. The company offers pates, fruit pastes, jams, sugo, sauces, wine, verjuice, pesto and passata, and other products under the Maggie Beer brand; and hampers and gifts under the Hamper Emporium and Gifts Australia brand.

Full company description

Maggie Beer Holdings Limited manufactures and sells food and beverage, and gifting products in Australia and internationally. The company offers pates, fruit pastes, jams, sugo, sauces, wine, verjuice, pesto and passata, and other products under the Maggie Beer brand; and hampers and gifts under the Hamper Emporium and Gifts Australia brand. Maggie Beer Holdings was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Tanunda, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Maggie Beer Holdings reported revenue of A$76.3M in FY2025 versus A$27.8M in FY2021, a compound +28.7%/yr. Reported net income was −A$24.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$76.3M
Latest YoY
+3.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.8%
Revenue +28.7%/yr
FY21 A$27.8M
FY22 A$90.0M
FY23 A$88.7M
FY24 A$73.6M
FY25 A$76.3M
Net income
FY21 A$1.9M
FY22 −A$12.5M
FY23 A$438K
FY24 −A$28.2M
FY25 −A$24.3M

MBH screens 61% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Maggie Beer Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBH

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 649 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -26% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -2% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.33× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 20
PAST 0 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Maggie Beer Holdings (MBH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0250 versus a price of A$0.0640, about −61% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MBH?
Our model-based fair value for Maggie Beer Holdings is A$0.0250 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.0640.
What is the quality score of MBH?
Maggie Beer Holdings has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Maggie Beer Holdings (MBH)?
Maggie Beer Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$75.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MBH?
The net profit margin of Maggie Beer Holdings is about -25.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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