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Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $986M

MB Mercantile Bank Corporation logo Mercantile Bank Corporation MBWM · US
Price$60.70
Fair Value$66.79
Upside+10.0%
Quality44/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 36.4% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.65% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 70/100
Evidence: High Range $50.09 – $83.49 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +8.1% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 10% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
  • Our model range runs from $50.09 (bear) to $83.49 (bull), base $66.79. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 44/100 (below-average quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$61.98 $21.37 Fair Value $66.79 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.37 – $61.98 · fair‑value band $50.09 – $83.49 · the $60.70 price screens below the $66.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) currently trades at $60.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $66.79, implying the stock looks roughly 10.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Mercantile Bank Corporation generated revenue of $253M at a net margin of 36.4%. Revenue grew 25.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at $353M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $50.09 (bear case) to $83.49 (bull case); at $60.70, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 10%, MBWM screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $36.74 $41.50 $68.31 76
Gordon GGM $10.77 $19.41 $26.72 70
P/E Multiple $50.09 $66.79 $83.49 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $10.77 $19.41 $26.72 70
DDM Multi-Stage $10.77 $17.73 $20.74 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $50.09 $66.79 $83.49 63
P/B Multiple $44.06 $58.75 $73.44 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.98 $28.12 $41.96 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $36.74 $41.50 $68.31 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($58.75) versus Dividend Discount ($17.73). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $253M
Revenue growth (YoY) +25.8%
Net margin 36.4%
Return on equity 13.7%
Free cash flow $11.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.3
More key figures
Operating margin 41.0%
EPS (TTM) $5.55
Dividend yield 2.7%
EPS growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net debt $353M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 23
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 89
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 73
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mercantile Bank Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Mercantile Bank that provides commercial and retail banking services to small- to medium-sized businesses and individuals in the United States. The company accepts various deposit products, such as checking, savings, and term certificate accounts; time deposits; and certificates of deposit.

Full company description

Mercantile Bank Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Mercantile Bank that provides commercial and retail banking services to small- to medium-sized businesses and individuals in the United States. The company accepts various deposit products, such as checking, savings, and term certificate accounts; time deposits; and certificates of deposit. It also provides commercial and industrial loans; vacant land, land development, and residential construction loans; owner and non-owner occupied real estate loans; multi-family and residential rental property loans; single-family residential real estate loans; home equity line of credit programs; consumer loans, such as new and used automobile and boat loans, and credit cards, as well as overdraft protection services; and residential mortgage and instalment loans. In addition, the company offers courier services and safe deposit boxes; and insurance products, such as private passenger automobile, homeowners, personal inland marine, boat owners, recreational vehicle, dwelling fire, umbrella policies, small business, and life insurance products. Mercantile Bank Corporation was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Grand Rapids, Michigan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mercantile Bank Corporation reported revenue of $372M in FY2025 versus $199M in FY2021, a compound +17.0%/yr. Reported net income was $88.8M in FY2025, compounding +10.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$372M
Latest YoY
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+20.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y)
+14.9%
Revenue +17.0%/yr
FY21 $199M
FY22 $214M
FY23 $304M
FY24 $362M
FY25 $372M
Net income +10.7%/yr
FY21 $59.0M
FY22 $61.1M
FY23 $82.2M
FY24 $79.6M
FY25 $88.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mercantile Bank Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBWM

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 45 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 36% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Above median
Revenue growth 26% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.69× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.36× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 3.90× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 87.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.5× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.63× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 47 · sector 39
FUTURE 100 · sector 44
PAST 55 · sector 41
HEALTH 66 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 53 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,175 IDR 6,087 IDR -1%
KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $66.79 versus a price of $60.70, about +10% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MBWM?
Our model-based fair value for Mercantile Bank Corporation is $66.79 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $60.70.
What is the quality score of MBWM?
Mercantile Bank Corporation has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM)?
Mercantile Bank Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $253M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MBWM?
The net profit margin of Mercantile Bank Corporation is about 36.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 36.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mercantile Bank Corporation pay a dividend?
Mercantile Bank Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.89% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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