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Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Microbix Biosystems Inc $0.07, price $0.22, upside -68.6%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Healthcare · US · Home Canada · ISIN CA59501P1045

MB Microbix Biosystems Inc logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Microbix Biosystems Inc

MBXBF · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $0.0700 · Strongly overvalued (−68.6%)
!Quality 37/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -38.6% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$0.7250 $0.1540 Fair Value $0.0700 Jun 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1540 – $0.7250 · fair‑value band $0.0500 – $0.0900 · the $0.2230 price screens above the $0.0700 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Microbix Biosystems Inc., a life science company, develops and commercializes proprietary biological and technological solutions for human health and wellbeing in North America, Europe, and internationally.

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Microbix Biosystems Inc., a life science company, develops and commercializes proprietary biological and technological solutions for human health and wellbeing in North America, Europe, and internationally. The company manufactures a wide range of critical biological materials and medical devices for the global diagnostics industry, notably test ingredients (Antigen business) used in immunoassays, quality assessment, and diagnostic-test products, such as test-controls under the QAPs brand; viral transport medium for enabling the collection of patient samples to test for pathogens including virus causing the COVID-19 disease under the DxTM brand; Kinlytic, a biologic thrombolytic drug used to treat blood clots; and antigen products. It also provides customer vial filling services. Microbix Biosystems Inc. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.

Stock analysis

Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF) currently trades at $0.2230, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0700, 68.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $0.0500 (bear) to $0.0900 (bull), the price of $0.2230 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Microbix Biosystems Inc reported revenue of C$18.6M in FY2025 versus C$18.6M in FY2021, a compound 0.0%/yr. Reported net income was −C$2.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $31.1M · P/S ratio 2.03 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0300 · Net margin −12.1% · Return on equity −20.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% · Operating margin −37.4% · Revenue (TTM) C$14.8M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −69%, MBXBF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.0500 Fair Value $0.0700 Bull $0.0900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EV/EBITDA $0.0500 $0.0500 $0.0500 67
NCAV (Graham) $0.0700 $0.1000 $0.1400 54
All 2 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.0500 $0.0500 $0.0500 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0700 $0.1000 $0.1400 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 63
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−26.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.7% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.0% (2020) → −8.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MBXBF screens overvalued: fair value 69% below the price. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 625 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Below median
Fair Value upside −79.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −8.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −38.6% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −37.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −36.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.19× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.08× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.03× · Cheaper than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $527.67 $580.44 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $752.25 $1,275 +69%
argenx SE ARGX $959.49 $918.60 −4%
CSL Limited CSL A$175.35 A$192.89 +10%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,354,000 KRW 1,489,400 KRW +10%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $360.85 $280.94 −22%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $255.96 $217.88 −15%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.21 $19.01 −67%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$53.00 HK$58.30 +10%

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Microbix Biosystems Inc · Fair Value
$0.0700 −69%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Microbix Biosystems Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBXBF

Frequently asked questions

Is Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0700 versus a price of $0.2230, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MBXBF?
Our model-based fair value for Microbix Biosystems Inc is $0.0700 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.2230.
What is the quality score of MBXBF?
Microbix Biosystems Inc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0700 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0500, optimistic scenario $0.0900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Microbix Biosystems Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0700, about −69% upside versus a price of $0.2230 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0500, optimistic scenario $0.0900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
Microbix Biosystems Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$14.8M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Microbix Biosystems Inc it is $0.0700 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.2230. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Microbix Biosystems Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MBXBF trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.2230, fair value $0.0700, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MBXBF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.2230); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0700). For Microbix Biosystems Inc the two are $0.1530 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Microbix Biosystems Inc worth?
The market values Microbix Biosystems Inc at about $31.1M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.2230; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MBXBF?
Our models span a range for Microbix Biosystems Inc: cautious scenario $0.0500, base $0.0700, optimistic $0.0900 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.2230). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Microbix Biosystems Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −20.4%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MBXBF from its 52-week high?
Microbix Biosystems Inc trades at $0.2230, about 3% below its 52-week high of $0.2310 and 45% above the low of $0.1540 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Microbix Biosystems Inc?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, CSL Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Microbix Biosystems Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.2230, calculated fair value $0.0700 (−69%), Quality Score 37/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MBXBF calculated?
We run Microbix Biosystems Inc through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Microbix Biosystems Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $0.2230. Our model-based fair value is $0.0700, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Microbix Biosystems Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Microbix Biosystems Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
The market capitalisation of Microbix Biosystems Inc is $31.1M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Microbix Biosystems Inc is 2.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
Earnings per share at Microbix Biosystems Inc are $−0.0300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
The net margin of Microbix Biosystems Inc is −12.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Microbix Biosystems Inc is −20.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Microbix Biosystems Inc is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
The operating margin of Microbix Biosystems Inc is −37.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
Revenue at Microbix Biosystems Inc is growing −36.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF)?
Earnings per share at Microbix Biosystems Inc are growing −94.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF) generate?
The free cash flow of Microbix Biosystems Inc is −C$878K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Microbix Biosystems Inc (MBXBF) carry?
The net debt of Microbix Biosystems Inc is C$5.5M (fiscal year 2020). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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