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The Marcus Corporation (MCS) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $733M

TM The Marcus Corporation logo The Marcus Corporation MCS · US
Price$30.65
Fair Value$6.90
Upside-77.5%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.30% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: High Range $6.69 – $8.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $10.42 to $6.90 (−33.8%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +38.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 77% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.25). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$31.12 $9.61 Fair Value $6.90 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.61 – $31.12 · fair‑value band $6.69 – $8.25 · the $30.65 price screens above the $6.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

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Analysis

The Marcus Corporation (MCS) currently trades at $30.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.90, implying the stock looks roughly 77.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, The Marcus Corporation generated revenue of $723M at a net margin of 2.0%. Revenue grew 3.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.2%. Net debt stands at $312M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.69 (bear case) to $8.25 (bull case); at $30.65, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 142% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -77%, MCS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $13.15 $12.64 $9.87 76
ROIC Compounder $0.8700 $1.76 $2.51 72
Gordon GGM $3.00 $5.40 $7.43 70
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $3.33 $8.77 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $12.96 $29.15 $48.39 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.25 $7.63 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2100 $4.60 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $5.34 $16.61 $32.27 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.1600 $3.80 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.63 $11.48 $15.29 54
Lynch FV $2.52 $3.60 $4.68 50
PEG = 1.0 $2.52 $3.60 $4.68 46
EPV $0.8700 $1.76 $2.51 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $3.00 $5.40 $7.43 70
DDM Multi-Stage $3.00 $4.69 $5.77 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.82 $11.76 $14.70 63
P/S Multiple $6.81 $9.09 $11.36 58
P/B Multiple $6.81 $9.09 $11.36 55
EV/EBIT $5.25 $8.90 $12.55 53
EV/EBITDA $29.12 $40.72 $52.33 54
EV/Revenue $2.60 $6.16 $9.72 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.63 $12.91 $19.26 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.15 $12.64 $9.87 76
ROIC Compounder $0.8700 $1.76 $2.51 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $7.29 $10.42 $13.54 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($12.91) versus Economic Profit ($1.76). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $723M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.7%
Net margin 2.0%
Return on equity 3.2%
Free cash flow $989K FY2025
P/E ratio 54.2
More key figures
Operating margin -13.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.4400
Dividend yield 1.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +524%
Net debt $312M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 91

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 41
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 83
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 72
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

The Marcus Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates movie theatres, and hotels and resorts in the United States. The company operates a family entertainment center and multiscreen motion picture theatres under the Marcus Theatres, Movie Tavern by Marcus, and BistroPlex brand names.

Full company description

The Marcus Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates movie theatres, and hotels and resorts in the United States. The company operates a family entertainment center and multiscreen motion picture theatres under the Marcus Theatres, Movie Tavern by Marcus, and BistroPlex brand names. It also owns and operates full-service hotels and resorts, as well as manages full-service hotels, resorts, and other properties. In addition, the company provides hospitality management services, including check-in, housekeeping, and maintenance for vacation ownership development; manages condominium hotels under management contracts; and commercial laundry services. The Marcus Corporation was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The Marcus Corporation reported revenue of $758M in FY2025 versus $458M in FY2021, a compound +13.4%/yr. Reported net income was $12.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$758M
Latest YoY
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+26.1%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y)
+4.4%
Revenue +13.4%/yr
FY21 $458M
FY22 $677M
FY23 $730M
FY24 $736M
FY25 $758M
Net income
FY21 −$43.3M
FY22 −$12.0M
FY23 $14.8M
FY24 −$7.8M
FY25 $12.7M

MCS screens 77% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The Marcus Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MCS

Peer Group

Entertainment · 267 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) -14% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.3% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.35× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 54.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.60× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.01× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 741.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 9.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.11× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 19 · sector 10
PAST 13 · sector 0
HEALTH 83 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 26 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is The Marcus Corporation (MCS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $6.90 versus a price of $30.65, about −77% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MCS?
Our model-based fair value for The Marcus Corporation is $6.90 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $30.65.
What is the quality score of MCS?
The Marcus Corporation has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of The Marcus Corporation (MCS)?
The Marcus Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $723M (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MCS?
The net profit margin of The Marcus Corporation is about 2.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does The Marcus Corporation pay a dividend?
The Marcus Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.30% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 7, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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