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PT Medela Potentia Tbk (MDLA) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · ID · Market cap 2.9T IDR

PM PT Medela Potentia Tbk MDLA · JK
Price210.00 IDR
Fair Value440.09 IDR
Upside+109.6%
Quality47/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Narrow moat 42/100
Evidence: High Range 293.96 IDR – 594.86 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +2.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 110% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (293.96 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (293.96 IDR to 594.86 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (16 months)

274.14 IDR 166.83 IDR Fair Value 440.09 IDR Apr 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

16‑month range 166.83 IDR – 274.14 IDR · fair‑value band 293.96 IDR – 594.86 IDR · the 210.00 IDR price screens below the 440.09 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Medela Potentia Tbk (MDLA) currently trades at 210.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 440.09 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 109.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Medela Potentia Tbk generated revenue of 15.0T IDR at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 613B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 293.96 IDR (bear case) to 594.86 IDR (bull case); at 210.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 110%, MDLA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 306.41 IDR 428.41 IDR 607.94 IDR 80
Residual Income 208.83 IDR 258.86 IDR 591.11 IDR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 336.01 IDR 510.58 IDR 703.69 IDR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 299.54 IDR 432.98 IDR 639.72 IDR 38
Owner Earnings 271.73 IDR 390.32 IDR 574.07 IDR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 336.01 IDR 510.42 IDR 730.12 IDR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 374.71 IDR 581.01 IDR 817.00 IDR 41
5Y P/E Exit 379.17 IDR 589.14 IDR 804.25 IDR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 310.87 IDR 468.28 IDR 673.04 IDR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 345.84 IDR 517.75 IDR 739.32 IDR 37
10Y P/E Exit 348.72 IDR 523.45 IDR 729.60 IDR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 190.36 IDR 517.87 IDR 678.86 IDR 54
Lynch FV 102.09 IDR 145.85 IDR 189.60 IDR 50
PEG = 1.0 102.09 IDR 145.85 IDR 189.60 IDR 46
EPV 321.92 IDR 369.99 IDR 412.71 IDR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 94.27 IDR 205.80 IDR 346.27 IDR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 94.27 IDR 150.16 IDR 212.41 IDR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 419.90 IDR 559.87 IDR 699.84 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 356.92 IDR 475.89 IDR 594.86 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 356.92 IDR 475.89 IDR 594.86 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 528.17 IDR 687.72 IDR 847.27 IDR 53
EV/EBITDA 461.78 IDR 599.19 IDR 736.60 IDR 54
EV/Revenue 372.17 IDR 510.45 IDR 648.72 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 108.32 IDR 145.15 IDR 216.64 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 306.41 IDR 428.41 IDR 607.94 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 336.01 IDR 510.58 IDR 703.69 IDR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 208.83 IDR 258.86 IDR 591.11 IDR 76
ROIC Compounder 337.62 IDR 415.12 IDR 506.72 IDR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 333.55 IDR 476.50 IDR 619.45 IDR 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (510.45 IDR) versus Asset-Based (145.15 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 15.0T IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.4%
Net margin 2.7%
Return on equity 15.0%
Free cash flow 302B IDR FY2025
P/E ratio 6.3
More key figures
Operating margin 3.8%
EPS (TTM) 28.45 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -20.7%
Net cash 613B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 52
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 80
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 39
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 42
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Medela Potentia Tbk distributes and markets pharmaceutical and healthcare products, and medical devices in Indonesia and Cambodia. It also manufactures medical devices, including consumables and medical equipment for hospitals and laboratories.

Full company description

PT Medela Potentia Tbk distributes and markets pharmaceutical and healthcare products, and medical devices in Indonesia and Cambodia. It also manufactures medical devices, including consumables and medical equipment for hospitals and laboratories. The company also processes medical device products; and digital platform and web portal activities for human use, as well as pharmaceutical products. In addition, the company develops GoApotik, a B2B2C platform for expanding its products to retailers, end consumers, and patients. PT Medela Potentia Tbk was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Medela Potentia Tbk reported revenue of 14.9T IDR in FY2025 versus 11.6T IDR in FY2021, a compound +6.4%/yr. Reported net income was 392B IDR in FY2025, compounding +4.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 77/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
14.9T IDR
Latest YoY
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.4%
Revenue +6.4%/yr
FY21 11.6T IDR
FY22 11.7T IDR
FY23 13.1T IDR
FY24 14.6T IDR
FY25 14.9T IDR
Net income +4.8%/yr
FY21 325B IDR
FY22 312B IDR
FY23 303B IDR
FY24 345B IDR
FY25 392B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Medela Potentia Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MDLA

Peer Group

Medical Distribution · 81 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +110% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.95× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 32
FUTURE 17 · sector 14
PAST 60 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 53

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McKesson Corporation MCK $805.96 $819.31 +2%
Cencora, Inc COR $303.44 $175.74 -42%
Cardinal Health, Inc CAH $224.94 $141.77 -37%
Henry Schein, Inc HSIC $87.82 $74.67 -15%
Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding 601607 ¥16.70 ¥33.96 +103%
Sinopharm Group 1099 HK$16.74 HK$61.33 +266%
Galenica AG GALE CHF 87.05 CHF 61.79 -29%
Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings 600332 ¥21.50 ¥28.65 +33%
Jointown Pharmaceutical Group 600998 ¥4.99 ¥9.84 +97%
Asker Healthcare Group ASKER kr 79.45 kr 25.69 -68%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Medela Potentia Tbk (MDLA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 440.09 IDR versus a price of 210.00 IDR, about +110% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MDLA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Medela Potentia Tbk is 440.09 IDR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 210.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MDLA?
PT Medela Potentia Tbk has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Medela Potentia Tbk (MDLA)?
PT Medela Potentia Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.0T IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MDLA?
The net profit margin of PT Medela Potentia Tbk is about 2.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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