Modern Plant Based Foods Inc (MDRNF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $1.2M
Modern Plant Based Foods Inc
MDRNF · US
Fair value as of: Jun 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 48 days ago
Share price +177.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 44% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1000). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (20/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0210 – $22.90 · fair‑value band $0.0600 – $0.1000 · the $0.1441 price screens above the $0.0800 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jun 23, 2026.
Analysis
Modern Plant Based Foods Inc (MDRNF) currently trades at $0.1441, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0800, implying the stock looks roughly 44.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 20/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Modern Plant Based Foods Inc generated revenue of $590K at a net margin of -95.6%. Revenue grew 27.9% year over year. Net debt stands at $1.7M. Fundamentals as of Jun 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0600 (bear case) to $0.1000 (bull case); at $0.1441, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -44%, MDRNF screens richer than that median.
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jun 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 20 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Modern Plant Based Foods Inc. develops and distributes plant-based and health food products in Canada. The company offers plant-based food products and services, including taco bowl kit, slider kit, falafel bowl kit, orange chicken kit, mac and cheese kit, and the meatloaf muffin; sausage-less products through retail and food service outlets; vegan caviar …
Full company description
Modern Plant Based Foods Inc. develops and distributes plant-based and health food products in Canada. The company offers plant-based food products and services, including taco bowl kit, slider kit, falafel bowl kit, orange chicken kit, mac and cheese kit, and the meatloaf muffin; sausage-less products through retail and food service outlets; vegan caviar product lines; and plant-based pet food products, such as blueberries, apple chunks, and pumpkin dog treats. The company was formerly known as Modern Meat Inc. and changed its name to Modern Plant Based Foods Inc. in February 2021. Modern Plant Based Foods Inc. is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Modern Plant Based Foods Inc reported revenue of $568K in FY2025 versus $2.3M in FY2021, a compound −29.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$850K in FY2025.
MDRNF screens 44% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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