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Mdundo.com A/S (MDUNDO) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · DK · Market cap 19.9M DKK

MC Mdundo.com A/S MDUNDO · CO
Pricekr 1.11
Fair Valuekr 0.3600
Upside-67.6%
Quality44/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -84.6% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 0.2400 – kr 0.4600 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from kr 1.84 to kr 0.3600 (−80.4%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 68% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.4600). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 0.2400 to kr 0.4600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 9.00 kr 1.00 Fair Value kr 0.3600 Sep 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 1.00 – kr 9.00 · fair‑value band kr 0.2400 – kr 0.4600 · the kr 1.11 price screens above the kr 0.3600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Mdundo.com A/S (MDUNDO) currently trades at kr 1.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.3600, implying the stock looks roughly 67.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Mdundo.com A/S generated revenue of 9.5M DKK at a net margin of -84.6%. Revenue declined 25.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -67.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 4.7M DKK. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.2400 (bear case) to kr 0.4600 (bull case); at kr 1.11, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at -68%, MDUNDO screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.2600 kr 0.3500 kr 0.5300 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.2600 kr 0.3500 kr 0.5300 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.5M DKK
Revenue growth (YoY) -25.4%
Net margin -84.6%
Return on equity -67.9%
Free cash flow −5.1M DKK FY2024
Operating margin -53.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) kr -0.7100
Net cash 4.7M DKK FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mdundo.com A/S, together with its subsidiary, Mdundo Limited, develops and operates online music services in Sub-Saharan Africa. Mdundo.com A/S was founded in 2020 and is based in Charlottenlund, Denmark.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Mdundo.com A/S reported revenue of kr 11.0M in FY2024 versus kr 2.3M in FY2020, a compound +47.8%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 8.7M in FY2024.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
11.0M DKK
Latest YoY
−8.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+66.3%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+64.7%
Revenue +47.8%/yr
FY20 kr 2.3M
FY21 kr 7.3M
FY22 kr 12.6M
FY23 kr 11.9M
FY24 kr 11.0M
Net income
FY20 −kr 8.4M
FY21 −kr 9.7M
FY22 −kr 10.2M
FY23 −kr 9.8M
FY24 −kr 8.7M

MDUNDO screens 68% overvalued. Compare with Alphabet Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mdundo.com A/S Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MDUNDO

Peer Group

Internet Content & Information · 151 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −68% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -19% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -85% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -53% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Internet Content & Information median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.30× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.32× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Alphabet Inc GOOGL $354.46 $145.14 -59%
Meta Platforms, Inc META $669.21 $534.91 -20%
Tencent Holdings 0700 HK$460.20 HK$467.50 +2%
Spotify Technology S.A SPOT $485.38 $209.56 -57%
Baidu, Inc BIDU $113.30 $451.51 +299%
Reddit, Inc RDDT $195.34 $39.59 -80%
Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 HK$44.70 HK$101.03 +126%
NAVER Corporation 035420 191,300 KRW 231,585 KRW +21%
Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 HK$34.74 HK$65.78 +89%
REA Group REA A$149.14 A$88.53 -41%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mdundo.com A/S (MDUNDO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.3600 versus a price of kr 1.11, about −68% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MDUNDO?
Our model-based fair value for Mdundo.com A/S is kr 0.3600 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 1.11.
What is the quality score of MDUNDO?
Mdundo.com A/S has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mdundo.com A/S (MDUNDO)?
Mdundo.com A/S reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.5M DKK (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MDUNDO?
The net profit margin of Mdundo.com A/S is about -84.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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