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Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $38.9M

MN Middlebury National Corporation logo Middlebury National Corporation MDVT · US
Price$48.00
Fair Value$52.72
Upside+9.8%
Quality53/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.41% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range $39.54 – $65.90 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +7.5% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$50.69 $20.62 Fair Value $52.72 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $20.62 – $50.69 · fair‑value band $39.54 – $65.90 · the $48.00 price screens below the $52.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) currently trades at $48.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.72, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Middlebury National Corporation generated revenue of $18.0M at a net margin of 17.5%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at $18.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $39.54 (bear case) to $65.90 (bull case); at $48.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 10%, MDVT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $31.84 $33.94 $37.47 76
Gordon GGM $6.97 $11.68 $15.16 70
P/E Multiple $39.54 $52.72 $65.90 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.97 $11.68 $15.16 70
DDM Multi-Stage $6.97 $11.08 $12.57 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $39.54 $52.72 $65.90 63
P/B Multiple $42.37 $56.50 $70.62 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $20.18 $27.04 $40.35 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $31.84 $33.94 $37.47 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($52.72) versus Dividend Discount ($11.08). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $18.0M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.2%
Net margin 17.5%
Return on equity 9.3%
Free cash flow $1.2M FY2024
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin 20.8%
EPS (TTM) $4.08
Dividend yield 2.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +23.7%
Net debt $18.4M FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 76
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 81
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Middlebury National Corporation operates as the holding company for National Bank of Middlebury that provides various banking products and services to individuals and business customers.

Full company description

Middlebury National Corporation operates as the holding company for National Bank of Middlebury that provides various banking products and services to individuals and business customers. The company offers various savings, checking, money market, and individual retirement accounts; and certificates of deposit, as well as certificates of deposit account registry services. It also provides personal loans, such as auto, recreational vehicle, secured and unsecured personal, and green energy improvement loans; commercial loans consisting of term loans, real estate mortgage, real estate construction mortgage, land loan, checking overdraft line of credit, revolving line of credit, and letter of credit; and medallion signature guarantees. In addition, the company offers merchant, bill pay, e-statements, Mobimoney, mobile wallet, mobile deposit, reorder checks, and Popmoney services; online and mobile banking services; wealth management services; and debit and credit cards. Middlebury National Corporation was founded in 1831 and is based in Middlebury, Vermont.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Middlebury National Corporation reported revenue of $24.2M in FY2024 versus $17.1M in FY2020, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was $3.5M in FY2024, compounding −3.4%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$24.2M
Latest YoY
+14.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY20 $17.1M
FY21 $17.0M
FY22 $18.0M
FY23 $21.1M
FY24 $24.2M
Net income −3.4%/yr
FY20 $4.0M
FY21 $3.5M
FY22 $3.1M
FY23 $2.4M
FY24 $3.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +21.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +19.8 pp

of which total revenue +19.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.4 pp

EBIT margin −0.1 pp
Tax rate +4.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −3.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Middlebury National Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MDVT

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.05× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.17× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 31.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 46 · sector 39
FUTURE 41 · sector 44
PAST 37 · sector 41
HEALTH 98 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 48 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
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KB Financial Group 105560 184,400 KRW 213,797 KRW +16%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 2,970 IDR 4,891 IDR +65%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,310 IDR 7,841 IDR +82%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 10,240 ARS +100%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 107,900 KRW 137,259 KRW +27%
Hana Financial Group 086790 136,800 KRW 193,969 KRW +42%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Banco de Chile, CHILE 193.10 CLP 152.55 CLP -21%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,400 VND 84,201 VND +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $52.72 versus a price of $48.00, about +10% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MDVT?
Our model-based fair value for Middlebury National Corporation is $52.72 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $48.00.
What is the quality score of MDVT?
Middlebury National Corporation has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
Middlebury National Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.0M (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MDVT?
The net profit margin of Middlebury National Corporation is about 17.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Middlebury National Corporation pay a dividend?
Middlebury National Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.41% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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