Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $38.9M
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price +7.5% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $20.62 – $50.69 · fair‑value band $39.54 – $65.90 · the $48.00 price screens below the $52.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) currently trades at $48.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.72, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Middlebury National Corporation generated revenue of $18.0M at a net margin of 17.5%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at $18.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $39.54 (bear case) to $65.90 (bull case); at $48.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 10%, MDVT screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($52.72) versus Dividend Discount ($11.08). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Middlebury National Corporation operates as the holding company for National Bank of Middlebury that provides various banking products and services to individuals and business customers.
Full company description
Middlebury National Corporation operates as the holding company for National Bank of Middlebury that provides various banking products and services to individuals and business customers. The company offers various savings, checking, money market, and individual retirement accounts; and certificates of deposit, as well as certificates of deposit account registry services. It also provides personal loans, such as auto, recreational vehicle, secured and unsecured personal, and green energy improvement loans; commercial loans consisting of term loans, real estate mortgage, real estate construction mortgage, land loan, checking overdraft line of credit, revolving line of credit, and letter of credit; and medallion signature guarantees. In addition, the company offers merchant, bill pay, e-statements, Mobimoney, mobile wallet, mobile deposit, reorder checks, and Popmoney services; online and mobile banking services; wealth management services; and debit and credit cards. Middlebury National Corporation was founded in 1831 and is based in Middlebury, Vermont.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years
Middlebury National Corporation reported revenue of $24.2M in FY2024 versus $17.1M in FY2020, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was $3.5M in FY2024, compounding −3.4%/yr from FY2020.
of which total revenue +19.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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