Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Middlebury National Corporation $40.46, price $49.50, upside -18.3%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Middlebury National Corporation for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $20.62 – $50.69 · fair‑value band $36.04 – $68.15 · the $49.50 price screens above the $40.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
Follow Middlebury National in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Middlebury National is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Middlebury National Corporation operates as the holding company for National Bank of Middlebury that provides various banking products and services to individuals and business customers.
Show more
Middlebury National Corporation operates as the holding company for National Bank of Middlebury that provides various banking products and services to individuals and business customers. The company offers various savings, checking, money market, and individual retirement accounts; and certificates of deposit, as well as certificates of deposit account registry services. It also provides personal loans, such as auto, recreational vehicle, secured and unsecured personal, and green energy improvement loans; commercial loans consisting of term loans, real estate mortgage, real estate construction mortgage, land loan, checking overdraft line of credit, revolving line of credit, and letter of credit; and medallion signature guarantees. In addition, the company offers merchant, bill pay, e-statements, Mobimoney, mobile wallet, mobile deposit, reorder checks, and Popmoney services; online and mobile banking services; wealth management services; and debit and credit cards. Middlebury National Corporation was founded in 1831 and is based in Middlebury, Vermont.
Stock analysis
Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) currently trades at $49.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $40.46, implying the stock looks roughly 22.3% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $52.72 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the $49.50 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $15.14, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $36.04 (bear) to $68.15 (bull), the price of $49.50 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Middlebury National Corporation reported revenue of $24.2M in FY2024 versus $17.1M in FY2020, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was $3.5M in FY2024, compounding −3.4%/yr from FY2020.
Key figures
Market cap $42.6M · P/E ratio 12.1 · P/S ratio 1.75 · EPS (TTM) $4.08 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 14.4% · Return on equity 9.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 38% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −18%, MDVT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $36.04Fair Value $40.46Bull $68.15
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.96 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+14.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
’13
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+1.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.27% → 11%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +11.1% a year for the price.
Compare Middlebury National Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1074 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−18% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)18% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)21% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.05× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Middlebury National Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MDVT
Frequently asked questions
Is Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $40.46 versus a price of $49.50, about −18% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MDVT?
Our model-based fair value for Middlebury National Corporation is $40.46 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $49.50.
What is the quality score of MDVT?
Middlebury National Corporation has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $40.46 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $36.04, optimistic scenario $68.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Middlebury National Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $40.46, about −18% upside versus a price of $49.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $36.04, optimistic scenario $68.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
Middlebury National Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.0M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Middlebury National Corporation pay a dividend?
Middlebury National Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Middlebury National Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by +13.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MDVT use?
Our models discount Middlebury National Corporation at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.00, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Middlebury National Corporation that is +13.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Middlebury National Corporation grew +9.2 % a year. The price currently implies +13.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Middlebury National Corporation (+13.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.90 %: that much free cash flow Middlebury National Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Middlebury National Corporation it is $40.46 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $49.50. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Middlebury National Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, MDVT trades above its calculated fair value: price $49.50, fair value $40.46, a gap of about −18% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MDVT?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($49.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($40.46). For Middlebury National Corporation the two are $9.04 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Middlebury National Corporation worth?
The market values Middlebury National Corporation at about $42.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $49.50; our models calculate a fair value of $40.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MDVT?
Our models span a range for Middlebury National Corporation: cautious scenario $36.04, base $40.46, optimistic $68.15 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $49.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MDVT?
Middlebury National Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.1 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $40.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.2, P/S 2.4, EV/EBITDA 13.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
Balance-sheet figures for Middlebury National Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 9.3%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MDVT from its 52-week high?
Middlebury National Corporation trades at $49.50, about 2% below its 52-week high of $50.69 and 38% above the low of $35.77 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $40.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Middlebury National Corporation?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, HDFC Bank Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Middlebury National Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $49.50, calculated fair value $40.46 (−18%), Quality Score 53/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MDVT calculated?
We run Middlebury National Corporation through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $40.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Middlebury National Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $49.50. Our model-based fair value is $40.46, about −18% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Middlebury National Corporation right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (53/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($36.04 to $68.15) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) come from?
Earnings per share at Middlebury National Corporation grew +21.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +19.8 %, EBIT margin −0.1 %, tax rate +4.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Middlebury National Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
The market capitalisation of Middlebury National Corporation is $42.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Middlebury National Corporation is 1.75 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
Earnings per share at Middlebury National Corporation are $4.08 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
The dividend yield of Middlebury National Corporation is 2.3% (payout 27.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
The net margin of Middlebury National Corporation is 14.4% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Middlebury National Corporation is 9.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Middlebury National Corporation is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
The operating margin of Middlebury National Corporation is 20.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
Revenue at Middlebury National Corporation is growing +8.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +12.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT)?
Earnings per share at Middlebury National Corporation are growing +23.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Middlebury National Corporation (MDVT) carry?
The net debt of Middlebury National Corporation is $18.4M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 14.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Middlebury National Corporation in the live analysis
One click puts Middlebury National Corporation on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Broad data
Sep 23, 2026