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PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk (MEJA) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · ID · Market cap 209B IDR

PH PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk MEJA · JK
Price111.00 IDR
Fair Value15.35 IDR
Upside-86.2%
Quality22/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -77.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 5/100
Evidence: Low Range 10.13 IDR – 19.18 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 109.71 IDR to 15.35 IDR (−86.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +30.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 86% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (19.18 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (10.13 IDR to 19.18 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

3,997 IDR 29.14 IDR Fair Value 15.35 IDR Feb 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

30‑month range 29.14 IDR – 3,997 IDR · fair‑value band 10.13 IDR – 19.18 IDR · the 111.00 IDR price screens above the 15.35 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk (MEJA) currently trades at 111.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 15.35 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 86.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk generated revenue of 28.1B IDR at a net margin of -77.0%. Revenue grew 36.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -29.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 18.1B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 10.13 IDR (bear case) to 19.18 IDR (bull case); at 111.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -86%, MEJA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 12.19 IDR 16.33 IDR 24.38 IDR 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.19 IDR 16.33 IDR 24.38 IDR 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 28.1B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) +36.9%
Net margin -77.0%
Return on equity -29.3%
Free cash flow −17.5B IDR FY2024
Operating margin 722%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -65.5%
Net cash 18.1B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 19
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 25
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk provides construction and interior design services in Indonesia. It engages in design and planning, and civil and interior construction works, as well as offers custom and loose furniture. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.

Full company description

PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk provides construction and interior design services in Indonesia. It engages in design and planning, and civil and interior construction works, as well as offers custom and loose furniture. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia. PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk is a subsidiary of PT Interra Djaya Karya.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk reported revenue of 28.1B IDR in FY2025 versus 9.6B IDR in FY2021, a compound +30.7%/yr. Reported net income was −21.6B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
28.1B IDR
Latest YoY
−40.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+29.2%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.9%
Revenue +30.7%/yr
FY21 9.6B IDR
FY22 42.8B IDR
FY23 45.5B IDR
FY24 47.2B IDR
FY25 28.1B IDR
Net income
FY21 618M IDR
FY22 9.6B IDR
FY23 7.3B IDR
FY24 2.5B IDR
FY25 −21.6B IDR

MEJA screens 86% overvalued. Compare with Larsen & Toubro Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MEJA

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −86% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -12% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -77% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 37% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 16
FUTURE 100 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk (MEJA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 15.35 IDR versus a price of 111.00 IDR, about −86% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MEJA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk is 15.35 IDR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 111.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of MEJA?
PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk (MEJA)?
PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 28.1B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MEJA?
The net profit margin of PT Harta Djaya Karya Tbk is about -77.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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