Melhus Sparebank (MELG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Melhus Sparebank NOK 368, price NOK 186, upside +97.9%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 95.72 – kr 196.98 · fair‑value band kr 350.49 – kr 444.69 · the kr 186.00 price screens below the kr 368.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Melhus Sparebank, a savings bank, offers various banking products and services to businesses, agriculture customers, and private individuals in Norway. The company offers bank, Boligsparing for Ungdom, mutual fund, and retirement saving accounts.
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Melhus Sparebank, a savings bank, offers various banking products and services to businesses, agriculture customers, and private individuals in Norway. The company offers bank, Boligsparing for Ungdom, mutual fund, and retirement saving accounts. It also provides insurance services for electric scooter, boat, motorcycle, moped, jet ski, caravan, motorhome, ATV, tractor, snowmobile, trailer, and veteran cars; house and belongings, consisting of household items, travel, cottages, valuable items, drones, and home and travel insurance for young people; life and health for child, disabled, critical illness, and accident; and dogs, cats, and horses insurance services. In addition, the company provides car, mortgage, motorcycle, motorhomes, and ATVs loan products, as well as leasing services. Further, it offers credit and bank cards, payment, online and mobile banking, and other daily banking services. Melhus Sparebank was founded in 1840 and is headquartered in Melhus, Norway.
Stock analysis
Melhus Sparebank (MELG) currently trades at kr 186.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 368.00, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 657.30 per share, and 4 of the 6 models we run sit above the kr 186.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 139.60, and 2 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 350.49 (bear) to kr 444.69 (bull), the price of kr 186.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Melhus Sparebank reported revenue of 349M NOK in FY2025 versus 296M NOK in FY2021, a compound +4.2%/yr. Reported net income was 140M NOK in FY2025, compounding +7.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 516M NOK (≈ $54.2M) · P/E ratio 13.3 · P/S ratio 5.33 · EPS (TTM) kr 14.02 · Dividend yield 7.3% · Net margin 40.1% · Return on equity 8.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 98%, MELG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 350.49Fair Value kr 368.00Bull kr 444.69
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 0.3818 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−53.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.5% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.8% vs 3%, picking up
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.36% → 24%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+8.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Norway: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +6.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Banks - Regional · 1076 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score58 · Above median
Fair Value upside+98% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)41% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)47% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.3% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.48× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Melhus Sparebank Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MELG
Frequently asked questions
Is Melhus Sparebank (MELG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 368.00 versus a price of kr 186.00, about +98% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MELG?
Our model-based fair value for Melhus Sparebank is kr 368.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 186.00.
What is the quality score of MELG?
Melhus Sparebank has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 368.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 350.49, optimistic scenario kr 444.69. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Melhus Sparebank stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 368.00, about +98% upside versus a price of kr 186.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 350.49, optimistic scenario kr 444.69. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
Melhus Sparebank reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 335M NOK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Melhus Sparebank pay a dividend?
Melhus Sparebank currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Melhus Sparebank would have to grow free cash flow by +8.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.9 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MELG use?
Our models discount Melhus Sparebank at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.18, country premium for Norway. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Melhus Sparebank that is +8.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Melhus Sparebank (MELG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Melhus Sparebank grew +1.9 % a year. The price currently implies +8.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Melhus Sparebank (MELG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Melhus Sparebank (+8.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 36.29 %: that much free cash flow Melhus Sparebank produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Melhus Sparebank it is kr 368.00 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 186.00. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Melhus Sparebank stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MELG trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 186.00, fair value kr 368.00, a gap of about +98% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MELG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 186.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 368.00). For Melhus Sparebank the two are kr 182.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Melhus Sparebank worth?
The market values Melhus Sparebank at about 516M NOK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 186.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 368.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MELG?
Our models span a range for Melhus Sparebank: cautious scenario kr 350.49, base kr 368.00, optimistic kr 444.69 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 186.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MELG?
Melhus Sparebank trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 368.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 16.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Melhus Sparebank (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.4%, debt of 1.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MELG from its 52-week high?
Melhus Sparebank trades at kr 186.00, about 6% below its 52-week high of kr 196.98 and 18% above the low of kr 157.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 368.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Melhus Sparebank?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value DBS Group, China Merchants Bank Co, UniCredit S.p.A, Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Melhus Sparebank stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 186.00, calculated fair value kr 368.00 (+98%), Quality Score 59/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MELG calculated?
We run Melhus Sparebank through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 368.00, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Melhus Sparebank currently trades 98 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 186.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 368.00, about +98% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Melhus Sparebank right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 350.49). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Where does the earnings growth of Melhus Sparebank (MELG) come from?
Earnings per share at Melhus Sparebank grew +3.1 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.7 %, EBIT margin +0.9 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Melhus Sparebank
How large is the market capitalisation of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
The market capitalisation of Melhus Sparebank is 516M NOK (≈ $54.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Melhus Sparebank is 5.33 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
Earnings per share at Melhus Sparebank are kr 14.02 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
The dividend yield of Melhus Sparebank is 7.3% (payout 96.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
The net margin of Melhus Sparebank is 40.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Melhus Sparebank is 8.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Melhus Sparebank is 1.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
The operating margin of Melhus Sparebank is 47.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
Revenue at Melhus Sparebank is growing −2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Melhus Sparebank (MELG)?
Earnings per share at Melhus Sparebank are growing −15.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Melhus Sparebank (MELG) carry?
The net debt of Melhus Sparebank is 2.5B NOK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 13.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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