Melon S.A (MELON) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CL · Market cap 190B CLP
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 1.07 CLP to 0.5903 CLP (−44.8%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, but screening 13% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from 0.4469 CLP (bear) to 0.7393 CLP (bull), base 0.5903 CLP. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1886 CLP – 0.6800 CLP · fair‑value band 0.4469 CLP – 0.7393 CLP · the 0.6800 CLP price screens above the 0.5903 CLP fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Melon S.A (MELON) currently trades at 0.6800 CLP, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5903 CLP, implying the stock looks roughly 13.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Melon S.A generated revenue of 260B CLP at a net margin of 4.7%. Revenue declined 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.2%. Net debt stands at 65.9B CLP. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.4469 CLP (bear case) to 0.7393 CLP (bull case); at 0.6800 CLP, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -13%, MELON screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (1.23 CLP) versus Asset-Based (0.4800 CLP). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 81
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Melon S.A., through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and supplies cement, ready-mix concrete, and aggregates in Chile. It operates through two segments, Cement and Aggregates. The company's products are used in high-rise buildings, civil and industrial works, mining and port works, and household.
Full company description
Melon S.A., through its subsidiaries, produces, markets, and supplies cement, ready-mix concrete, and aggregates in Chile. It operates through two segments, Cement and Aggregates. The company's products are used in high-rise buildings, civil and industrial works, mining and port works, and household. It serves construction material distributors; construction companies; and the real estate, infrastructure, civil works, mining and concrete sectors. The company was formerly known as Lafarge Chile SA and changed its name to Melon S.A. in October 2009. Melon S.A. was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Santiago, Chile. Melon S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Inversiones Cordillera del Sur II Spa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Melon S.A reported revenue of 262B CLP in FY2025 versus 240B CLP in FY2021, a compound +2.3%/yr. Reported net income was 17.7B CLP in FY2025, compounding +9.5%/yr from FY2021.
MELON screens 13% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →
Peer Group
Building Materials · 253 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CRH plc CRH | $102.92 | $70.57 | -31% |
| UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO | ₹11,711 | ₹4,719 | -60% |
| China Jushi Co 600176 | ¥54.52 | ¥13.95 | -74% |
| Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM | ₹3,073 | ₹1,245 | -59% |
| CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO | 21.71 MXN | 15.42 MXN | -29% |
| Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 | ¥16.99 | ¥26.14 | +54% |
| Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM | ₹435.25 | ₹227.96 | -48% |
| Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM | ₹26,930 | ₹8,215 | -69% |
| TCC Group 1101B | 43.70 TWD | 10.48 TWD | -76% |
| Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 | 53.30 TWD | 13.98 TWD | -74% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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