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Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Medical Facilities Corporation $27.75, price $10.41, upside +166.6%, quality 72 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Medical Facilities Corporation
MFCSF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $27.75 · Strongly undervalued (+166.6%)
✓Quality 72/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −22.0 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 16.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓2.5% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Wide moat 74/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.29 – $13.32 · fair‑value band $21.86 – $38.57 · the $10.41 price screens below the $27.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Medical Facilities Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates specialty surgical hospitals in the United States. Its specialty surgical hospitals offer non-emergency surgical, imaging, diagnostic and pain management procedures, and other ancillary services, such as primary and urgent care.
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Medical Facilities Corporation, through its subsidiaries, owns and operates specialty surgical hospitals in the United States. Its specialty surgical hospitals offer non-emergency surgical, imaging, diagnostic and pain management procedures, and other ancillary services, such as primary and urgent care. The company is also involved in the facility fee charged to the patient, or insurer for the use of its infrastructure, surgical equipment, nursing staff, non-surgical professional services, drugs and supplies, and other support services. Medical Facilities Corporation was incorporated in 2004 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.
Stock analysis
Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF) currently trades at $10.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $27.75, implying the stock looks roughly 62.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $26.43 per share, and 20 of the 24 models we run sit above the $10.41 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.88, and 4 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $21.86 (bear) to $38.57 (bull), the price of $10.41 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Medical Facilities Corporation reported revenue of $259M in FY2025 versus $399M in FY2021, a compound −10.3%/yr. Reported net income was $21.1M in FY2025, compounding −17.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $223M · P/E ratio 11.8 · P/S ratio 0.96 · EPS (TTM) $0.8800 · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 8.2% · Return on equity 36.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 16.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 167%, MFCSF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $21.86
Fair Value $27.75
Bull $38.57
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.4658 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$19.88
$24.38
$31.45
82
Growth DCF
$20.23
$24.45
$30.62
80
Owner Earnings
$15.94
$19.50
$25.09
78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$19.88
$24.38
$31.45
82
Owner Earnings
$15.94
$19.50
$25.09
78
5Y Revenue Exit
$21.94
$31.11
$44.04
73
5Y EBITDA Exit
$27.22
$40.13
$56.66
75
5Y P/E Exit
$18.90
$25.93
$34.03
72
10Y Revenue Exit
$20.32
$27.36
$35.40
68
10Y EBITDA Exit
$23.60
$32.46
$42.59
69
10Y P/E Exit
$19.22
$24.42
$29.70
65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$8.17
$14.52
$17.86
66
EPV
$18.20
$20.27
$21.95
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$2.06
$2.49
$2.88
69
DDM Multi-Stage
$2.06
$2.57
$3.09
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$19.82
$26.43
$33.04
63
P/S Multiple
$15.32
$20.42
$25.53
58
P/B Multiple
$14.48
$19.31
$24.14
55
EV/EBIT
$35.43
$46.92
$58.42
66
EV/EBITDA
$38.71
$51.30
$63.89
67
EV/Revenue
$25.55
$36.10
$46.65
54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$2.15
$2.88
$4.29
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$20.23
$24.45
$30.62
80
Rev-Margin DCF
$21.94
$31.51
$43.09
73
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$5.58
$6.68
$9.10
76
ROIC Compounder
$18.36
$20.62
$22.58
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$13.97
$19.96
$25.95
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
72/100
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46
Profitability
65
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
15
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
53
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+2.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.2% vs 6.3%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 18%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−14.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −16.4% a year for the price.
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Medical Care Facilities stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| HCA Healthcare, Inc HCA | $431.63 | $597.97 | +39% |
| Fresenius SE FRE | €43.64 | €34.49 | −21% |
| Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group 4013 | 225.00 SAR | 109.45 SAR | −51% |
| Tenet Healthcare Corporation THC | $257.93 | $274.35 | +6% |
| IHH Healthcare Berhad, an investment holding company, 5225 | 8.03 MYR | 4.87 MYR | −39% |
| Apollo Hospitals Enterprise Limited APOLLOHOSP | ₹8,889 | ₹2,908 | −67% |
| Encompass Health Corporation EHC | $123.47 | $94.47 | −23% |
| Fresenius Medical Care AG FMS | $22.27 | $45.84 | +106% |
| DaVita Inc DVA | $178.07 | $215.81 | +21% |
| Aier Eye Hospital Group 300015 | ¥7.91 | ¥10.86 | +37% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $27.75 versus a price of $10.41, about +167% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MFCSF?
Our model-based fair value for Medical Facilities Corporation is $27.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.41.
What is the quality score of MFCSF?
Medical Facilities Corporation has a Quality Score of 72/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $27.75 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $21.86, optimistic scenario $38.57. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Medical Facilities Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $27.75, about +167% upside versus a price of $10.41 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $21.86, optimistic scenario $38.57. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
Medical Facilities Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $261M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Medical Facilities Corporation pay a dividend?
Medical Facilities Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.54% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Medical Facilities Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -14.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -6.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MFCSF use?
Our models discount Medical Facilities Corporation at 11.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.34, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Medical Facilities Corporation that is -14.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Medical Facilities Corporation grew -6.6 % a year. The price currently implies -14.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +5.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Medical Facilities Corporation (-14.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 20.21 %: that much free cash flow Medical Facilities Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Medical Facilities Corporation it is $27.75 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $10.41. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Medical Facilities Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MFCSF trades below its calculated fair value: price $10.41, fair value $27.75, a gap of about +167% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MFCSF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($27.75). For Medical Facilities Corporation the two are $17.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Medical Facilities Corporation worth?
The market values Medical Facilities Corporation at about $223M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $10.41; our models calculate a fair value of $27.75 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MFCSF?
Our models span a range for Medical Facilities Corporation: cautious scenario $21.86, base $27.75, optimistic $38.57 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $10.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is MFCSF from its 52-week high?
Medical Facilities Corporation trades at $10.41, about 22% below its 52-week high of $13.32 and 7% above the low of $9.70 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $27.75 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Medical Facilities Corporation?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value HCA Healthcare, Inc, Fresenius SE, Dr. Sulaiman Al Habib Medical Services Group, Tenet Healthcare Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Medical Facilities Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $10.41, calculated fair value $27.75 (+167%), Quality Score 72/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MFCSF calculated?
We run Medical Facilities Corporation through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $27.75, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Medical Facilities Corporation currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $10.41. Our model-based fair value is $27.75, about +167% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Medical Facilities Corporation right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (72/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case ($21.86). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Where does the earnings growth of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF) come from?
Earnings per share at Medical Facilities Corporation grew +9.7 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.4 %, EBIT margin −3.0 %, tax rate +3.7 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +2.4 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Medical Facilities Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
The market capitalisation of Medical Facilities Corporation is $223M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Medical Facilities Corporation is 11.8. Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Medical Facilities Corporation is 0.96 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
Earnings per share at Medical Facilities Corporation are $0.8800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 11.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
The dividend yield of Medical Facilities Corporation is 2.5% (payout 30.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
The net margin of Medical Facilities Corporation is 8.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Medical Facilities Corporation is 36.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Medical Facilities Corporation is 16.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
The operating margin of Medical Facilities Corporation is 18.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
Revenue at Medical Facilities Corporation is growing +10.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF)?
Earnings per share at Medical Facilities Corporation are growing +507% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Medical Facilities Corporation (MFCSF) carry?
The net debt of Medical Facilities Corporation is $15.4M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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