EN DE
Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics $3.02, price $12.90, upside -76.6%, quality 19 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Healthcare · US · ISIN KY61559X1045

MI MoonLake Immunotherapeutics logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics

MLTX · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $3.02 · Strongly overvalued (−77%)
!Quality 19/100
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/7)
!Narrow moat 8/100
!Insider activity 44/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch MoonLake Immunotherapeutics for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card. Watch for free Pro now: $1 first month

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$63.86 $4.69 Fair Value $3.02 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.69 – $63.86 · fair‑value band $1.99 – $3.77 · the $12.90 price screens above the $3.02 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

Follow MoonLake Immunotherapeutics in your weekly email

Every Wednesday you see whether MoonLake Immunotherapeutics is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.

We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.

Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Company profile

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing therapies for inflammatory skin and joint diseases.

Show more

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on developing therapies for inflammatory skin and joint diseases. It develops Sonelokimab, a novel tri-specific IL-17A and IL-17F inhibiting Nanobody for the treatment of inflammatory diseases in dermatology and rheumatology, as well as for hidradenitis suppurativa, psoriatic arthritis, axial spondyloarthritis, palmoplantar pustulosis, and psoriasis. The company was founded in 2021 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.

Stock analysis

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) currently trades at $12.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.02, implying the stock looks roughly 327.4% overvalued today.

Show more

Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 92/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.99 (bear) to $3.77 (bull), the price of $12.90 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 19/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector.

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −$227M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.1B · EPS (TTM) $−3.84 · Return on equity −67.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −46.0% · Free cash flow −$196M · Net cash $259M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 107% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −77%, MLTX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.99 Fair Value $3.02 Bull $3.77
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.79 $2.40 $3.58 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.79 $2.40 $3.58 51

Open the full fair value analysis →

Notify me when MLTX reaches fair value

Put MLTX on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.

Set up alert →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 19/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 29
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 5
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MLTX screens 327% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

Compare MoonLake Immunotherapeutics with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Biotechnology · 651 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −32% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.48× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $514.99 $566.49 +10%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $803.90 $1,252 +56%
argenx SE ARGX $963.79 $918.60 −5%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,366,000 KRW 1,502,600 KRW +10%
CSL Limited CSL A$179.24 A$197.16 +10%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $251.65 $218.36 −13%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $58.52 $24.22 −59%
BeOne Medicines AG 6160 HK$218.20 HK$169.72 −22%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 177,400 KRW 74,519 KRW −58%
BioNTech SE BNTX $100.87 $63.62 −37%

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Healthcare stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Try a ready-made strategy

Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.

🥇 Backtested Best 🏆 Big Names ⭐ Top Rated 💎 Quality on Sale 🚀 Profitable Growth 🧊 Quality Compounders 💵 Dividend Stars 📈 Strong Momentum 📉 Fallen Angels ⚖️ Deeply Undervalued 🔍 Small-Cap Gems 🏰 Moat at a Fair Price 💼 Insider Buying 🎩 Buffett-Style Quality 📚 Peter Lynch GARP 🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula 🛡️ Graham Defensive

Discover tools

Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector Compare toolTwo stocks side by side Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
DCF CalculatorGraham NumberPeter Lynch FormulaDDM CalculatorFama-French ModelIntrinsic Value
For bloggers & editors: embed code + live data

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

MoonLake Immunotherapeutics · Fair Value
$3.02 −327%Fair Value
Calculator →

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MoonLake Immunotherapeutics Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MLTX

Frequently asked questions

Is MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.02 versus a price of $12.90, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MLTX?
Our model-based fair value for MoonLake Immunotherapeutics is $3.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $12.90.
What is the quality score of MLTX?
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics has a Quality Score of 19/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $3.02 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.99, optimistic scenario $3.77. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MoonLake Immunotherapeutics stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $3.02, about −77% upside versus a price of $12.90 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.99, optimistic scenario $3.77. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MoonLake Immunotherapeutics it is $3.02 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $12.90. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MoonLake Immunotherapeutics stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MLTX trades above its calculated fair value: price $12.90, fair value $3.02, a gap of about −77% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MLTX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($3.02). For MoonLake Immunotherapeutics the two are $9.88 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MoonLake Immunotherapeutics worth?
The market values MoonLake Immunotherapeutics at about $1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $12.90; our models calculate a fair value of $3.02 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MLTX?
Our models span a range for MoonLake Immunotherapeutics: cautious scenario $1.99, base $3.02, optimistic $3.77 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $12.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)?
Balance-sheet figures for MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −67.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 19/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MLTX from its 52-week high?
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics trades at $12.90, about 79% below its 52-week high of $61.99 and 107% above the low of $6.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $3.02 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MoonLake Immunotherapeutics?
From the same area (Healthcare) we also value Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc, argenx SE, Samsung Biologics Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MoonLake Immunotherapeutics stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $12.90, calculated fair value $3.02 (−77%), Quality Score 19/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MLTX calculated?
We run MoonLake Immunotherapeutics through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $3.02, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. MoonLake Immunotherapeutics itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $12.90. Our model-based fair value is $3.02, about −77% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MoonLake Immunotherapeutics right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.77). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (19/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.99 to $3.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics

How large is the market capitalisation of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)?
The market capitalisation of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics is $1.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)?
Earnings per share at MoonLake Immunotherapeutics are $−3.84. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics is −67.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics is −46.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) generate?
The free cash flow of MoonLake Immunotherapeutics is −$196M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does MoonLake Immunotherapeutics (MLTX) hold?
MoonLake Immunotherapeutics holds more cash than debt, $259M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed

Watch MoonLake Immunotherapeutics in the live analysis

One click puts MoonLake Immunotherapeutics on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.

Watch for free →

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.