Mitsui Kinzoku Company (MMSMY) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $17.2B

A solid business, but screening 10% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• Our model range runs from $26.31 (bear) to $43.85 (bull), base $35.08. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
• Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.96 – $69.55 · fair‑value band $26.31 – $43.85 · the $39.00 price screens above the $35.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Mitsui Kinzoku Company (MMSMY) currently trades at $39.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.08, implying the stock looks roughly 10.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Mitsui Kinzoku Company generated revenue of $759B at a net margin of 12.0%. Revenue grew 16.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.7%. Net debt stands at $57.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.31 (bear case) to $43.85 (bull case); at $39.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -10%, MMSMY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($5,751) versus Asset-Based ($969.27). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Mitsui Kinzoku Company, Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of metal products in Japan and internationally. It operates through Engineered Materials, Metals, Mobility, and Other Businesses segments.

Full company description

Mitsui Kinzoku Company, Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of metal products in Japan and internationally. It operates through Engineered Materials, Metals, Mobility, and Other Businesses segments. The company offers engineered powders, including ultra-fine powders for electronic materials, powder metallurgy, and solder powders; rare metals, such as tantalumu and niobium oxides and carbides, and cerium oxide abrasives; battery materials comprising hydrogen storage alloys and lithium manganese oxides; catalysts; copper foils; PVD materials; and ceramics for electronic components. It also provides side and back door latches, hood latches, etc. for automobiles; perlite for processing and cooling; Nenisanso, a soil improvement material; and ROKAHELP, a perlite-based filter aid. In addition, the company smelts and recycles nonferrous metals consisting of zinc, zinc base alloys, lead, tin, antimony trioxide, copper, gold and silver, and sulfuric acid; explores for copper and zinc ores; operates geothermal power plant; and provides resource development and environmental protection engineering services. Further, the company offers zinc and lead ingots, zinc sulfate, zinc raw materials, and sulfuric acid and plaster products; chemical products; optical crystals, scintillators, and radiation detectors; rolled copper foil products. Additionally, it engages in the mechatronics and corrosion prevention businesses; handling wires and cables activities; and provision of engineering services and IT systems. The company was formerly known as Mitsui Mining & Smelting Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Mitsui Kinzoku Company, Limited in October 2025. Mitsui Mining & Smelting Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Mitsui Kinzoku Company reported revenue of $804B in FY2026 versus $633B in FY2022, a compound +6.2%/yr. Reported net income was $96.8B in FY2026, compounding +16.7%/yr from FY2022.

MMSMY screens 10% overvalued. Compare with CITIC Limited →

Peer Group

Conglomerates · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.