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Monde Nissin Corporation (MNDDF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.2B

MN Monde Nissin Corporation logo Monde Nissin Corporation MNDDF · US
Price$0.1200
Fair Value$0.1500
Upside+25.0%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 10.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
6.62% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/12)
Moderate moat 61/100
Evidence: High Range $0.1000 – $0.1900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

A solid business, screening 25% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.1000 to $0.1900) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$0.2071 $0.1134 Fair Value $0.1500 May 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

39‑month range $0.1134 – $0.2071 · fair‑value band $0.1000 – $0.1900 · the $0.1200 price screens below the $0.1500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Monde Nissin Corporation (MNDDF) currently trades at $0.1200, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1500, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Monde Nissin Corporation generated revenue of $88.4B at a net margin of 10.8%. Revenue grew 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.6%. Net debt stands at $30.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.1000 (bear case) to $0.1900 (bull case); at $0.1200, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 25%, MNDDF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0774 $0.1030 $0.1370 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1001 $0.1534 $0.2114 74
ROIC Compounder $0.1019 $0.1219 $0.1435 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0760 $0.1042 $0.1435 38
Owner Earnings $0.0772 $0.1059 $0.1457 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1001 $0.1534 $0.2202 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.1145 $0.1795 $0.2535 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.1047 $0.1618 $0.2197 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0872 $0.1325 $0.1908 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.0992 $0.1500 $0.2149 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.0930 $0.1382 $0.1905 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0559 $0.1442 $0.1879 54
PEG = 1.0 $0.0271 $0.0388 $0.0505 46
EPV $0.0978 $0.1112 $0.1227 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.1234 $0.1646 $0.2058 63
P/S Multiple $0.1050 $0.1399 $0.1749 58
P/B Multiple $0.1050 $0.1399 $0.1749 55
EV/EBIT $0.1723 $0.2255 $0.2785 53
EV/EBITDA $0.1545 $0.2017 $0.2487 54
EV/Revenue $0.1205 $0.1665 $0.2125 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0287 $0.0383 $0.0572 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0774 $0.1030 $0.1370 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.1001 $0.1534 $0.2114 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.0554 $0.0699 $0.1653 61
ROIC Compounder $0.1019 $0.1219 $0.1435 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.0965 $0.1376 $0.1790 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($0.1646) versus Asset-Based ($0.0383). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $88.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1%
Net margin 10.8%
Return on equity 16.6%
Free cash flow $6.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 12.0
More key figures
Operating margin 17.8%
EPS (TTM) $0.0100
Dividend yield 6.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +36.8%
Net debt $30.1B FY2020

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 62
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 46
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Monde Nissin Corporation, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells food products and beverages in the Philippines, Thailand, New Zealand, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Asia-Pacific Branded Food & Beverage (APAC BFB) Business and the Meat Alternative Business.

Full company description

Monde Nissin Corporation, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells food products and beverages in the Philippines, Thailand, New Zealand, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Asia-Pacific Branded Food & Beverage (APAC BFB) Business and the Meat Alternative Business. The APAC BFB offers instant noodles, pasta, biscuits, crackers, sandwiches, cookies, wafers, yogurt drinks, cultured milk products, oyster sauce, meal mixes, sauces, condiments, packaged baked goods, culinary aids, fresh bread, and other products. The Meat Alternative Business engages in the production, marketing, and distribution of Quorn foods under the Quorn and Cauldron brand names. It also manufactures, processes, and exports biscuits; industrial coconut; and agricultural products. In addition, the company engages in the manufacturing, importing, exporting, selling and distribution of breads; purchasing or registering intellectual properties; distribution of food related goods; manufacturing, sales, and marketing animal food and care products; manufacture and distribution of bread, industrial coconut, agricultural products, and cookies; and wholesale and retail trade of goods, wares, and merchandises. It sells its products primarily under Lucky Me!, SkyFlakes, Fita, M.Y. San Grahams, Nissin, Mama Sita's, Bingo, Monde, and Dutch Mill brands, as well as under Voiz, Sumo, and Kid-O brand name. The company was formerly known as Monde Denmark Nissin Biscuit Corporation. Monde Nissin Corporation was incorporated in 1979 and is based in Santa Rosa, the Philippines.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Monde Nissin Corporation reported revenue of $86.5B in FY2025 versus $69.3B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was $8.6B in FY2025, compounding +29.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$86.5B
Latest YoY
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Revenue +5.7%/yr
FY21 $69.3B
FY22 $73.9B
FY23 $80.2B
FY24 $83.1B
FY25 $86.5B
Net income +29.0%/yr
FY21 $3.1B
FY22 −$13.0B
FY23 −$636M
FY24 $446M
FY25 $8.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Monde Nissin Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MNDDF

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 651 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +25% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 6.6% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.16× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 67 · sector 27
FUTURE 46 · sector 19
PAST 66 · sector 27
HEALTH 99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 79.00 TWD 68.72 TWD -13%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Monde Nissin Corporation (MNDDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1500 versus a price of $0.1200, about +25% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MNDDF?
Our model-based fair value for Monde Nissin Corporation is $0.1500 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1200.
What is the quality score of MNDDF?
Monde Nissin Corporation has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Monde Nissin Corporation (MNDDF)?
Monde Nissin Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $88.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MNDDF?
The net profit margin of Monde Nissin Corporation is about 10.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Monde Nissin Corporation pay a dividend?
Monde Nissin Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.62% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 29, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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