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Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi TRY 18.00, price TRY 19.85, upside -9.3%, quality 42 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · TR · ISIN TREMPAS00012

MM Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi

MOPAS · IS

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 18.00 TRY · Overvalued (−9.3%)
!Quality 42/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +26.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!2.8% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 21 out of 100
!Weak on past: 17 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

62.16 TRY 19.85 TRY Fair Value 18.00 TRY Jan 2025 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range 19.85 TRY – 62.16 TRY · fair‑value band 13.50 TRY – 22.50 TRY · the 19.85 TRY price screens above the 18.00 TRY fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi sells various consumer products through physical and online stores.

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Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi sells various consumer products through physical and online stores. It offers fruits and vegetables; red/white meat; milk, cheese, butter margarine, olive, bakery products, cream sauce, yogurt, egg, milk dessert ice cream, and breakfast products; detergent and cleaning products; and legumes pasta, oil, salt and spices, baked goods and desserts, biscuits and snacks, chocolate and wafers, chewing gum and confectionery, soup and broth, frozen food, ready meals, canned goods and tomato paste, and healthy living products. The company also provides fizz, daily drink, mineral water, tea and coffee, and non-carbonated drinks; paper products, waxing hair removal products, oral care, shaving, facial care, perfume and deodorant, health, hair care, shower bathroom, and body hand care products, as well as makeup accessories; kitchenware utensils, electrical electronics, personal interest, entertainment, and pet products; baby care, ready meal food, diaper, and toys; organic foods; soups, cuisine, snacks, and rice pasta; and organic products. It also sells its products through website and the mobile application MOPAS. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Stock analysis

Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS) currently trades at 19.85 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 18.00 TRY, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.3%).

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 126.91 TRY per share, and 8 of the 15 models we run sit above the 19.85 TRY price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 11.76 TRY, and 7 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 13.50 TRY (bear) to 22.50 TRY (bull), the price of 19.85 TRY sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 18.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 7.7B TRY in FY2021, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was 234M TRY in FY2025, compounding +29.7%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.

Key figures

Market cap 7.4B TRY (≈ $152M) · P/E ratio 25.8 · P/S ratio 0.33 · EPS (TTM) 0.7700 TRY · Dividend yield 2.8% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 4.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 8.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −9%, MOPAS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 13.50 TRY Fair Value 18.00 TRY Bull 22.50 TRY
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1635 TRY per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 25.91 TRY 28.62 TRY 30.83 TRY 71
Owner Earnings 66.21 TRY 126.91 TRY 232.84 TRY 70
ROIC Compounder 29.55 TRY 38.03 TRY 47.72 TRY 69
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 66.21 TRY 126.91 TRY 232.84 TRY 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5.83 TRY 40.65 TRY 57.05 TRY 60
Lynch FV 12.58 TRY 17.98 TRY 23.37 TRY 58
PEG = 1.0 12.58 TRY 17.98 TRY 23.37 TRY 55
EPV 25.91 TRY 28.62 TRY 30.83 TRY 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple 13.50 TRY 18.00 TRY 22.50 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 10.93 TRY 14.57 TRY 18.22 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 10.93 TRY 14.57 TRY 18.22 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 54.43 TRY 71.48 TRY 88.53 TRY 66
EV/EBITDA 67.63 TRY 89.09 TRY 110.54 TRY 67
EV/Revenue 39.78 TRY 55.43 TRY 71.08 TRY 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.89 TRY 11.91 TRY 17.77 TRY 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 12.17 TRY 11.76 TRY 12.00 TRY 68
ROIC Compounder 29.55 TRY 38.03 TRY 47.72 TRY 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 16.97 TRY 24.24 TRY 31.52 TRY 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 14
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 6
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TRY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in TRY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+73.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+70.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 6%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 654 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −9.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4.4% · Below median
Return on assets 6.1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 7.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 25.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.54× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.40× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)21 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)40 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)17 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)55 · sector 59

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 77.17 CHF 59.51 −23%
Danone S.A BN €59.56 €50.65 −15%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥33.93 ¥37.32 +10%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $23.63 $29.20 +24%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,363 ₹724.74 −47%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥26.90 ¥41.84 +56%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥24.55 ¥9.98 −59%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.68 SGD 5.14 SGD +40%
General Mills, Inc GIS $33.64 $34.59 +3%
Kerry Group KRZ €85.55 €59.96 −30%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOPAS

Frequently asked questions

Is Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 18.00 TRY versus a price of 19.85 TRY, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MOPAS?
Our model-based fair value for Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 18.00 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 19.85 TRY.
What is the quality score of MOPAS?
Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 18.00 TRY (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario 13.50 TRY, optimistic scenario 22.50 TRY. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 18.00 TRY, about −9% upside versus a price of 19.85 TRY (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 13.50 TRY, optimistic scenario 22.50 TRY. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.5B TRY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi pay a dividend?
Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.77% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi it is 18.00 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 19.85 TRY. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, MOPAS trades above its calculated fair value: price 19.85 TRY, fair value 18.00 TRY, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MOPAS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (19.85 TRY); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (18.00 TRY). For Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi the two are 1.85 TRY per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi worth?
The market values Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi at about 7.4B TRY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 19.85 TRY; our models calculate a fair value of 18.00 TRY per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MOPAS?
Our models span a range for Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi: cautious scenario 13.50 TRY, base 18.00 TRY, optimistic 22.50 TRY per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 19.85 TRY). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MOPAS?
Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.8 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 18.00 TRY is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 6.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 4.4%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MOPAS from its 52-week high?
Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi trades at 19.85 TRY, about 68% below its 52-week high of 62.16 TRY and at the low of 19.85 TRY (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 18.00 TRY is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 19.85 TRY, calculated fair value 18.00 TRY (−9%), Quality Score 42/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MOPAS calculated?
We run Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 18.00 TRY, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was 19.85 TRY. Our model-based fair value is 18.00 TRY, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi

How large is the market capitalisation of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
The market capitalisation of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 7.4B TRY (≈ $152M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 0.33 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
Earnings per share at Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi are 0.7700 TRY (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
The dividend yield of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 2.8% (payout 71.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
The net margin of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 8.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
The operating margin of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 6.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
Revenue at Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is growing +7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
Earnings per share at Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi are growing −33.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS) generate?
The free cash flow of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is −806M TRY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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