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Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TR · Market cap 7.4B TRY

MM Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi MOPAS · IS
Price27.62 TRY
Fair Value23.76 TRY
Upside-14.0%
Quality42/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.98% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: Medium Range 12.86 TRY – 27.35 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated today

Share price −11.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 14% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (12.86 TRY to 27.35 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from 12.86 TRY (bear) to 27.35 TRY (bull), base 23.76 TRY. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 42/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
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Price vs Fair Value (18 months)

62.16 TRY 23.34 TRY Fair Value 23.76 TRY Jan 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

18‑month range 23.34 TRY – 62.16 TRY · fair‑value band 12.86 TRY – 27.35 TRY · the 27.62 TRY price screens above the 23.76 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS) currently trades at 27.62 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.76 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 14.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi generated revenue of 18.5B TRY at a net margin of 1.1%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 35.4. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 12.86 TRY (bear case) to 27.35 TRY (bull case); at 27.62 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 57% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -14%, MOPAS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder 39.13 TRY 55.26 TRY 75.42 TRY 72
Growth-Adj P/E 16.63 TRY 23.76 TRY 30.88 TRY 68
P/E Multiple 12.86 TRY 17.15 TRY 21.43 TRY 63
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 27.47 TRY 56.90 TRY 116.42 TRY 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 5.83 TRY 40.65 TRY 57.05 TRY 54
Lynch FV 12.58 TRY 17.98 TRY 23.37 TRY 50
PEG = 1.0 12.58 TRY 17.98 TRY 23.37 TRY 46
EPV 32.08 TRY 36.63 TRY 40.56 TRY 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 12.86 TRY 17.15 TRY 21.43 TRY 63
P/S Multiple 10.93 TRY 14.57 TRY 18.22 TRY 58
P/B Multiple 10.93 TRY 14.57 TRY 18.22 TRY 55
EV/EBIT 57.44 TRY 75.49 TRY 93.55 TRY 53
EV/EBITDA 67.63 TRY 89.09 TRY 110.54 TRY 54
EV/Revenue 39.78 TRY 55.43 TRY 71.08 TRY 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.89 TRY 11.91 TRY 17.77 TRY 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 13.35 TRY 13.36 TRY 12.41 TRY 61
ROIC Compounder 39.13 TRY 55.26 TRY 75.42 TRY 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 16.63 TRY 23.76 TRY 30.88 TRY 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (56.90 TRY) versus Asset-Based (11.91 TRY). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.5B TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9%
Net margin 1.1%
Return on equity 4.4%
Free cash flow −806M TRY FY2025
P/E ratio 35.4
More key figures
Operating margin 6.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.7700 TRY
Dividend yield 2.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -33.4%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 11
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 10
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi sells various consumer products through physical and online stores.

Full company description

Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi sells various consumer products through physical and online stores. It offers fruits and vegetables; red/white meat; milk, cheese, butter margarine, olive, bakery products, cream sauce, yogurt, egg, milk dessert ice cream, and breakfast products; detergent and cleaning products; and legumes pasta, oil, salt and spices, baked goods and desserts, biscuits and snacks, chocolate and wafers, chewing gum and confectionery, soup and broth, frozen food, ready meals, canned goods and tomato paste, and healthy living products. The company also provides fizz, daily drink, mineral water, tea and coffee, and non-carbonated drinks; paper products, waxing hair removal products, oral care, shaving, facial care, perfume and deodorant, health, hair care, shower bathroom, and body hand care products, as well as makeup accessories; kitchenware utensils, electrical electronics, personal interest, entertainment, and pet products; baby care, ready meal food, diaper, and toys; organic foods; soups, cuisine, snacks, and rice pasta; and organic products. It also sells its products through website and the mobile application MOPAS. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Istanbul, Turkey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported revenue of 18.1B TRY in FY2025 versus 7.7B TRY in FY2021, a compound +23.6%/yr. Reported net income was 234M TRY in FY2025, compounding +29.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
18.1B TRY
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.4%
Revenue +23.6%/yr
FY21 7.7B TRY
FY22 9.0B TRY
FY23 11.4B TRY
FY24 17.4B TRY
FY25 18.1B TRY
Net income +29.7%/yr
FY21 82.8M TRY
FY22 413M TRY
FY23 740M TRY
FY24 299M TRY
FY25 234M TRY

MOPAS screens 14% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MOPAS

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 651 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −14% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 35.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.54× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.40× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.0× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 15 · sector 27
FUTURE 40 · sector 19
PAST 17 · sector 27
HEALTH 100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 40 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 79.00 TWD 68.72 TWD -13%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 23.76 TRY versus a price of 27.62 TRY, about −14% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MOPAS?
Our model-based fair value for Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is 23.76 TRY (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 27.62 TRY.
What is the quality score of MOPAS?
Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (MOPAS)?
Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.5B TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MOPAS?
The net profit margin of Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi is about 1.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi pay a dividend?
Mopas Marketcilik Gida Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.98% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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