MPC Energy Solutions NV (MPCES) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · NO · Market cap 301M NOK (≈ $32.4M) · ISIN NL0015268814
What is MPC Energy Solutions NV really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 52% below our fair value of kr 4.94.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Sep 2, 2026, revised from kr 2.48 to kr 4.94 (+99.2%) since Aug 15, 2026. Share price −82.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (37/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 3.68). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 1.94 – kr 35.00 · fair‑value band kr 3.68 – kr 6.20 · the kr 2.35 price screens below the kr 4.94 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.
Analysis
MPC Energy Solutions NV (MPCES) currently trades at kr 2.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 4.94, implying the stock looks roughly 52.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 4.2M NOK. Revenue declined 52.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −25.0%. Net debt stands at 12.7M NOK. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 3.68 (bear case) to kr 6.20 (bull case); at kr 2.35, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 110%, MPCES screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 0.4500) versus Asset-Based (kr 0.2100). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
MPC Energy Solutions N.V., an independent power producer, develops, builds, owns, and operates renewable energy assets in Latin America and the Caribbean. The company operates utility-scale solar photovoltaics and power plants in Colombia, Mexico and El Salvador. It delivers energy to public and private commercial, and industrial off-takers.
Full company description
MPC Energy Solutions N.V., an independent power producer, develops, builds, owns, and operates renewable energy assets in Latin America and the Caribbean. The company operates utility-scale solar photovoltaics and power plants in Colombia, Mexico and El Salvador. It delivers energy to public and private commercial, and industrial off-takers. The company was incorporated in 2020 and is based in Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
MPC Energy Solutions NV reported revenue of $5.6M in FY2025 versus $544K in FY2021, a compound +78.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.0M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Renewable · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Renewable median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Renewable stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Yangtze Power Co 600900 | ¥27.96 | ¥25.13 | −10% |
| Ørsted A/S ORSTED | kr 139.25 | kr 31.40 | −77% |
| Huaneng Lancang River Hydropower Inc 600025 | ¥9.79 | ¥5.57 | −43% |
| Adani Green Energy Limited ADANIGREEN | ₹1,319 | ₹169.61 | −87% |
| AXIA Energia SA AXIAP | $10.74 | $9.49 | −12% |
| VERBUND AG OEWA | €57.00 | €66.19 | +16% |
| BEP BEP | $32.49 | $70.40 | +117% |
| BEPUN BEPUN | C$45.05 | C$42.83 | −5% |
| Fortum Oyj FORTUM | €19.80 | €13.55 | −32% |
| China Longyuan Power Group 001289 | ¥15.92 | ¥7.55 | −53% |
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