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Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Metal Powder Works Ltd stock A$0.67, price A$1.25, that is 46.4% below the price, quality 22 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Basic Materials AU · Based in US · ISIN AU000000MPW0

MP Metal Powder Works Ltd logo Thin data Nov 10, 2026

Metal Powder Works Ltd

MPW · AU
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 46% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt
Fair value A$0.6700 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 22/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y +1.1 %/yr in AUD)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/7)
Narrow moat 12/100
Thin data
⟳ CyclicalEstimate
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

A$4.85 A$0.2125 Fair Value A$0.6700 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 10, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.2125 – A$4.85 · fair‑value band A$0.5100 – A$0.8400 · the A$1.25 price screens above the A$0.6700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 10, 2026.

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Company profile

Metal Powder Works Limited produces metal powders for additive manufacturing and other advanced applications. Its powder portfolio includes aluminum and copper alloys, zirconium, titanium, and specialty alloys, such as CP-Ti and Zircaloy.

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The company was founded in 2017 and is headquartered in Clinton, Pennsylvania.

Stock analysis

Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW) currently trades at A$1.25, while our estimate is A$0.6700, 46% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: A$0.5100 (bear) to A$0.8400 (bull), the price of A$1.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Metal Powder Works Ltd reported revenue of A$1.7M in FY2026 versus A$3.7M in FY2022, a compound −18.3%/yr. Reported net income was −A$12.4M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap A$194M (≈ $133M) Micro · EPS (TTM) A$−0.1200 · Return on equity −93.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −77.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −629% · Revenue (TTM) A$1.7M · Revenue growth (YoY) +198% · Free cash flow −A$10.3M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 12 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 60% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −46%, MPW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value

Bear A$0.5100 Fair Value A$0.6700 Bull A$0.8400
Price A$1.25 · Downside -46.4%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 22/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 2
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 97
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 0
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 5
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+3.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−18.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +63.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−292.6% (2021) → −650.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

MPW screens overvalued: fair value 46% below the price. Compare with BHP Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 577 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/6 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 22 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −46.4% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −77.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 197.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/B 13.79× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 4
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 45
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 33

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Vedanta Limited VEDL ₹262.00 ₹334.17 +28% vs MPW
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 57.00 SAR 64.24 SAR +13% vs MPW
Western Mining Co 601168 ¥28.25 ¥30.98 +10% vs MPW
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹575.95 ₹624.91 +9% vs MPW
Boliden AB BOL kr 515.20 kr 464.45 −10% vs MPW
BHP Group BHP A$60.39 A$47.47 −21% vs MPW
Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co 603799 ¥32.69 ¥25.57 −22% vs MPW
Korea Zinc Company 010130 967,000 KRW 649,125 KRW −33% vs MPW
CMOC Group 603993 ¥13.71 ¥6.82 −50% vs MPW
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥40.90 ¥4.44 −89% vs MPW

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Metal Powder Works Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Metal Powder Works Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MPW

Frequently asked questions

Is Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 10, 2026, our estimate of fair value is A$0.6700 versus a price of A$1.25, about 46% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MPW?
Our estimate for Metal Powder Works Ltd is A$0.6700 (as of Nov 10, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.25.
What is the quality score of MPW?
Metal Powder Works Ltd has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of A$0.6700 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Cautious scenario A$0.5100, optimistic scenario A$0.8400. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Metal Powder Works Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at A$0.6700, about 46% lower versus a price of A$1.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.5100, optimistic scenario A$0.8400. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
Metal Powder Works Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$1.7M (latest available figure, as of Nov 10, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Metal Powder Works Ltd it is A$0.6700 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026), against a price of A$1.25.
Is Metal Powder Works Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 10, 2026, MPW trades above its calculated fair value: price A$1.25, fair value A$0.6700, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MPW?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.6700). For Metal Powder Works Ltd the two are A$0.5800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Metal Powder Works Ltd worth?
The market values Metal Powder Works Ltd at about A$194M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 10, 2026). Per share that is A$1.25; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.6700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MPW?
Our models span a range for Metal Powder Works Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.5100, base A$0.6700, optimistic A$0.8400 per share (as of Nov 10, 2026, price A$1.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Metal Powder Works Ltd (as of Nov 10, 2026): return on equity −93.9%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MPW from its 52-week high?
Metal Powder Works Ltd trades at A$1.25, about 60% below its 52-week high of A$3.10 and at the low of A$1.25 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.6700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Metal Powder Works Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value BHP Group, Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Metal Powder Works Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 10, 2026: price A$1.25, calculated fair value A$0.6700 (−46%), Quality Score 22/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Metal Powder Works Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was A$1.25. Our estimate is A$0.6700, about 46% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Metal Powder Works Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.8400). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Metal Powder Works Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
The market capitalisation of Metal Powder Works Ltd is A$194M (≈ $133M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
Earnings per share at Metal Powder Works Ltd are A$−0.1200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Metal Powder Works Ltd is −93.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Metal Powder Works Ltd is −77.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
The operating margin of Metal Powder Works Ltd is −629% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW)?
Revenue at Metal Powder Works Ltd is growing +198% versus a year earlier (3y avg −18.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW) generate?
The free cash flow of Metal Powder Works Ltd is −A$10.3M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Metal Powder Works Ltd (MPW) hold?
Metal Powder Works Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$10.3M net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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