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H.U. Group (MRCHF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.1B

HU H.U. Group logo H.U. Group MRCHF · US
Price$20.38
Fair Value$13.07
Upside-35.9%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 28/100
Evidence: High Range $9.80 – $16.34 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $16.91 to $13.07 (−22.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($16.34). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$30.32 $13.09 Fair Value $13.07 Jun 2017 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $13.09 – $30.32 · fair‑value band $9.80 – $16.34 · the $20.38 price screens above the $13.07 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

H.U. Group (MRCHF) currently trades at $20.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.07, implying the stock looks roughly 35.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, H.U. Group generated revenue of $247B at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue declined 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at $26.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.80 (bear case) to $16.34 (bull case); at $20.38, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -36%, MRCHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $20.54 $25.87 $32.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF $11.99 $14.89 $18.23 74
ROIC Compounder $4.09 $4.45 $4.74 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $20.13 $25.86 $33.32 38
Owner Earnings $26.94 $34.76 $44.95 31
5Y Revenue Exit $11.99 $14.48 $17.45 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $25.09 $37.22 $51.08 41
5Y P/E Exit $15.71 $20.94 $26.22 38
10Y Revenue Exit $15.24 $17.90 $20.75 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $22.77 $31.77 $42.37 37
10Y P/E Exit $17.46 $21.85 $26.39 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $5.23 $10.49 $13.19 54
EPV $4.09 $4.45 $4.74 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $12.69 $16.91 $21.14 63
P/S Multiple $9.80 $13.07 $16.34 58
P/B Multiple $9.80 $13.07 $16.34 55
EV/EBIT $8.34 $10.63 $12.92 53
EV/EBITDA $32.87 $43.34 $53.80 54
EV/Revenue $6.37 $8.47 $10.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $7.74 $10.37 $15.48 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $20.54 $25.87 $32.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF $11.99 $14.89 $18.23 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $11.14 $10.99 $9.71 61
ROIC Compounder $4.09 $4.45 $4.74 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $9.18 $13.12 $17.05 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($21.85) versus Earnings-Based ($4.45). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $247B
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.6%
Net margin 2.8%
Return on equity 4.9%
Free cash flow $19.3B FY2026
P/E ratio 26.4
More key figures
Operating margin 1.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.7600
EPS growth (YoY) +52.6%
Net debt $26.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

H.U. Group Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates healthcare business in Japan, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

H.U. Group Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates healthcare business in Japan, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The Lab Testing and Its Related Services segment provides general testing services to medical institutions that include esoteric testing, such as genetic and oncology testing; companion diagnostics-related tests for cancer treatment; omics analysis comprising whole genome sequencing and proteome analysis; comprehensive support for clinical trials and research, including pre-trial setup work, specimen collection and transport, measuring, result reports, and data management, as well as SaaS for general practitioners and personal health records. Its In-Vitro Diagnostics segment provides Lumipulse system products, an automated chemiluminescence enzyme immunoassay system that offers reagents; testing services for neurodegenerative diseases; and rapid diagnostics kit for infectious diseases comprising influenza and COVID-19, as well as cerebrospinal fluid reagent. This segment also develops blood-based reagents and biomarkers specifically for neurodegenerative diseases, such as Alzheimer's. The Healthcare-related Services segment offers in-house sterilization for central supply rooms in hospitals and external sterilization at sterilization centers; operating room support, endoscopy room support, medical equipment maintenance and inspection, and logistics management and transportation services; support for important tasks related to hospital administration work, including the sale of medical equipment, supplies, and consumables related to central supply rooms and operating rooms; bulk rentals of nursing care equipment, supplying equipment, including wheelchairs and nursing beds; and home medical care and nursing services. The company was formerly known as Miraca Holdings Inc. and changed its name to H.U. Group Holdings, Inc. in July 2020. H.U. Group Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

H.U. Group reported revenue of $249B in FY2026 versus $273B in FY2022, a compound −2.3%/yr. Reported net income was $6.9B in FY2026, compounding −30.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$249B
Latest YoY
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y)
+3.0%
Revenue −2.3%/yr
FY22 $273B
FY23 $261B
FY24 $237B
FY25 $243B
FY26 $249B
Net income −30.6%/yr
FY22 $29.6B
FY23 $15.7B
FY24 −$7.6B
FY25 $2.8B
FY26 $6.9B

MRCHF screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "H.U. Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MRCHF

Peer Group

Diagnostics & Research · 136 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −36% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.26× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Diagnostics & Research median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 26.4× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 27
PAST 20 · sector 10
HEALTH 87 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Diagnostics & Research stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc TMO $543.19 $308.19 -43%
Danaher Corporation DHR $199.66 $103.88 -48%
WuXi AppTec Co 2359 HK$160.70 HK$125.20 -22%
Lonza Group LONN CHF 567.80 CHF 259.80 -54%
IDEXX Laboratories, Inc IDXX $567.44 $255.77 -55%
Agilent Technologies, Inc A $131.46 $62.70 -52%
Waters Corporation WAT $368.98 $121.96 -67%
IQVIA Holdings IQV $207.85 $134.18 -35%
Integrated Diagnostics Holdings IDHC $0.0050 $0.0053 +5%
Illumina, Inc ILMN $186.65 $95.51 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is H.U. Group (MRCHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.07 versus a price of $20.38, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MRCHF?
Our model-based fair value for H.U. Group is $13.07 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $20.38.
What is the quality score of MRCHF?
H.U. Group has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of H.U. Group (MRCHF)?
H.U. Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $247B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MRCHF?
The net profit margin of H.U. Group is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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