Murano Global Investments Plc, (MRNO) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $22.7M
Murano Global Investments Plc,
MRNO · US
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $0.2959 to $0.2895 (−2.2%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −15.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 30% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (21/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($0.1912 to $0.3616) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
29‑month range $0.1910 – $21.25 · fair‑value band $0.1912 – $0.3616 · the $0.2220 price screens below the $0.2895 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Murano Global Investments Plc, (MRNO) currently trades at $0.2220, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.2895, implying the stock looks roughly 30.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 21/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Murano Global Investments Plc, generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of -24.8%. Revenue declined 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.5%. Net debt stands at $10.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.1912 (bear case) to $0.3616 (bull case); at $0.2220, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 30%, MRNO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Murano Global Investments Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Mexico. The company owns, develops, manages, and operates hotel and resort properties. It is also involved in the execution, construction, management, and operation of various industrial, business, and tourism real estate projects.
Full company description
Murano Global Investments Plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the real estate business in Mexico. The company owns, develops, manages, and operates hotel and resort properties. It is also involved in the execution, construction, management, and operation of various industrial, business, and tourism real estate projects. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Murano Global Investments Plc, reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $1.5M in FY2021, a compound +422.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$282M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹657.75 | ₹159.49 | -76% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹1,188 | ₹583.43 | -51% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,125 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -78% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,925 | ₹1,183 | -39% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,080 IDR | 1,674 IDR | +55% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 84.16 IDR | +32% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 555.00 IDR | 1,388 IDR | +150% |
| PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI | 4,100 IDR | 6,239 IDR | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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