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Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company (MSH) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · VN · Market cap 3.6T VND

SH Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company MSH · VN
Price31,550 VND
Fair Value89,361 VND
Upside+183.2%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
12.42% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: Medium Range 55,801 VND – 121,803 VND Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −1.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 183% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (55,801 VND). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (55,801 VND to 121,803 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

39,378 VND 13,871 VND Fair Value 89,361 VND Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 13,871 VND – 39,378 VND · fair‑value band 55,801 VND – 121,803 VND · the 31,550 VND price screens below the 89,361 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company (MSH) currently trades at 31,550 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 89,361 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 183.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company generated revenue of 5.5T VND at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue grew 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.2%. Net debt stands at 556B VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 55,801 VND (bear case) to 121,803 VND (bull case); at 31,550 VND, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 183%, MSH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 44,157 VND 65,113 VND 96,088 VND 80
Residual Income 39,766 VND 56,017 VND 471,544 VND 76
Rev-Margin DCF 47,514 VND 75,981 VND 107,707 VND 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 43,048 VND 66,078 VND 101,988 VND 38
Owner Earnings 55,071 VND 84,656 VND 130,790 VND 31
5Y Revenue Exit 47,514 VND 75,962 VND 111,885 VND 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 47,564 VND 76,053 VND 108,669 VND 41
5Y P/E Exit 55,800 VND 91,150 VND 127,540 VND 38
10Y Revenue Exit 43,953 VND 69,787 VND 103,598 VND 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 45,594 VND 69,851 VND 101,133 VND 37
10Y P/E Exit 50,921 VND 80,458 VND 115,596 VND 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 37,101 VND 103,709 VND 136,369 VND 54
Lynch FV 20,891 VND 29,845 VND 38,798 VND 50
PEG = 1.0 20,891 VND 29,845 VND 38,798 VND 46
EPV 54,662 VND 64,164 VND 72,611 VND 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 69,565 VND 92,753 VND 115,941 VND 63
P/S Multiple 55,370 VND 73,827 VND 92,284 VND 58
P/B Multiple 38,276 VND 51,035 VND 63,793 VND 55
EV/EBIT 66,813 VND 88,813 VND 110,812 VND 53
EV/EBITDA 56,271 VND 74,756 VND 93,242 VND 54
EV/Revenue 52,494 VND 74,642 VND 96,790 VND 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8,506 VND 11,398 VND 17,012 VND 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 44,157 VND 65,113 VND 96,088 VND 80
Rev-Margin DCF 47,514 VND 75,981 VND 107,707 VND 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 39,766 VND 56,017 VND 471,544 VND 76
ROIC Compounder 57,553 VND 71,308 VND 86,332 VND 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 56,688 VND 80,983 VND 105,278 VND 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (80,983 VND) versus Asset-Based (11,398 VND). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 5.5T VND
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.5%
Net margin 11.0%
Return on equity 30.2%
Free cash flow 408B VND FY2025
P/E ratio 6.6
More key figures
Operating margin 9.6%
EPS (TTM) 5,068 VND
Dividend yield 11.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -2.3%
Net debt 556B VND FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 73
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 73
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 66
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 31
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, processes, and sells garment and bedding products in Vietnam. The company offers cotton, rugs, blankets, carpets, and knitted clothes.

Full company description

Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, processes, and sells garment and bedding products in Vietnam. The company offers cotton, rugs, blankets, carpets, and knitted clothes. It also trades in industrial products; equipment, spare parts, and other materials for the garment-textile industry; and cigarettes, alcohol, and cosmetics. In addition, the company engages in sewing of clothes; wholesale of fabrics, clothes, and shoes; warehousing and storage services; renting of offices and factories; and provision of transportation services. Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Nam Dinh, Vietnam.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company reported revenue of 5.5T VND in FY2025 versus 4.7T VND in FY2021, a compound +3.9%/yr. Reported net income was 614B VND in FY2025, compounding +8.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.5T VND
Latest YoY
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.7%
Revenue +3.9%/yr
FY21 4.7T VND
FY22 5.5T VND
FY23 4.5T VND
FY24 5.3T VND
FY25 5.5T VND
Net income +8.5%/yr
FY21 442B VND
FY22 375B VND
FY23 245B VND
FY24 413B VND
FY25 614B VND

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MSH

Peer Group

Apparel Manufacturing · 212 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Above median
Fair Value upside +183% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 12.4% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.34× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Manufacturing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 32
FUTURE 3 · sector 4
PAST 100 · sector 21
HEALTH 83 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Apparel Manufacturing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB HMB kr 163.45 kr 165.47 +1%
Ralph Lauren Corporation RL $374.08 $224.21 -40%
Moncler S.p.A MONC €52.08 €50.69 -3%
Gildan Activewear Inc GIL C$73.17 C$32.85 -55%
LPP SA LPP 19,380 PLN 17,754 PLN -8%
Bosideng International Holdings 3998 HK$4.88 HK$5.92 +21%
Youngor Fashion Co 600177 ¥7.57 ¥5.59 -26%
Page Industries Limited PAGEIND ₹39,900 ₹12,395 -69%
Hla Group 600398 ¥6.05 ¥9.92 +64%
Eclat Textile Co 1476 333.50 TWD 357.81 TWD +7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company (MSH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 89,361 VND versus a price of 31,550 VND, about +183% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MSH?
Our model-based fair value for Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company is 89,361 VND (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 31,550 VND.
What is the quality score of MSH?
Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company (MSH)?
Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 5.5T VND (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MSH?
The net profit margin of Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company is about 11.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company pay a dividend?
Song Hong Garment Joint Stock Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.80% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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