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Marshalls plc (MSLH) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · GB · Market cap 366M GBX

MP Marshalls plc MSLH · LSE
Price£1.45
Fair Value£1.39
Upside-4.0%
Quality53/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.71% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: High Range £0.8885 – £1.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 15, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 15, 2026, revised from £1.00 to £1.39 (+39.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +16.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (£0.8885 to £1.73) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£5.98 £1.04 Fair Value £1.39 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £1.04 – £5.98 · fair‑value band £0.8885 – £1.73 · the £1.45 price screens above the £1.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 15, 2026.

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Analysis

Marshalls plc (MSLH) currently trades at £1.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.39, implying the stock looks roughly 4.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Marshalls plc generated revenue of £632M at a net margin of 2.3%. It earns a return on equity of 2.2%. Net debt stands at £177M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 22.6. Fundamentals as of Jul 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £0.8885 (bear case) to £1.73 (bull case); at £1.45, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -4%, MSLH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £0.2700 £0.5400 £0.8500 80
Residual Income £1.74 £1.66 £1.24 76
Rev-Margin DCF £0.6700 £1.39 £2.17 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £0.2600 £0.5500 £0.9100 38
Owner Earnings £1.13 £1.73 £2.48 31
5Y Revenue Exit £0.6700 £1.39 £2.29 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £1.21 £2.36 £3.66 41
5Y P/E Exit £0.1600 £0.4800 £0.8000 38
10Y Revenue Exit £0.4500 £1.02 £1.74 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £0.8000 £1.62 £2.66 37
10Y P/E Exit £0.2000 £0.4600 £0.7500 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £0.3900 £0.9400 £1.22 54
PEG = 1.0 £0.1700 £0.2400 £0.3100 46
EPV £0.7200 £0.9000 £1.04 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.5900 £0.9500 £1.33 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.5900 £0.8300 £1.07 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple £0.7300 £0.9700 £1.21 63
P/S Multiple £0.7300 £0.9700 £1.21 58
P/B Multiple £0.7300 £0.9700 £1.21 55
EV/EBIT £1.31 £1.92 £2.54 53
EV/EBITDA £2.24 £3.16 £4.09 54
EV/Revenue £1.06 £1.75 £2.44 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £1.30 £1.74 £2.59 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £0.2700 £0.5400 £0.8500 80
Rev-Margin DCF £0.6700 £1.39 £2.17 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £1.74 £1.66 £1.24 76
ROIC Compounder £0.7200 £0.9000 £1.04 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £0.5600 £0.8100 £1.05 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (£1.74) versus Growth DCF (£0.5400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 632M GBX
Net margin 2.3%
Return on equity 2.2%
Free cash flow 22.9M GBX FY2025
P/E ratio 24.2
Operating margin 7.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) £0.0600
Dividend yield 4.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -64.3%
Net debt 177M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 47
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 68
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Marshalls plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells landscape, building, and roofing products in the United Kingdom and internationally.

Full company description

Marshalls plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells landscape, building, and roofing products in the United Kingdom and internationally. It offers paving products, such as flag paving, natural stone paving, block paving, permeable paving, tactile paving, concrete, granite, sandstone, yorkstone, 600x600 slabs, 450x450 slabs, charcoal block, buff, grey, 50mm slabs, linear, council slabs, 80mm block, and permeable block, as well as accessories, steps, rail products, marker blocks, setts and cobbles, access and estate roads, and pedestals; kerbs; and combined kerb and drainage systems, pipes and manholes, linear drainage systems, retaining walls, below ground drainage, specialist precast and offsite solutions. The company also provides facing bricks, walling, engineering bricks, blocks, and utility bricks; landscape protection products, including hostile vehicle mitigation, post and rail, seating, planters, litter bins, cycle parking and storage, tree protection, tables, bespoke, active travel solutions, rhino bollards, and street furniture; mortar and screed for construction projects; gardens and driveway products; and aggregates, block stone, and building sand. In addition, it engages in the property management and non-trading activities; manufacturing and sale of roof integrated solar products; and operation of a quarry. Marshalls plc was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in Halifax, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Marshalls plc reported revenue of £632M in FY2025 versus £589M in FY2021, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was £14.4M in FY2025, compounding −28.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 66/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£632M
Latest YoY
+2.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.1%
Avg. growth/yr (39Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Revenue +1.8%/yr
FY21 £589M
FY22 £719M
FY23 £671M
FY24 £619M
FY25 £632M
Net income −28.4%/yr
FY21 £54.8M
FY22 £26.8M
FY23 £18.6M
FY24 £31.0M
FY25 £14.4M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −5.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +3.2 pp

of which total revenue +6.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.8 pp

EBIT margin −3.2 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Marshalls plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MSLH

Peer Group

Building Materials · 253 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.22× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 24.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.75× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.78× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 21.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.06× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 28 · sector 27
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 9 · sector 15
HEALTH 89 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 94 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Marshalls plc (MSLH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.39 versus a price of £1.45, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of MSLH?
Our model-based fair value for Marshalls plc is £1.39 (as of Jul 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.45.
What is the quality score of MSLH?
Marshalls plc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Marshalls plc (MSLH)?
Marshalls plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £632M (latest available figure, as of Jul 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MSLH?
The net profit margin of Marshalls plc is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Marshalls plc pay a dividend?
Marshalls plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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