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MT Højgaard Holding (MTHH) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · DK · Market cap 2.1B DKK

MH MT Højgaard Holding MTHH · CO
Pricekr 270.00
Fair Valuekr 724.75
Upside+168.4%
Quality59/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
3.70% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range kr 432.81 – kr 905.94 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price +1.1% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 168% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 432.81). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 432.81 to kr 905.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 536.19 kr 95.08 Fair Value kr 724.75 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 95.08 – kr 536.19 · fair‑value band kr 432.81 – kr 905.94 · the kr 270.00 price screens below the kr 724.75 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.

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Analysis

MT Højgaard Holding (MTHH) currently trades at kr 270.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 724.75, implying the stock looks roughly 168.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, MT Højgaard Holding generated revenue of 9.8B DKK at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue declined 18.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 26.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 186M DKK. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 432.81 (bear case) to kr 905.94 (bull case); at kr 270.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 168%, MTHH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF kr 218.59 kr 286.44 kr 379.50 80
Residual Income kr 220.07 kr 301.39 kr 1,417 76
Rev-Margin DCF kr 454.43 kr 742.28 kr 1,069 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF kr 216.47 kr 293.49 kr 406.01 38
Owner Earnings kr 477.74 kr 690.63 kr 1,002 31
5Y Revenue Exit kr 454.43 kr 748.93 kr 1,131 39
5Y EBITDA Exit kr 531.79 kr 893.37 kr 1,319 41
5Y P/E Exit kr 429.85 kr 703.04 kr 991.07 38
10Y Revenue Exit kr 347.27 kr 590.90 kr 927.00 36
10Y EBITDA Exit kr 411.38 kr 688.84 kr 1,067 37
10Y P/E Exit kr 347.88 kr 559.79 kr 822.94 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd kr 234.68 kr 724.17 kr 962.29 54
Lynch FV kr 156.55 kr 223.64 kr 290.73 50
PEG = 1.0 kr 156.55 kr 223.64 kr 290.73 46
EPV kr 509.50 kr 579.16 kr 639.25 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM kr 56.97 kr 113.53 kr 171.91 70
DDM Multi-Stage kr 56.97 kr 92.23 kr 119.83 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple kr 543.56 kr 724.75 kr 905.94 63
P/S Multiple kr 440.03 kr 586.70 kr 733.38 58
P/B Multiple kr 440.03 kr 586.70 kr 733.38 55
EV/EBIT kr 835.94 kr 1,092 kr 1,348 53
EV/EBITDA kr 791.96 kr 1,033 kr 1,274 54
EV/Revenue kr 616.20 kr 850.99 kr 1,086 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 79.73 kr 106.83 kr 159.46 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF kr 218.59 kr 286.44 kr 379.50 80
Rev-Margin DCF kr 454.43 kr 742.28 kr 1,069 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income kr 220.07 kr 301.39 kr 1,417 76
ROIC Compounder kr 528.79 kr 624.19 kr 721.92 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E kr 448.11 kr 640.16 kr 832.21 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 724.75) versus Dividend Discount (kr 92.23). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 9.8B DKK
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.0%
Net margin 2.6%
Return on equity 26.3%
Free cash flow 106M DKK FY2025
P/E ratio 9.0
More key figures
Operating margin 3.1%
EPS (TTM) kr 37.80
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) -27.6%
Net cash 186M DKK FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 9
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MT Højgaard Holding A/S engages in the provision of construction, civil engineering, and infrastructure services for private and public customers in Denmark and internationally. It also engages in the sale of land and building; and refurbishment, building, and green transition services.

Full company description

MT Højgaard Holding A/S engages in the provision of construction, civil engineering, and infrastructure services for private and public customers in Denmark and internationally. It also engages in the sale of land and building; and refurbishment, building, and green transition services. The company was formerly known as Højgaard Holding A/S and changed its name to MT Højgaard Holding A/S in April 2019. MT Højgaard Holding A/S was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Søborg, Denmark.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MT Højgaard Holding reported revenue of kr 10.2B in FY2025 versus kr 7.2B in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was kr 266M in FY2025, compounding +22.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.2B DKK
Latest YoY
−4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.9%
Revenue +9.2%/yr
FY21 kr 7.2B
FY22 kr 8.7B
FY23 kr 9.8B
FY24 kr 10.7B
FY25 kr 10.2B
Net income +22.6%/yr
FY21 kr 118M
FY22 kr 11.7M
FY23 kr 79.8M
FY24 kr 182M
FY25 kr 266M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2025) −25.9 % p.a.
Revenue per share −23.5 pp

of which total revenue +5.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −28.7 pp

EBIT margin +2.6 pp
Tax rate +0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MT Højgaard Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTHH

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +168% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 26% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -18% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.67× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 0 · sector 17
PAST 100 · sector 26
HEALTH 99 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 74 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MT Højgaard Holding (MTHH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 724.75 versus a price of kr 270.00, about +168% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MTHH?
Our model-based fair value for MT Højgaard Holding is kr 724.75 (as of Jul 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 270.00.
What is the quality score of MTHH?
MT Højgaard Holding has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MT Højgaard Holding (MTHH)?
MT Højgaard Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.8B DKK (latest available figure, as of Jul 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MTHH?
The net profit margin of MT Højgaard Holding is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does MT Højgaard Holding pay a dividend?
MT Højgaard Holding currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.10% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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