MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S DKK 640, price DKK 279, upside +129.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 95.08 – kr 536.19 · fair‑value band kr 423.58 – kr 905.94 · the kr 279.00 price screens below the kr 640.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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MT Højgaard Holding A/S engages in the provision of construction, civil engineering, and infrastructure services for private and public customers in Denmark and internationally. It also engages in the sale of land and building; and refurbishment, building, and green transition services.
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MT Højgaard Holding A/S engages in the provision of construction, civil engineering, and infrastructure services for private and public customers in Denmark and internationally. It also engages in the sale of land and building; and refurbishment, building, and green transition services. The company was formerly known as Højgaard Holding A/S and changed its name to MT Højgaard Holding A/S in April 2019. MT Højgaard Holding A/S was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Søborg, Denmark.
Stock analysis
MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH) currently trades at kr 279.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 640.16, implying the stock looks roughly 56.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 724.75 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the kr 279.00 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at kr 78.09, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 423.58 (bear) to kr 905.94 (bull), the price of kr 279.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S reported revenue of 10.2B DKK in FY2025 versus 7.2B DKK in FY2021, a compound +9.2%/yr. Reported net income was 266M DKK in FY2025, compounding +22.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.2B DKK (≈ $331M) · P/E ratio 7.4 · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) kr 37.81 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 2.6% · Return on equity 26.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 129%, MTHH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 423.58Fair Value kr 640.16Bull kr 905.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 20.42 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.6% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +45.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+41.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31% vs −19%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 20.7%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 233% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Denmark: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.0% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +3.7% a year for the price.
Compare MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 840 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+129% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)26% · Top 25%
Return on assets6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Is MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 640.16 versus a price of kr 279.00, about +129% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of MTHH?
Our model-based fair value for MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S is kr 640.16 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 279.00.
What is the quality score of MTHH?
MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 640.16 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 423.58, optimistic scenario kr 905.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 640.16, about +129% upside versus a price of kr 279.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario kr 423.58, optimistic scenario kr 905.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 9.8B DKK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S pay a dividend?
MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.58% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S would have to grow free cash flow by +5.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MTHH use?
Our models discount MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.68, country premium for Denmark. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S that is +5.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S grew +11.4 % a year. The price currently implies +5.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (+5.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.88 %: that much free cash flow MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S it is kr 640.16 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 279.00. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, MTHH trades below its calculated fair value: price kr 279.00, fair value kr 640.16, a gap of about +129% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTHH?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 279.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 640.16). For MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S the two are kr 361.16 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S worth?
The market values MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S at about 2.2B DKK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 279.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 640.16 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTHH?
Our models span a range for MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S: cautious scenario kr 423.58, base kr 640.16, optimistic kr 905.94 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 279.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MTHH?
MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 640.16 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
Balance-sheet figures for MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 26.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MTHH from its 52-week high?
MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S trades at kr 279.00, about 48% below its 52-week high of kr 536.19 and 7% above the low of kr 261.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 640.16 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 279.00, calculated fair value kr 640.16 (+129%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTHH calculated?
We run MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 640.16, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S currently trades 129 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was kr 279.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 640.16, about +129% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 423.58). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (kr 423.58 to kr 905.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH) come from?
Earnings per share at MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S grew −25.9 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −23.5 %, EBIT margin +2.6 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S
How large is the market capitalisation of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
The market capitalisation of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S is 2.2B DKK (≈ $331M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
The price-to-sales ratio of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S is 0.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
Earnings per share at MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S are kr 37.81 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
The dividend yield of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S is 3.6% (payout 26.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
The net margin of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S is 2.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
The return on equity (ROE) of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S is 26.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S is 7.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
The operating margin of MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
Revenue at MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S is growing −18.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH)?
Earnings per share at MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S are growing −27.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S (MTHH) hold?
MT Hoejgaard Holding A/S holds more cash than debt, 186M DKK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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