Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Metaline Contact Mines stock $0.04, price $0.05, upside -27.0%, quality 62 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?No
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0300 – $0.5000 · fair‑value band $0.0365 – $0.0470 · the $0.0500 price screens above the $0.0365 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 25, 2026.
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Metaline Contact Mines, a royalty-based mineral resources company, engages in the acquisition and leasing of mineral resource properties. The company primarily explores for zinc and gold deposits.
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It owns interests in the Pend Oreille/Metaline Zinc Mines located in Pend Oreille County, Washington; and the Golden Chest Mine consisting of patented mining claims in Shoshone County, Idaho. The company was founded in 1928 and is based in Murray, Idaho.
Stock analysis
Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI) currently trades at $0.0500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0365, 27.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $0.0400 per share, and 1 of the 6 models we run sit above the $0.0500 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.0100, and 5 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0365 (bear) to $0.0470 (bull), the price of $0.0500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2010: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2010.
Metaline Contact Mines reported revenue of $23.3K in FY2025 versus $23.3K in FY2021, a compound +0.0%/yr. Reported net income was $4.3K in FY2025, compounding +5.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $1.2M Micro · P/S ratio 53.7 · Net margin 18.4% · Return on equity 14.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.0% · Operating margin −256% · Revenue (TTM) $23.3K · Revenue growth (YoY) +9.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −27%, MTLI screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely ($0.0100 to $0.1200). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear$0.0365Fair Value $0.0365Bull$0.0470
Price $0.0500 · Upside -27.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFn/an/a$0.020077
Growth DCFn/an/a$0.020075
Residual Income$0.0300$0.0300$0.030071
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFn/an/a$0.020077
Earnings-Based
Graham-Doddn/a$0.0100$0.010065
Multiples
P/E Multiplen/a$0.0100$0.010060
P/B Multiple$0.0900$0.1200$0.150055
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$0.0300$0.0400$0.050055
Growth DCF
Growth DCFn/an/a$0.020075
Economic Profit
Residual Income$0.0300$0.0300$0.030071
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/En/a$0.0100$0.010065
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2010: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2010.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
’04
’05
’09
’10
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’20
’21
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’23
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−0.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.47% → −51%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 384 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−27.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)14.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets0.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)18.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)9.1% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
P/B2.65× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)53.65× · Priciest 25%
Price / free cash flow64.4× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)46· sector 76
PAST (return on equity)60· sector 0
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 33
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0365 versus a price of $0.0500, about −27% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MTLI?
Our model-based fair value for Metaline Contact Mines is $0.0365 (as of Oct 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.0500.
What is the quality score of MTLI?
Metaline Contact Mines has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0365 (as of Oct 25, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0365, optimistic scenario $0.0470. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Metaline Contact Mines stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0365, about −27% upside versus a price of $0.0500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.0365, optimistic scenario $0.0470. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
Metaline Contact Mines reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $23.3K (latest available figure, as of Oct 25, 2026).
What growth is priced into Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Metaline Contact Mines would have to grow free cash flow by +2.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.0 % per year. As of Oct 25, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of MTLI use?
Our models discount Metaline Contact Mines at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.38, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Metaline Contact Mines that is +2.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Metaline Contact Mines grew +0.0 % a year. The price currently implies +2.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Metaline Contact Mines (+2.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.47 %: that much free cash flow Metaline Contact Mines produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Metaline Contact Mines it is $0.0365 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026), against a price of $0.0500. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Metaline Contact Mines stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 25, 2026, MTLI trades above its calculated fair value: price $0.0500, fair value $0.0365, a gap of about −27% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MTLI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0365). For Metaline Contact Mines the two are $0.0135 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Metaline Contact Mines worth?
The market values Metaline Contact Mines at about $1.2M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 25, 2026). Per share that is $0.0500; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0365 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MTLI?
Our models span a range for Metaline Contact Mines: cautious scenario $0.0365, base $0.0365, optimistic $0.0470 per share (as of Oct 25, 2026, price $0.0500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Metaline Contact Mines (as of Oct 25, 2026): return on equity 14.9%. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MTLI from its 52-week high?
Metaline Contact Mines trades at $0.0500, about 58% below its 52-week high of $0.1200 and 25% above the low of $0.0400 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0365 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Metaline Contact Mines?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Metaline Contact Mines stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 25, 2026: price $0.0500, calculated fair value $0.0365 (−27%), Quality Score 62/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MTLI calculated?
We run Metaline Contact Mines through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0365, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Metaline Contact Mines itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was $0.0500. Our model-based fair value is $0.0365, about −27% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Metaline Contact Mines right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0470). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Metaline Contact Mines
How large is the market capitalisation of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
The market capitalisation of Metaline Contact Mines is $1.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Metaline Contact Mines is 53.7 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
The net margin of Metaline Contact Mines is 18.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Metaline Contact Mines is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Metaline Contact Mines is 1.0% (avg 2y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
The operating margin of Metaline Contact Mines is −256% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI)?
Revenue at Metaline Contact Mines is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Metaline Contact Mines (MTLI) carry?
The net debt of Metaline Contact Mines is $487K (fiscal year 2023, ≈ 25.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 25, 2026