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Marg Techno Projects Ltd (MTPL) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹462M

MT Marg Techno Projects Ltd MTPL · BSE
Price₹15.07
Fair Value₹3.28
Upside-78.2%
Quality32/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 23.2% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/12)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range ₹2.47 – ₹4.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated today

Below-average quality, and screening another 78% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹4.11). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹50.85 ₹3.08 Fair Value ₹3.28 Jul 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹3.08 – ₹50.85 · fair‑value band ₹2.47 – ₹4.11 · the ₹15.07 price screens above the ₹3.28 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Marg Techno Projects Ltd (MTPL) currently trades at ₹15.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹3.28, implying the stock looks roughly 78.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Marg Techno Projects Ltd generated revenue of ₹42.7M at a net margin of 23.2%. Revenue grew 196.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.2%. Net debt stands at ₹256M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹2.47 (bear case) to ₹4.11 (bull case); at ₹15.07, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -78%, MTPL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple ₹2.90 ₹3.86 ₹4.83 63
Residual Income ₹7.02 ₹6.63 ₹5.10 61
P/B Multiple ₹3.79 ₹5.05 ₹6.31 55
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹0.6200 ₹8.06 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹2.02 ₹13.28 ₹18.58 54
Lynch FV ₹3.87 ₹5.53 ₹7.19 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹2.90 ₹3.86 ₹4.83 63
P/B Multiple ₹3.79 ₹5.05 ₹6.31 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹5.18 ₹6.94 ₹10.36 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹7.02 ₹6.63 ₹5.10 61

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (₹6.94) versus DCF Models (₹0.6200). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹42.7M
Revenue growth (YoY) +196%
Net margin 23.2%
Return on equity 4.2%
Free cash flow −₹228M FY2026
P/E ratio 40.7
More key figures
Operating margin 39.6%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.3700
EPS growth (YoY) +188%
Net debt ₹256M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13

Profitability 25
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 0
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Marg Techno-Projects Limited operates as a non-banking financial company in India. It engages in the financing activities, and the provision of gold and personal loans. The company was formerly known as Marg Finance Limited and changed its name to Marg Techno-Projects Limited in August 1996.

Full company description

Marg Techno-Projects Limited operates as a non-banking financial company in India. It engages in the financing activities, and the provision of gold and personal loans. The company was formerly known as Marg Finance Limited and changed its name to Marg Techno-Projects Limited in August 1996. Marg Techno-Projects Limited was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Surat, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Marg Techno Projects Ltd reported revenue of ₹68.4M in FY2026 versus ₹53.0M in FY2022, a compound +6.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹9.9M in FY2026, compounding +29.9%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹68.4M
Latest YoY
+31.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.8%
Revenue +6.6%/yr
FY22 ₹53.0M
FY23 ₹50.8M
FY24 ₹50.1M
FY25 ₹52.0M
FY26 ₹68.4M
Net income +29.9%/yr
FY22 ₹3.5M
FY23 ₹4.9M
FY24 ₹1.4M
FY25 ₹4.1M
FY26 ₹9.9M

MTPL screens 78% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Marg Techno Projects Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MTPL

Peer Group

Credit Services · 336 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −78% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 23% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 40% · Above median
Revenue growth 196% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.78× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 40.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.34× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 10.82× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 94.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 33
FUTURE100 · sector 39
PAST17 · sector 32
HEALTH61 · sector 59
DIVIDEND0 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,093 ₹397.70 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,866 ₹796.47 -57%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹2,876 ₹3,429 +19%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Marg Techno Projects Ltd (MTPL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹3.28 versus a price of ₹15.07, about −78% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MTPL?
Our model-based fair value for Marg Techno Projects Ltd is ₹3.28 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹15.07.
What is the quality score of MTPL?
Marg Techno Projects Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Marg Techno Projects Ltd (MTPL)?
Marg Techno Projects Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹42.7M (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MTPL?
The net profit margin of Marg Techno Projects Ltd is about 23.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 23.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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