Metro Bank Holdings (MTRO) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · GB · Market cap 1.1B GBX
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price +2.7% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.2794 – £1.74 · fair‑value band £1.01 – £1.68 · the £1.68 price screens above the £1.35 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Metro Bank Holdings (MTRO) currently trades at £1.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.35, implying the stock looks roughly 19.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Metro Bank Holdings generated revenue of £574M at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 70.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of £601M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £1.01 (bear case) to £1.68 (bull case); at £1.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at -20%, MTRO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (£1.35) versus Dividend Discount (£0.3200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Metro Bank Holdings PLC operates as the bank holding company for Metro Bank PLC that provides business, commercial, retail and private banking products and services in the United Kingdom.
Full company description
Metro Bank Holdings PLC operates as the bank holding company for Metro Bank PLC that provides business, commercial, retail and private banking products and services in the United Kingdom. It offers personal banking products and services, including current, cash, and foreign currency accounts; savings; residential and buy-to-let mortgages; overdrafts; credit cards; and safe deposit box services. The company also provides business banking products and services comprising business bank, commercial and community current, foreign currency, and insolvency practitioner accounts; deposit accounts, such as business and community instant access deposit, business notice, client premium and flexible client term deposit, and business and community fixed term deposit accounts; and business and commercial loans and overdrafts, business loan calculators, asset based lending, asset and invoice financing, bounce back loans, business credit cards, and recovery loan schemes services. In addition, it offers private banking products and services, such as private bank, savings, foreign currency, and money management accounts; mortgages and buy-to-let; cards; and partnership loans. Further, the company provides business mobile and commercial online banking, apple pay, google pay, post office business banking, personal online banking, mobile app, Apple Pay, Google Pay, and internet banking registration services. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom. Metro Bank Holdings PLC is a subsidiary of Spaldy Investments Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Metro Bank Holdings reported revenue of £863M in FY2025 versus £393M in FY2021, a compound +21.7%/yr. Reported net income was £69.7M in FY2025.
MTRO screens 20% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1083 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,175 IDR | 6,087 IDR | -1% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 184,400 KRW | 213,797 KRW | +16% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 2,970 IDR | 4,891 IDR | +65% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,310 IDR | 7,841 IDR | +82% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 10,240 ARS | +100% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 107,900 KRW | 137,259 KRW | +27% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 136,800 KRW | 193,969 KRW | +42% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Banco de Chile, CHILE | 193.10 CLP | 152.55 CLP | -21% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,400 VND | 84,201 VND | +42% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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