M.W. Trade SA (MWT) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · PL · Market cap 7.5M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 4.89 PLN to 5.84 PLN (+19.4%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −13.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 147% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (44/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (5.18 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.53 PLN – 7.20 PLN · fair‑value band 5.18 PLN – 6.67 PLN · the 2.36 PLN price screens below the 5.84 PLN fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
M.W. Trade SA (MWT) currently trades at 2.36 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.84 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 147.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 3.3M PLN. It earns a return on equity of -28.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 11.3M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 5.18 PLN (bear case) to 6.67 PLN (bull case); at 2.36 PLN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 147%, MWT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
M.W. Trade SA provides financial products and services for the public sector in Poland. The company operates through financial activities, rental and sale of wagons, and event activities segments. It also engages in the design, manufacture, and servicing of trailers and semi-trailers, specialized vehicle bodies, and vehicle chassis.
Full company description
M.W. Trade SA provides financial products and services for the public sector in Poland. The company operates through financial activities, rental and sale of wagons, and event activities segments. It also engages in the design, manufacture, and servicing of trailers and semi-trailers, specialized vehicle bodies, and vehicle chassis. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in Wroclaw, Poland. M.W. Trade SA operates as a subsidiary of Beyondream Investments Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
M.W. Trade SA reported revenue of 3.3M PLN in FY2025 versus 1.8M PLN in FY2021, a compound +16.2%/yr. Reported net income was −5.1M PLN in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Credit Services · 331 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visa Inc V | $348.97 | $204.19 | -41% |
| Mastercard Incorporated MA | $537.70 | $221.87 | -59% |
| American Express Company AXP | $358.44 | $206.40 | -42% |
| Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE | ₹1,056 | ₹397.61 | -62% |
| Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN | ₹1,024 | ₹553.83 | -46% |
| Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN | ₹1,808 | ₹796.52 | -56% |
| Tata Capital Limited TATACAP | ₹360.60 | ₹229.85 | -36% |
| Power Finance Corporation PFC | ₹405.10 | ₹810.20 | +100% |
| Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN | ₹3,129 | ₹3,463 | +11% |
| Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC | ₹88.41 | ₹69.72 | -21% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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