The Marzetti Company (MZTI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $3.1B
The Marzetti Company
MZTI · US
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price +1.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 13% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Our model range runs from $89.90 (bear) to $160.19 (bull), base $128.15. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 71/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $104.72 – $203.69 · fair‑value band $89.90 – $160.19 · the $113.48 price screens below the $128.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
The Marzetti Company (MZTI) currently trades at $113.48, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $128.15, implying the stock looks roughly 12.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, The Marzetti Company generated revenue of $1.9B at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue declined 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $106M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $89.90 (bear case) to $160.19 (bull case); at $113.48, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 13%, MZTI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($111.09) versus Asset-Based ($24.40). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Marzetti Company engages in manufacturing and marketing of specialty food products for the retail and foodservice channels in the United States. It operates in two segments, Retail and Foodservice.
Full company description
The Marzetti Company engages in manufacturing and marketing of specialty food products for the retail and foodservice channels in the United States. It operates in two segments, Retail and Foodservice. The company offers frozen garlic breads under the New York Bakery brand; frozen Parkerhouse style yeast and dinner rolls under the Sister Schubert's brand; salad dressings under the Marzetti, Cardini's, Marzetti Simply, and Girard's brands; vegetable and fruit dips under the Marzetti brand; croutons and salad toppings under the New York Bakery, Chatham Village, and Marzetti brands; and frozen pasta under the Marzetti Frozen Pasta brand. It also manufactures and sells various products to brand license agreements, including Olive Garden dressings, Buffalo Wild Wings sauces, Chick-fil-A sauces and dressing, Texas Roadhouse steak sauces and frozen rolls, and Subway sauces. The company sells its products through sales personnel, food brokers, and distributors to retailers and restaurants. The Marzetti Company was formerly known as Lancaster Colony Corporation and changed its name to The Marzetti Company in June 2025. The company was founded in 1896 and is based in Westerville, Ohio.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Marzetti Company reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.5B in FY2021, a compound +6.8%/yr. Reported net income was $167M in FY2025, compounding +4.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- The Marzetti Company Names Mark Carter Chief Supply Chain Officer
- Q1 Earnings Highs And Lows: The Marzetti Company (NASDAQ:MZTI) Vs The Rest Of The Shelf-Stable Food Stocks
- Campbell's, The Marzetti Company, and Colgate-Palmolive Shares Skyrocket, What You Need To Know
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 653 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,427 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,413 | ₹1,870 | -65% |
| Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM | ₹1,089 | ₹327.27 | -70% |
| PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP | 6,650 IDR | 15,757 IDR | +137% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,139,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | -11% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹413.80 | ₹157.04 | -62% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 58,500 VND | 68,259 VND | +17% |
| PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR | 1,750 IDR | 2,699 IDR | +54% |
| PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY | 4,490 IDR | 4,355 IDR | -3% |
| Nongshim Co 004370 | 348,500 KRW | 530,619 KRW | +52% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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