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NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG (NBG6) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · DE · Market cap €1.4B

NB NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG NBG6 · XETRA
Price€125.00
Fair Value€50.12
Upside-59.9%
Quality42/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 1.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
1.72% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 25/100
Evidence: High Range €37.59 – €62.65 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +6.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€62.65). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€127.00 €38.73 Fair Value €50.12 Apr 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €38.73 – €127.00 · fair‑value band €37.59 – €62.65 · the €125.00 price screens above the €50.12 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG (NBG6) currently trades at €125.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €50.12, implying the stock looks roughly 59.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG generated revenue of €4.3B at a net margin of 1.0%. Revenue grew 19.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €437M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €37.59 (bear case) to €62.65 (bull case); at €125.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 160% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -60%, NBG6 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €54.26 €52.97 €46.39 76
Gordon GGM €1.09 €1.35 €1.59 70
P/E Multiple €37.59 €50.12 €62.65 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €1.09 €1.35 €1.59 70
DDM Multi-Stage €1.09 €1.40 €1.74 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €37.59 €50.12 €62.65 63
P/B Multiple €49.15 €65.54 €81.92 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €37.87 €50.74 €75.73 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €54.26 €52.97 €46.39 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (€52.97) versus Dividend Discount (€1.35). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €4.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.6%
Net margin 1.0%
Return on equity 5.4%
Free cash flow −€1.2M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.2
More key figures
Operating margin -1.9%
EPS (TTM) €5.58
Dividend yield 1.7%
EPS growth (YoY) -62.8%
Net cash €437M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG operates as an insurance company in Germany. The company offers career and pension products, including occupational disability, dread disease, accident, and basic skills insurance; term life and funeral insurance; classic and unit-linked pension insurance, and company pension scheme; and disability, professional liability, and …

Full company description

NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG operates as an insurance company in Germany. The company offers career and pension products, including occupational disability, dread disease, accident, and basic skills insurance; term life and funeral insurance; classic and unit-linked pension insurance, and company pension scheme; and disability, professional liability, and assistance insurance. It also provides health insurance, such as dental, seeing and hearing, international health, supplementary hospital, and private health insurance, as well alternative medicine, sickness benefit, all-round protection, and prevention and vaccinations; nursing care insurance comprising daily care allowance, care provision, and care protection letter; sports and leisure insurance that consists of musical instrument, sports boat hull, and saddle insurance; and child care and occupational disability insurance for students. In addition, the company offers liability insurance, including private, dog, horse, hunting, homeowner's, water sports, building owner, and water damage liability insurance, as well as legal protection and traffic legal protection insurance; and car and motorcycle, home contents, homeowners, shell, housing protection letter, and internet insurance. Further, it provides building and transport insurance covering contents, glass, commercial building, and construction; transport and traffic insurance; building services, machinery breakdown, electronics, photovoltaic, and cyber insurance; company pension scheme, income protection, and health insurance; business liability, financial loss, D&O, IT liability, and building owner liability insurance; intellectual property rights; and multi-risk insurance packages. Additionally, the company offers asset advice and management services. NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG was founded in 1884 and is based in Nuremberg, Germany. As of May 17, 2026, NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG operates as a subsidiary of Vienna Insurance Group AG.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG reported revenue of €4.3B in FY2025 versus €5.4B in FY2021, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was €44.4M in FY2025, compounding −8.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 34/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.3B
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−0.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.9%
Avg. growth/yr (17Y)
−0.6%
Revenue −5.9%/yr
FY21 €5.4B
FY22 €4.0B
FY23 €5.0B
FY24 €5.4B
FY25 €4.3B
Net income −8.4%/yr
FY21 €63.0M
FY22 €69.1M
FY23 €41.7M
FY24 −€78.5M
FY25 €44.4M

NBG6 screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Berkshire Hathaway Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NBG6

Peer Group

Insurance - Diversified · 84 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.89× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.38× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 2.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 44
FUTURE 98 · sector 31
PAST 22 · sector 49
HEALTH 94 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 34 · sector 45

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB 8,562 MXN 10,844 MXN +27%
Allianz SE ALV €421.00 €369.31 -12%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURN CHF 624.40 CHF 619.80 -1%
AXA SA AXAN 888.28 MXN 1,249 MXN +41%
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A G €42.90 €12.18 -72%
Sun Life Financial Inc SLF C$114.20 C$87.83 -23%
BB Seguridade Participações S.A BBSE3 R$40.71 R$60.39 +48%
Tryg A/S TRYG kr 154.00 kr 116.45 -24%
PT Sinar Mas Multiartha Tbk SMMA 20,625 IDR 4,176 IDR -80%
Caixa Seguridade Participações S.A CXSE3 R$21.77 R$18.60 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG (NBG6) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €50.12 versus a price of €125.00, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NBG6?
Our model-based fair value for NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG is €50.12 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €125.00.
What is the quality score of NBG6?
NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG (NBG6)?
NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NBG6?
The net profit margin of NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG is about 1.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG pay a dividend?
NÜRNBERGER Beteiligungs-AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.72% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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