Nebius Group (NBISN) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · MX · Market cap 787B MXN
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 23, 2026, revised from 12.06 MXN to 3,443 MXN (+28,449.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −2.7% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3,443 MXN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (18 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range 420.00 MXN – 5,000 MXN · the 3,702 MXN price screens above the 3,443 MXN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.
Analysis
Nebius Group (NBISN) currently trades at 3,702 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3,443 MXN, implying the stock looks roughly 7.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Nebius Group generated revenue of 878M MXN at a net margin of 93.1%. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. Net debt stands at 450M MXN. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 65.4 (as of Jul 18, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026
The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 349% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -8% fair-value upside, at -7%, NBISN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (4,258 MXN) versus Multiples (1,557 MXN). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud platforms, and tools and services for developers.
Full company description
Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud platforms, and tools and services for developers. The company also provides TripleTen, an edtech platform for re-skilling individuals for careers in technolgy; and Avride, which develops autonomous driving technology for self-driving cars and delivery robotics. It has a strategic alliance with NVIDIA Corporation to support the expansion of the company's AI cloud infrastructure. The company was formerly known as Yandex N.V. and changed its name to Nebius Group N.V. in August 2024. Nebius Group N.V. was founded in 1989 and is based in Schiphol, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nebius Group reported revenue of 530M MXN in FY2025 versus 4.8B MXN in FY2021, a compound −42.3%/yr. Reported net income was 82.5M MXN in FY2025.
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
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10 more Internet Content & Information stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).
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|---|---|---|---|
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| Kuaishou Technology, an investment holding company, 1024 | HK$41.54 | HK$84.61 | +104% |
| NAVER Corporation 035420 | 215,500 KRW | 231,585 KRW | +7% |
| Tencent Music Entertainment Group 1698 | HK$35.14 | HK$66.77 | +90% |
| Kakao Corp 035720 | 40,100 KRW | 24,536 KRW | -39% |
| Info Edge (India) Limited NAUKRI | ₹1,354 | ₹318.13 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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