Nichirei Corporation (NCHEF) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.7B

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

• The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
• A fairly wide model range ($7.27 to $15.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.20 – $12.32 · fair‑value band $7.27 – $15.74 · the $10.60 price screens above the $10.45 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Nichirei Corporation (NCHEF) currently trades at $10.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.45, implying the stock looks roughly 1.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nichirei Corporation generated revenue of $716B at a net margin of 3.8%. It earns a return on equity of 9.9%. Net debt stands at $58.7B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.27 (bear case) to $15.74 (bull case); at $10.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -1%, NCHEF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Multiples ($12.82) versus Asset-Based ($5.01). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Nichirei Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the processed food, logistics, marine products, meat and poultry products, bioscience, and real estate businesses in Japan and internationally. The company engages in the manufacture, processing, and sale of frozen, retort packaged, and canned foods, as well as packaged ice and other products.

Full company description

Nichirei Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the processed food, logistics, marine products, meat and poultry products, bioscience, and real estate businesses in Japan and internationally. The company engages in the manufacture, processing, and sale of frozen, retort packaged, and canned foods, as well as packaged ice and other products. It also manufactures and sells marine, meat, and poultry products, as well as processed products. In addition, the company offers logistics services, such as temperature-controlled storage, cargo handling, distribution processing, transportation and delivery, and 3PL. Further, it engages in the manufacture and sale of diagnostics and raw materials for cosmetics, as well as offers real estate management services. The company was formerly known as Nippon Reizo Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Nichirei Corporation in February 1985. Nichirei Corporation was incorporated in 1942 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Nichirei Corporation reported revenue of $716B in FY2026 versus $662B in FY2023, a compound +2.6%/yr. Reported net income was $27.3B in FY2026, compounding +8.2%/yr from FY2023.

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Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.