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Newmont Corporation (NEMCL) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $120B

NC Newmont Corporation logo Newmont Corporation NEMCL · US
Price$112.00
Fair Value$132.73
Upside+18.5%
Quality75/100
Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 33.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.91% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Wide moat 77/100
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Evidence: High Range $99.55 – $242.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$112.00 $57.24 Fair Value $132.73 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $57.24 – $112.00 · fair‑value band $99.55 – $242.82 · the $112.00 price screens below the $132.73 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Newmont Corporation (NEMCL) currently trades at $112.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $132.73, implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 75/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Newmont Corporation generated revenue of $25.0B at a net margin of 33.9%. Revenue grew 45.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.8%. Net debt stands at $4.9B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $99.55 (bear case) to $242.82 (bull case); at $112.00, the current price sits within that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 206% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 42% fair-value upside, at 19%, NEMCL screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $25.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +45.8%
Net margin 33.9%
Return on equity 25.8%
Free cash flow $7.3B FY2025
P/E ratio 14.5
More key figures
Operating margin 61.4%
EPS (TTM) $7.71
Dividend yield 0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +78.6%
Net debt $4.9B FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100
Profitability 62
Quality Growth 93
Cashflow 81
Fin. Strength 85
Investment 22
Low Volatility 78
Momentum 77
52W Momentum 100
Net Issuance 50

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Newmont Corporation operates as a gold producer. It also explores for copper, silver, lead, zinc, and other metals. It has operations and/or assets in the United States, Papua New Guinea, Australia, Ghana, Suriname, Argentina, Dominican Republic, Chile, Peru, Ecuador, Mexico, and Canada.

Full company description

Newmont Corporation operates as a gold producer. It also explores for copper, silver, lead, zinc, and other metals. It has operations and/or assets in the United States, Papua New Guinea, Australia, Ghana, Suriname, Argentina, Dominican Republic, Chile, Peru, Ecuador, Mexico, and Canada. The company was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Newmont Corporation reported revenue of $22.7B in FY2025 versus $12.2B in FY2021, a compound +16.7%/yr. Reported net income was $7.1B in FY2025, compounding +57.0%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +16.7%/yr
FY21 $12.2B
FY22 $11.9B
FY23 $11.8B
FY24 $18.7B
FY25 $22.7B
Net income +57.0%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 −$429M
FY23 −$2.5B
FY24 $3.3B
FY25 $7.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Newmont Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEMCL

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 58 / 0
FUTURE 100 / 100
PAST 100 / 0
HEALTH 93 / 98
DIVIDEND 18 / 25

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Zijin Mining Group 601899 ¥27.70 ¥39.42 +42%
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM $176.75 $225.34 +27%
Barrick Mining Corporation ABR0 €35.00 €52.17 +49%
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM C$161.89 C$73.13 -55%
Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV C$304.64 C$136.27 -55%
AngloGold Ashanti plc AU $78.47 $160.21 +104%
Gold Fields Limited GFI $33.61 $59.06 +76%
Zijin Gold International Company 2259 HK$94.30 HK$83.81 -11%
Kinross Gold Corporation KIN2 €22.82 €46.85 +105%
Northern Star Resources Limited NESRF $14.91 $12.70 -15%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Newmont Corporation (NEMCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $132.73 versus a price of $112.00, about +19% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NEMCL?
Our model-based fair value for Newmont Corporation is $132.73 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $112.00.
What is the quality score of NEMCL?
Newmont Corporation has a Quality Score of 75/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Newmont Corporation (NEMCL)?
Newmont Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $25.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NEMCL?
The net profit margin of Newmont Corporation is about 33.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Newmont Corporation pay a dividend?
Newmont Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.91% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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