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Viaplay Group (NENTF) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $755M

VG Viaplay Group logo Viaplay Group NENTF · US
Price$0.1660
Fair Value$0.1020
Upside-38.6%
Quality32/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -8.4% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.0595 – $0.1360 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.1360). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.0595 to $0.1360) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$56.88 $0.0356 Fair Value $0.1020 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0356 – $56.88 · fair‑value band $0.0595 – $0.1360 · the $0.1660 price screens above the $0.1020 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Viaplay Group (NENTF) currently trades at $0.1660, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1020, implying the stock looks roughly 38.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Viaplay Group generated revenue of $17.5B at a net margin of -8.4%. Revenue grew 20.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -57.2%. Net debt stands at $5.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0595 (bear case) to $0.1360 (bull case); at $0.1660, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 366% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -52% fair-value upside, at -39%, NENTF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.7500 $1.27 $1.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7500 $1.07 $1.38 61
NCAV (Graham) $0.2500 $0.3400 $0.5000 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.7500 $1.27 $1.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.7500 $1.07 $1.38 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.2500 $0.3400 $0.5000 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($1.07) versus Asset-Based ($0.3400). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $17.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.7%
Net margin -8.4%
Return on equity -57.2%
Free cash flow −$2.3B FY2025
EPS (TTM) $-0.0400
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +90.8%
Net debt $5.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 32/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 75
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 41
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Viaplay Group AB (publ) operates as an entertainment provider company in Sweden, rest of Nordics, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates Viaplay, an online video streaming service, which offers live sports, series, films, and documentaries.

Full company description

Viaplay Group AB (publ) operates as an entertainment provider company in Sweden, rest of Nordics, rest of Europe, and internationally. The company operates Viaplay, an online video streaming service, which offers live sports, series, films, and documentaries. It also operates advertising-supported TV channels that offer popular series, films and live sports, as well as V sport, V series and V film pay-TV channels that deliver premium entertainment for the whole family. In addition, the company operates radio stations, that are accessible online and through mobile apps. Further, it offers audio streaming services; and content producing services, as well as satellite, IPTV, and broadband services. The company was formerly known as Nordic Entertainment Group AB (publ) and changed its name to Viaplay Group AB (publ) in May 2022. Viaplay Group AB (publ) was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Viaplay Group reported revenue of $17.6B in FY2025 versus $12.7B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$1.3B in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$17.6B
Latest YoY
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+3.5%
Revenue +8.6%/yr
FY21 $12.7B
FY22 $15.7B
FY23 $18.6B
FY24 $18.5B
FY25 $17.6B
Net income
FY21 $325M
FY22 $323M
FY23 −$9.7B
FY24 $106M
FY25 −$1.3B

NENTF screens 39% overvalued. Compare with Netflix, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Viaplay Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NENTF

Peer Group

Entertainment · 267 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −39% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Revenue growth 21% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.41× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Entertainment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.33× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 44

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Netflix, Inc ZNFL C$6.77 C$2.96 -56%
The Walt Disney Company DIS $96.30 $89.55 -7%
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD $26.87 $9.13 -66%
Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV $178.44 $46.89 -74%
Universal Music Group UMG €18.91 €14.78 -22%
TKO Group TKO $184.40 $22.16 -88%
Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO 55.00 MXN 60.49 MXN +10%
Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 ¥11.77 ¥10.97 -7%
PT MNC Digital Entertainment Tbk, MSIN 456.00 IDR 221.09 IDR -52%
Prime Focus Limited PFOCUS ₹298.25 ₹63.45 -79%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Viaplay Group (NENTF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1020 versus a price of $0.1660, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NENTF?
Our model-based fair value for Viaplay Group is $0.1020 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1660.
What is the quality score of NENTF?
Viaplay Group has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Viaplay Group (NENTF)?
Viaplay Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $17.5B (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NENTF?
The net profit margin of Viaplay Group is about -8.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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