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NEP Realty and Industry Public Company (NEP) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · TH · Market cap 442M THB

NR NEP Realty and Industry Public Company NEP · BK
Price0.1800 THB
Fair Value0.0600 THB
Upside-66.7%
Quality66/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 41.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range 0.0400 THB – 0.0700 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price −5.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 67% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0700 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

0.5800 THB 0.1500 THB Fair Value 0.0600 THB Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1500 THB – 0.5800 THB · fair‑value band 0.0400 THB – 0.0700 THB · the 0.1800 THB price screens above the 0.0600 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

NEP Realty and Industry Public Company (NEP) currently trades at 0.1800 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0600 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 66.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NEP Realty and Industry Public Company generated revenue of 19.7M THB at a net margin of 41.5%. Revenue grew 48.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 15.0M THB. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.0400 THB (bear case) to 0.0700 THB (bull case); at 0.1800 THB, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -67%, NEP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (0.0100 THB to 0.1700 THB). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.0200 THB 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 80
Residual Income 0.1700 THB 0.1500 THB 0.1100 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0100 THB 0.0200 THB 0.0200 THB 74
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.0200 THB 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 38
Owner Earnings 0.0600 THB 0.0800 THB 0.1100 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0100 THB 0.0200 THB 0.0200 THB 39
5Y P/E Exit 0.0300 THB 0.0500 THB 0.0800 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.0200 THB 0.0200 THB 0.0200 THB 36
10Y P/E Exit 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 0.0500 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 0.0400 THB 54
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0600 THB 0.0700 THB 0.0900 THB 63
P/S Multiple 0.0100 THB 0.0100 THB 0.0100 THB 58
P/B Multiple 0.0600 THB 0.0700 THB 0.0900 THB 55
EV/Revenue — 0.0100 THB 0.0100 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1300 THB 0.1700 THB 0.2500 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0200 THB 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0100 THB 0.0200 THB 0.0200 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.1700 THB 0.1500 THB 0.1100 THB 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0400 THB 0.0600 THB 0.0700 THB 68

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (0.1700 THB) versus Multiples (0.0100 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 19.7M THB
Revenue growth (YoY) +48.1%
Net margin 41.5%
Return on equity 1.4%
Free cash flow 7.4M THB FY2025
Operating margin -114%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -57.4%
Net cash 15.0M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 26
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes sack bag products under the VAVA Z brand in Thailand. It operates through Sales of Packaging Products Made from Plastic; and Investments Business segments.

Full company description

NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes sack bag products under the VAVA Z brand in Thailand. It operates through Sales of Packaging Products Made from Plastic; and Investments Business segments. The company offers woven plastic bags for the rice, animal feed, flour, fertilizer, sugar, chemicals, and ice industries, as well as OEM and ODM manufacturing services. It also engages in the investment business. The company sells its products through e-commerce platforms. NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NEP Realty and Industry Public Company reported revenue of 17.8M THB in FY2025 versus 409M THB in FY2021, a compound −54.3%/yr. Reported net income was 10.2M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
17.8M THB
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−60.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−45.3%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−15.5%
Revenue −54.3%/yr
FY21 409M THB
FY22 282M THB
FY23 127M THB
FY24 5.9M THB
FY25 17.8M THB
Net income
FY21 −103M THB
FY22 −29.9M THB
FY23 −37.8M THB
FY24 9.8M THB
FY25 10.2M THB

NEP screens 67% overvalued. Compare with Stora Enso Oyj →

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NEP Realty and Industry Public Company · Fair Value
0.0600 THB −67%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEP

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −67% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -114% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 48% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.11× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 9
FUTURE 100 · sector 1
PAST 6 · sector 21
HEALTH 98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Stora Enso Oyj STER kr 101.90 kr 126.39 +24%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.10 ¥20.88 -28%
SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP 29.00 THB 16.12 THB -44%
AblePrint Technology Co 7734 2,850 TWD 661.69 TWD -77%
PT Fajar Surya Wisesa Tbk, FASW 5,312 IDR 1,194 IDR -78%
Taiwan Hon Chuan Enterprise Co 9939 132.50 TWD 127.06 TWD -4%
Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
Ton Yi Industrial Corp 9907 15.15 TWD 23.17 TWD +53%
Dongwon Systems Corporation 014820 19,330 KRW 31,473 KRW +63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NEP Realty and Industry Public Company (NEP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0600 THB versus a price of 0.1800 THB, about −67% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NEP?
Our model-based fair value for NEP Realty and Industry Public Company is 0.0600 THB (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 0.1800 THB.
What is the quality score of NEP?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company (NEP)?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.7M THB (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NEP?
The net profit margin of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company is about 41.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 41.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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