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NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited THB 0.04, price THB 0.21, upside -81.0%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · TH · ISIN TH0086010Z09

NR Thin data Sep 24, 2026

NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited

NEP · BK

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 0.0400 THB · Strongly overvalued (−81%)
✓Quality 66/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −45.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 41.5% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 6 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.5800 THB 0.1500 THB Fair Value 0.0400 THB Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1500 THB – 0.5800 THB · fair‑value band 0.0300 THB – 0.0500 THB · the 0.2100 THB price screens above the 0.0400 THB fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes sack bag products under the VAVA Z brand in Thailand. It operates through Sales of Packaging Products Made from Plastic; and Investments Business segments.

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NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes sack bag products under the VAVA Z brand in Thailand. It operates through Sales of Packaging Products Made from Plastic; and Investments Business segments. The company offers woven plastic bags for the rice, animal feed, flour, fertilizer, sugar, chemicals, and ice industries, as well as OEM and ODM manufacturing services. It also engages in the investment business. The company sells its products through e-commerce platforms. NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Stock analysis

NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) currently trades at 0.2100 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0400 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 424.9% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.1700 THB per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the 0.2100 THB price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.0100 THB, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.0300 THB (bear) to 0.0500 THB (bull), the price of 0.2100 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited reported revenue of 17.8M THB in FY2025 versus 409M THB in FY2021, a compound −54.3%/yr. Reported net income was 10.2M THB in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 488M THB (≈ $14.6M) · P/S ratio 22.5 · Net margin 57.4% · Return on equity 1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.6% · Operating margin −114% · Revenue (TTM) 19.7M THB · Revenue growth (YoY) +48.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −81%, NEP screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0100 THB to 0.1700 THB). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear 0.0300 THB Fair Value 0.0400 THB Bull 0.0500 THB
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 0.0600 THB 80
Growth DCF 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 0.0500 THB 80
Owner Earnings 0.0700 THB 0.1000 THB 0.1400 THB 77
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 0.0600 THB 80
Owner Earnings 0.0700 THB 0.1000 THB 0.1400 THB 77
5Y Revenue Exit 0.0100 THB 0.0200 THB 0.0200 THB 74
5Y P/E Exit 0.0400 THB 0.0600 THB 0.0800 THB 71
10Y Revenue Exit 0.0200 THB 0.0200 THB 0.0200 THB 68
10Y P/E Exit 0.0300 THB 0.0500 THB 0.0600 THB 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 0.0400 THB 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.0600 THB 0.0700 THB 0.0900 THB 63
P/S Multiple 0.0100 THB 0.0100 THB 0.0100 THB 58
P/B Multiple 0.0600 THB 0.0700 THB 0.0900 THB 55
EV/Revenue n/a 0.0100 THB 0.0100 THB 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1300 THB 0.1700 THB 0.2500 THB 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.0300 THB 0.0400 THB 0.0500 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.0100 THB 0.0200 THB 0.0200 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.1700 THB 0.1600 THB 0.1200 THB 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.0400 THB 0.0600 THB 0.0700 THB 68

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 30
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 54
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−60.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−45.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −25.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−18.5% (2020) → −186.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+34.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +32.7% a year for the price.

NEP screens 425% overvalued. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

Compare NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets −3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 41% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −114% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 48% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.04× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.74× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.0× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.11× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 3
PAST (return on equity)6 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $46.45 $29.84 −36%
Packaging Corporation PKG $240.98 $129.76 −46%
International Paper Company IP $35.70 $21.44 −40%
Ball Corporation BALL $59.97 $47.41 −21%
Crown Holdings CCK $109.64 $118.59 +8%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $172.09 $123.89 −28%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €10.95 €9.69 −12%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.47 CHF 9.54 −29%
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.69 $61.99 +22%
Reynolds Consumer Products Inc REYN $22.17 $20.00 −10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEP

Frequently asked questions

Is NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0400 THB versus a price of 0.2100 THB, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NEP?
Our model-based fair value for NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 0.0400 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.2100 THB.
What is the quality score of NEP?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0400 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0300 THB, optimistic scenario 0.0500 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0400 THB, about −81% upside versus a price of 0.2100 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0300 THB, optimistic scenario 0.0500 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 19.7M THB (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +34.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -45.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NEP use?
Our models discount NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.05, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited that is +34.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited grew -45.3 % a year. The price currently implies +34.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (+34.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.51 %: that much free cash flow NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited it is 0.0400 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.2100 THB. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, NEP trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.2100 THB, fair value 0.0400 THB, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NEP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.2100 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0400 THB). For NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited the two are 0.1700 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited worth?
The market values NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited at about 488M THB (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.2100 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0400 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NEP?
Our models span a range for NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.0300 THB, base 0.0400 THB, optimistic 0.0500 THB per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.2100 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of NEP?
The PEG ratio of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 0.11 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Balance-sheet figures for NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.4%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NEP from its 52-week high?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited trades at 0.2100 THB, about 13% below its 52-week high of 0.2400 THB and 24% above the low of 0.1700 THB (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0400 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.2100 THB, calculated fair value 0.0400 THB (−81%), Quality Score 66/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NEP calculated?
We run NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0400 THB, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.2100 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.0400 THB, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0500 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The market capitalisation of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 488M THB (≈ $14.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 22.5 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The net margin of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 57.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is −9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The operating margin of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is −114% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Revenue at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is growing +48.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −60.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Earnings per share at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited are growing −57.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) hold?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited holds more cash than debt, 15.0M THB net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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