NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited stock THB 0.04, price THB 0.20, that is 80.0% below the price, quality 70 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 18 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1500 THB – 0.5800 THB · fair‑value band 0.0300 THB – 0.0600 THB · the 0.2000 THB price screens above the 0.0400 THB fair value. As of Nov 7, 2026.
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NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes sack bag products under the VAVA Z brand in Thailand. It operates through Sales of Packaging Products Made from Plastic; and Investments Business segments.
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The company offers woven plastic bags for the rice, animal feed, flour, fertilizer, sugar, chemicals, and ice industries, as well as OEM and ODM manufacturing services. It also engages in the investment business. The company sells its products through e-commerce platforms.
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited was founded in 1953 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.
Stock analysis
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) currently trades at 0.2000 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0400 THB, 80% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 0.1600 THB per share, and 1 of the 18 models we run sit above the 0.2000 THB price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.0100 THB, and 17 of the 18 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0300 THB (bear) to 0.0600 THB (bull), the price of 0.2000 THB sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited reported revenue of 17.8M THB in FY2025 versus 409M THB in FY2021, a compound −54.3%/yr. Reported net income was 10.2M THB in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 455M THB (≈ $13.6M) Micro · P/E ratio 10.0 · P/S ratio 12.8 · EPS (TTM) 0.0200 THB · Net margin 131% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.6% (5-year average) · Operating margin −30.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at −80%, NEP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (0.0100 THB to 0.2200 THB). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear0.0300 THBFair Value 0.0400 THBBull0.0600 THB
Price 0.2000 THB · Downside -80.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0172 THB per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−60.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−45.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −25.2% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−18.5% (2020) → −186.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Thailand: IMF forecast 1.2% a year to 2030, 1.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +31.3% a year for the price.
Compare NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score70 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−80.0% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.8% · Above median
Return on assets1.7% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)130.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−30.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)453.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEP
Frequently asked questions
Is NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0400 THB versus a price of 0.2000 THB, about 80% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of NEP?
Our model-based fair value for NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 0.0400 THB (as of Nov 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.2000 THB.
What is the quality score of NEP?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 70/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0400 THB (as of Nov 7, 2026) from 18 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0300 THB, optimistic scenario 0.0600 THB. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0400 THB, about 80% lower versus a price of 0.2000 THB (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.0300 THB, optimistic scenario 0.0600 THB. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 35.6M THB (latest available figure, as of Nov 7, 2026).
What growth is priced into NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +32.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -45.3 % per year. As of Nov 7, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of NEP use?
Our models discount NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited at 10.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.16, country premium for Thailand. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited that is +32.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited grew -45.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +32.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +9.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (+32.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.62 %: that much free cash flow NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited it is 0.0400 THB per share (as of Nov 7, 2026), against a price of 0.2000 THB. It is the blended result of 18 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 7, 2026, NEP trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.2000 THB, fair value 0.0400 THB, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of NEP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.2000 THB); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0400 THB). For NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited the two are 0.1600 THB per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited worth?
The market values NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited at about 455M THB (market capitalisation, as of Nov 7, 2026). Per share that is 0.2000 THB; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0400 THB per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about NEP?
Our models span a range for NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited: cautious scenario 0.0300 THB, base 0.0400 THB, optimistic 0.0600 THB per share (as of Nov 7, 2026, price 0.2000 THB). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of NEP?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.0 (as of Nov 7, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.0400 THB is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.1, P/B 0.8, P/S 12.8.
What is the PEG ratio of NEP?
The PEG ratio of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 0.11 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 7, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Balance-sheet figures for NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (as of Nov 7, 2026): return on equity 7.8%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 70/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is NEP from its 52-week high?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited trades at 0.2000 THB, about 17% below its 52-week high of 0.2400 THB and 18% above the low of 0.1700 THB (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0400 THB is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, Amcor plc, International Paper Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 7, 2026: price 0.2000 THB, calculated fair value 0.0400 THB (−80%), Quality Score 70/100, from 18 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of NEP calculated?
We run NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited through 18 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 0.0400 THB builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 0.2000 THB. Our model-based fair value is 0.0400 THB, about 80% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0600 THB). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (70/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (0.0300 THB to 0.0600 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The market capitalisation of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 455M THB (≈ $13.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 12.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Earnings per share at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited are 0.0200 THB (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The net margin of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 131% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is −9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
The operating margin of NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is −30.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Revenue at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited is growing +453% versus a year earlier (3y avg −60.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP)?
Earnings per share at NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited are growing −57.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited (NEP) hold?
NEP Realty and Industry Public Company Limited holds more cash than debt, 15.0M THB net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Nov 7, 2026