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Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc (NEUP) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $23.3M · ISIN US64136E1029

What is Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc really worth?

NT Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc logo Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc NEUP · US
Price$3.79
Fair Value$3.75
Upside−1.1%
Quality79/100

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value of $3.75.

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Strengths

generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/8)

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 3y +244.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $2.81 – $4.68

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 10 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 23, 2026, revised from $3.70 to $3.75 (+1.4%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −2.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$176.76 $2.29 Fair Value $3.75 Dec 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

57‑month range $2.29 – $176.76 · fair‑value band $2.81 – $4.68 · the $3.79 price screens above the $3.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc (NEUP) currently trades at $3.79, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.75, implying the stock looks roughly 1.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 79/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $0.5676 per share, and 1 of the 9 models we run sit above the $3.79 price. Bear case: the DCF Models group reads lowest at $0.5268, and 8 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

It earns a return on equity of −62.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $21.4M. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.81 (bear case) to $4.68 (bull case); at $3.79, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −1%, NEUP screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($0.0078 to $3.82). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $0.3783 $0.5268 $0.9600 74
Growth DCF $0.3548 $0.5676 $0.9000 72
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1491 $0.1811 $0.2424 69
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $0.3783 $0.5268 $0.9600 74
5Y Revenue Exit $0.1491 $0.1811 $0.2424 69
5Y EBITDA Exit $1.95 $3.82 $7.50 66
10Y Revenue Exit $0.2336 $0.3443 $0.3690 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $1.36 $3.65 $7.85 58
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $2.81 $3.75 $4.68 64
EV/Revenue $0.0220 $0.0277 $0.0334 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0058 $0.0078 $0.0117 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.3548 $0.5676 $0.9000 72

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($0.5676) versus Asset-Based ($0.0078). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).

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Key figures & financial health

EPS (TTM) $−7.88
Net margin −2.4% FY2025
Return on equity −62.9% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −67.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 110,513% TTM
Revenue (TTM) −$13.3K TTM
More key figures
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $77.2M FY2025
Net cash $21.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 79/100

Of which business quality 79 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 23
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops novel allosteric ion channel modulators for the treatment of central nervous system disorders in Australia.

Full company description

Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, discovers and develops novel allosteric ion channel modulators for the treatment of central nervous system disorders in Australia. Its lead product candidate includes BNC210, a selective negative allosteric modulator of the a7 for the treatment of social anxiety disorder; and is phase 2b to treat post-traumatic stress disorder. The company also develops BNC101, a monoclonal antibody that has completed phase 1 clinical trial that targets cancer stem cells; and BNC105 for the treatment of cancer. In addition, it develops NextGen, which is in preclinical trial for the treatment of multiple central nervous system indications; and Kv3.1/3.2 agonist, which is in preclinical trial to treat potential cognitive deficits and negative symptoms/social withdrawal in schizophrenia and autism spectrum disorders. The company has a collaboration with Merck & Co., Inc. to develop a7 receptor positive allosteric modulators targeting cognitive dysfunction associated with alzheimer's disease and other central nervous system conditions. The company was formerly known as Bionomics Limited and changed its name Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. in December 2024. Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Burlington, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc reported revenue of $15.6M in FY2025 versus $928K in FY2021, a compound +102.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$370K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$15.6M
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+244.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.6%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +102.6%/yr
FY21 $928K
FY22 $383K
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $15.6M
Net income
FY21 −$6.5M
FY22 −$31.6M
FY23 −$32.2M
FY24 −$23.2M
FY25 −$370K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEUP

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 640 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 79 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −1% · Top 25%
Return on assets −28% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE32 · sector 0
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST0 · sector 0
HEALTH0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND0 · sector 26

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $547.55 $278.78 −49%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $807.71 $594.40 −26%
argenx SE ARGX €877.60 €292.84 −67%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,518,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW −30%
CSL Limited CSL A$173.88 A$142.22 −18%
Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc ALNY $228.61 $51.70 −77%
Royalty Pharma plc RPRX $60.58 $24.22 −60%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 190,700 KRW 74,519 KRW −61%
BeOne Medicines AG ONC $362.51 $111.35 −69%
BioNTech SE BNTX $111.40 $45.66 −59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc (NEUP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.75 versus a price of $3.79, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NEUP?
Our model-based fair value for Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc is $3.75 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $3.79.
What is the quality score of NEUP?
Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc has a Quality Score of 79/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of NEUP?
The net profit margin of Neuphoria Therapeutics Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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