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Nexus Infrastructure plc (NEXS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · GB · Market cap 9.6M GBX

NI Nexus Infrastructure plc NEXS · LSE
Price£1.07
Fair Value£2.98
Upside+179.8%
Quality63/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -2.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.80% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Medium Range £1.74 – £4.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 29 days ago

Share price −2.8% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 180% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (£1.74). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (£1.74 to £4.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£2.29 £0.6527 Fair Value £2.98 Dec 2020 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £0.6527 – £2.29 · fair‑value band £1.74 – £4.22 · the £1.07 price screens below the £2.98 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Nexus Infrastructure plc (NEXS) currently trades at £1.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £2.98, implying the stock looks roughly 179.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Nexus Infrastructure plc generated revenue of £67.6M at a net margin of -2.4%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.8%. Net debt stands at £10.5M. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £1.74 (bear case) to £4.22 (bull case); at £1.07, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 180%, NEXS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £3.57 £4.13 £4.96 80
Rev-Margin DCF £3.70 £4.85 £6.27 74
Gordon GGM £0.2100 £0.2300 £0.2500 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £3.51 £4.11 £5.07 38
5Y Revenue Exit £3.70 £4.79 £6.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £2.34 £2.44 £2.57 41
10Y Revenue Exit £3.54 £4.25 £5.00 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £2.89 £3.00 £3.09 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM £0.2100 £0.2300 £0.2500 70
DDM Multi-Stage £0.2100 £0.2500 £0.2900 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA £1.29 £1.31 £1.34 54
EV/Revenue £4.11 £5.35 £6.59 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £1.51 £2.03 £3.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £3.57 £4.13 £4.96 80
Rev-Margin DCF £3.70 £4.85 £6.27 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (£4.13) versus Dividend Discount (£0.2300). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 67.6M GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net margin -2.4%
Return on equity -5.8%
Free cash flow 2.9M GBX FY2025
Operating margin -2.6%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) £-0.1800
Dividend yield 2.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +14,105%
Net debt 10.5M GBX FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 45
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nexus Infrastructure plc, through its subsidiaries, develops and delivers infrastructure solutions to the housebuilding, water, rail, and commercial sectors. It offers civil engineering and infrastructure solutions, such as earthworks, building highways, substructures and oversites, and installing of sustainable drainage systems.

Full company description

Nexus Infrastructure plc, through its subsidiaries, develops and delivers infrastructure solutions to the housebuilding, water, rail, and commercial sectors. It offers civil engineering and infrastructure solutions, such as earthworks, building highways, substructures and oversites, and installing of sustainable drainage systems. The company also provides building projects in the water, rail, highways, and river and marine sectors; construction contracts; and supplies labor for the construction industry. The company was formerly known as Garbol plc and changed its name to Nexus Infrastructure plc in June 2016. Nexus Infrastructure plc was founded in 1976 and is headquartered in Braintree, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nexus Infrastructure plc reported revenue of £65.9M in FY2025 versus £77.3M in FY2021, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was −£2.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 24/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
£65.9M
Latest YoY
+16.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.1%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.9%
Revenue −3.9%/yr
FY21 £77.3M
FY22 £98.4M
FY23 £88.7M
FY24 £56.7M
FY25 £65.9M
Net income
FY21 £3.0M
FY22 £2.7M
FY23 £58.8M
FY24 −£2.8M
FY25 −£2.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nexus Infrastructure plc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NEXS

Peer Group

Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +180% · Top 25%
Return on assets -1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -3% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.48× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 4.5× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 16
FUTURE 28 · sector 17
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 56 · sector 33

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LT ₹3,815 ₹1,994 -48%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260 346,000 KRW 268,779 KRW -22%
Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co 000720 99,000 KRW 63,993 KRW -35%
United Integrated Services Co 2404 1,250 TWD 925.62 TWD -26%
Samsung E&A Co 028050 42,550 KRW 44,840 KRW +5%
Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RVNL ₹232.67 ₹61.46 -74%
Daewoo Engineering & Construction Co 047040 16,240 KRW 6,507 KRW -60%
NBCC (India) Limited NBCC ₹96.32 ₹48.22 -50%
Cemindia Projects Limited CEMPRO ₹1,330 ₹730.69 -45%
KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company 052690 92,700 KRW 20,172 KRW -78%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nexus Infrastructure plc (NEXS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £2.98 versus a price of £1.07, about +180% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of NEXS?
Our model-based fair value for Nexus Infrastructure plc is £2.98 (as of Jul 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £1.07.
What is the quality score of NEXS?
Nexus Infrastructure plc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Nexus Infrastructure plc (NEXS)?
Nexus Infrastructure plc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £67.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NEXS?
The net profit margin of Nexus Infrastructure plc is about -2.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Nexus Infrastructure plc pay a dividend?
Nexus Infrastructure plc currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.75% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 12, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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