Netflix, Inc (NFLX34) Fair Value & Analysis
Communication Services · BR · Market cap R$1.8T
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −10.6% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range R$7.19 – R$14.06 · fair‑value band R$0.5600 – R$1.05 · the R$7.19 price screens above the R$0.7800 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Netflix, Inc (NFLX34) currently trades at R$7.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R$0.7800, implying the stock looks roughly 89.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Netflix, Inc generated revenue of R$46.9B at a net margin of 28.5%. Revenue grew 16.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 48.5%. Net debt stands at R$5.4B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from R$0.5600 (bear case) to R$1.05 (bull case); at R$7.19, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 51% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -89%, NFLX34 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services worldwide. The company offers television (TV) series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across various genres and languages. It also provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, TV set-top boxes, and mobile devices. Netflix, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Netflix, Inc reported revenue of R$45.2B in FY2025 versus R$29.7B in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was R$11.0B in FY2025, compounding +21.0%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Netflix to Gain From Ads, Stronger Content, Margin Growth, Oppenheimer Says
- Netflix Q2 Earnings Preview: What To Expect From Upcoming Report
- Netflix may be sitting on another tough quarter
- What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Netflix (NFLX) Q2 Earnings
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
10 more Entertainment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Walt Disney Company DIS | C$11.30 | C$7.61 | -33% |
| Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc WBD | $26.24 | $9.57 | -64% |
| Live Nation Entertainment, Inc LYV | $167.50 | $44.27 | -74% |
| Universal Music Group UMG | €19.55 | €10.36 | -47% |
| TKO Group TKO | $197.26 | $48.15 | -76% |
| News Corporation N1WS35 | R$71.61 | R$62.07 | -13% |
| Empresas Cablevisión, S.A. CABLECPO | 55.00 MXN | 4.93 MXN | -91% |
| Beijing Enlight Media Co 300251 | ¥11.42 | ¥11.87 | +4% |
| Oriental Pearl Group 600637 | ¥8.82 | ¥3.88 | -56% |
| China Film Co 600977 | ¥14.22 | ¥3.80 | -73% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.