Nilörngruppen AB (NIL-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 861M SEK
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price +2.0% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range kr 47.34 – kr 75.50 · fair‑value band kr 78.92 – kr 131.53 · the kr 75.30 price screens below the kr 105.22 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Nilörngruppen AB (NIL-B) currently trades at kr 75.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 105.22, implying the stock looks roughly 39.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nilörngruppen AB generated revenue of 907M SEK at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue declined 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 37.3M SEK. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 78.92 (bear case) to kr 131.53 (bull case); at kr 75.30, the current price sits below that range. The share trades near its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 40%, NIL-B screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Nilörngruppen AB (publ) engages in the branding and design of labels, packaging, and accessories for the fashion and apparel industries in Sweden, rest of Europe, and Asia. It offers trims, including hangtags, and woven and printed labels; and buttons and accessories. The company also provides retail and e-commerce packaging products, such as cardboard boxes, and paper and plastic bags with custom prints. In addition, it offers RFID, care, and barcode labels; and security and copying protection products, as well as retail information services. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Borås, Sweden.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nilörngruppen AB reported revenue of kr 945M in FY2025 versus kr 788M in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was kr 49.9M in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Kappa Group SMFTF | $44.23 | $22.88 | -48% |
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $38.95 | $62.16 | +60% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $222.82 | $105.48 | -53% |
| Amcor plc AMC | A$58.69 | A$18.33 | -69% |
| International Paper Company IP | $36.89 | $84.00 | +128% |
| Ball Corporation B1LL34 | R$141.68 | R$104.18 | -26% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation A1VY34 | R$405.00 | R$217.71 | -46% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STER | kr 104.70 | kr 10.54 | -90% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥33.57 | ¥20.88 | -38% |
| SCG Packaging Public Company SCGP | 25.00 THB | 12.30 THB | -51% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.