Nilörngruppen AB (NIL-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · SE · Market cap 861M SEK (≈ $90.0M) · ISIN SE0007100342
What is Nilörngruppen AB really worth?
A solid business, trading 28% below our fair value of kr 105.22.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Share price +0.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (70/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (kr 78.92). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 47.34 – kr 103.04 · fair‑value band kr 78.92 – kr 131.53 · the kr 75.40 price screens below the kr 105.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.
Analysis
Nilörngruppen AB (NIL-B) currently trades at kr 75.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 105.22, implying the stock looks roughly 28.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 70/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of kr 117.59 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 75.40 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 22.03, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nilörngruppen AB generated revenue of 907M SEK at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue declined 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 37.3M SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 78.92 (bear case) to kr 131.53 (bull case); at kr 75.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 40%, NIL-B screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 1.78 per share, which is 1.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (kr 117.59) versus Asset-Based (kr 22.03). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 69 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Nilörngruppen AB (publ) engages in the branding and design of labels, packaging, and accessories for the fashion and apparel industries in Sweden, rest of Europe, and Asia. It offers trims, including hangtags, and woven and printed labels; and buttons and accessories.
Full company description
Nilörngruppen AB (publ) engages in the branding and design of labels, packaging, and accessories for the fashion and apparel industries in Sweden, rest of Europe, and Asia. It offers trims, including hangtags, and woven and printed labels; and buttons and accessories. The company also provides retail and e-commerce packaging products, such as cardboard boxes, and paper and plastic bags with custom prints. In addition, it offers RFID, care, and barcode labels; and security and copying protection products, as well as retail information services. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Borås, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nilörngruppen AB reported revenue of 945M SEK in FY2025 versus 788M SEK in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was 49.9M SEK in FY2025, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.3 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Packaging & Containers · 271 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $49.25 | $22.66 | −54% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $233.94 | $122.63 | −48% |
| International Paper Company IP | $36.46 | $21.44 | −41% |
| Amcor plc AMCR | $46.52 | $18.79 | −60% |
| Ball Corporation BALL | $61.67 | $36.57 | −41% |
| Crown Holdings CCK | $119.08 | $118.59 | +0% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation AVY | $173.07 | $113.05 | −35% |
| CCL Industries Inc CCLA | C$93.99 | C$77.64 | −17% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STEAV | €9.74 | €11.42 | +17% |
| SIG Group SIGN | CHF 13.66 | CHF 8.32 | −39% |
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